Say I want to semi-retire at 60 and fully retire at 65. At 60, I plan to stop contributing to my retirement savings, and basically just eat what I kill. At 65 I'd start my full SWR withdrawals. My nest egg withdrawal needs between 60 and 65 will be my annual expenses minus my earnings.
I'd like to know how much I'd have to earn for those 5 years (supplemented by lower than SWR withdrawals) in order to have a 95% success rate long-term. I set up a straight retire-at-65 scenario, then played around with various "decrease" and "increase" amounts for that 60-65 era on the expense page, but the results don't seem plausible -- the success rate doesn't seem to change despite the temporary amounts (perhaps because the deferred retirement year logic ignores withdrawals before then?).
How would you model this on FC?
San Francisco Area
ESR'd March 2010. FIRE'd January 2011.
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