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Odds of Dying, by cause
Old 02-16-2013, 09:18 AM   #1
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Odds of Dying, by cause

Fantastic chart from The Economist here, the odds of dying over a 1 year period by different causes. Heart disease is still far and away the leading cause, although many of the other (and far less likely) causes are much more present in popular media.

Some forum members may regret the fact that death by asteroid is still very unlikely, more than 74 million to one odds against.




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Old 02-16-2013, 09:26 AM   #2
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Some forum members may regret the fact that death by asteroid is still very unlikely, more than 74 million to one odds against.
Bet some folks in Russia aren't buying these odds...
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Old 02-16-2013, 09:26 AM   #3
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Surprised they don't have plane crash highlighted...since so many have fear of flying.

Also, wonder what the nuance difference is between the two firearm categories.
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Old 02-16-2013, 09:27 AM   #4
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Astonishing, and illuminating! What I was so surprised to see was the deaths by walking. Wish they had divided auto accidents out from all accidents. I'd like to compare that to walking.
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Old 02-16-2013, 09:30 AM   #5
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Good info for RE planning. It's encouraging that heart disease at #1 is still only 467 to 1, especially knowing most of us can improve those odds by our behavior. But very sad what #3 is, I would have guessed much lower...
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Old 02-16-2013, 09:51 AM   #6
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World Death Rate Holding Steady at 100%

World Death Rate Holding Steady At 100 Percent | The Onion - America's Finest News Source
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Old 02-16-2013, 10:06 AM   #7
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Even so, ask a dinosaur about this.
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Old 02-16-2013, 10:18 AM   #8
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Even so, ask a dinosaur about this.
I've already responded.
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Old 02-16-2013, 10:20 AM   #9
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I've already responded.



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Bet some folks in Russia aren't buying these odds...
How many have lost their lives from the asteroid (not counting heart attacks)?
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Old 02-16-2013, 10:21 AM   #10
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Here's a different look. Instead of a year, it looks at a lifetime.

http://www.nsc.org/NSC%20Picture%20L...y_Facts_37.pdf

#1 Heart Disease
#2 Cancer
#3 Stroke
#4 Motor Vehicle Accidents
#5 Self Harm

Air and space transport are near the bottom.

The #5 above is sad and disturbing. We've made progress on the top 4. More to go.
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Old 02-16-2013, 10:50 AM   #11
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(snip)Also, wonder what the nuance difference is between the two firearm categories.
I wondered that too. Maybe assault by firearm is when somebody shoots you deliberately, and firearm discharge is when somebody shoots you by accident or mistake?
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Old 02-16-2013, 11:14 AM   #12
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Fantastic chart from The Economist here, the odds of dying over a 1 year period by different causes. Heart disease is still far and away the leading cause, although many of the other (and far less likely) causes are much more present in popular media.

Some forum members may regret the fact that death by asteroid is still very unlikely, more than 74 million to one odds against.
Exhale.............

Q & A and Video Animations from NASA on Asteroid 2012 DA14 and Its Near Earth Approach | SciTech Daily
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Old 02-16-2013, 11:50 AM   #13
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Me, I'd much rather go by asteroid than the more mundane alternatives. It would be my only chance at the history books ;-)

And I love the little descriptive drawings by the name of the cause of death!
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Old 02-16-2013, 12:26 PM   #14
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I'd assume that the vast majority of those who die while walking, are killed by motor vehicles. There is a fellow who walks our (non-sidewalk) side street, in predawn darkness, wearing gray clothing with no reflective tape, and carrying a stupid little red blinking light. He is often right opposite the exit from our driveway just as I am leaving for work at o-dark-thirty. I watch for him, but he is hard to see.

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Astonishing, and illuminating! What I was so surprised to see was the deaths by walking. Wish they had divided auto accidents out from all accidents. I'd like to compare that to walking.
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Old 02-16-2013, 12:49 PM   #15
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The groupings are both somewhat arbitrary and omissive. For example, where does "assault with a knife" fit?
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Old 02-16-2013, 01:15 PM   #16
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Surprised they don't have plane crash highlighted...since so many have fear of flying.
Yeah, they left it lumped under all categories of accidents, and that includes car fatalities which swamp air fatalities

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Also, wonder what the nuance difference is between the two firearm categories.
"Assault by firearm" is obviously deliberate, I guess "Firearms discharge" is classed as an accident.
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Old 02-16-2013, 05:12 PM   #17
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I'd assume that the vast majority of those who die while walking, are killed by motor vehicles. There is a fellow who walks our (non-sidewalk) side street, in predawn darkness, wearing gray clothing with no reflective tape, and carrying a stupid little red blinking light. He is often right opposite the exit from our driveway just as I am leaving for work at o-dark-thirty. I watch for him, but he is hard to see.

Amethyst
A fair number of people in Seattle get run over by Metro buses. Dark days, lots of rain and mist, distracted drivers and sometimes very clueless pedestrians. i was coming home one night on a bus and the driver through no fault of her own almost knocked down some idiot who cut right across the path of the bus with an unlighted bicycle. She managed to stop, but was very shaken by the experience.

I wear an orange parka, or in wamer weather one of those high-vis green vests, and I pick my routes with attention to where I will be crossing. A particular hazard this time of year with the sun low on the horizon is drivers cresting a hill going west on a clear afternoon. They really can't see anything with the sun coming directly into their eyes, so I only cross at lights, never crosswalks.

Every year there are more pedestrians who never or rarely drive, and so it is hard for them to put themselves in a driver's shoes. When I am driving at night, I pick routes that do not go through night life districts, as these people are often completely oblivious to what is going on around them.

Ha
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Old 02-16-2013, 06:37 PM   #18
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"Assault by firearm" is obviously deliberate, I guess "Firearms discharge" is classed as an accident.
If your finger is not on the trigger the gun will not discharge.
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Old 02-16-2013, 06:55 PM   #19
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Which reminds me of a small rant of mine.... the whole "breast cancer" thing. This is a real cottage industry. If you isolate breast cancer deaths, IIRC, it is not even in the top ten. Yet giving to it is de rigueur. To not give means you are a hearltess bastard - damn the statistics. Rant off.
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Old 02-16-2013, 08:23 PM   #20
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If your finger is not on the trigger the gun will not discharge.
Not so. The last boss I had told me how he once shot himself in the shoulder as a teenager. He had shot a squirell but not killed it. Rather than waste a bullet he hit it with the butt of his rifle and shot himself.
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