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Peak aging?
Old 08-12-2017, 09:27 AM   #1
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Peak aging?

Decreasing life expectancy could benefit US businesses | Fox Business

As expected, US lifetime tables may be in for a downward trend. We have a generation of people with poor exercise&diet habits who have been exposed to so many more toxins in food/air/water/homes, constant rf emissions, excessive imaging (dentist, airports, doctor,...), who mostly lead sedentary lifestyles sitting in front of glowing screens... it was only a matter of time. Modern medicine and continuing advances can only do so much.

On the positive side: 1. Fear of running out of money has been reduced. 2. In theory, annuity payouts should increase as a result of this new trend. 3. Senior discounts might be offered at earlier ages. 4. Maybe corporations will start offering pensions again?
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Old 08-12-2017, 09:34 AM   #2
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I was wondering when that was going to happen.

Of course if there is a nuclear war, we will all have a shorter life expectancy!
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Old 08-12-2017, 09:35 AM   #3
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From the link:
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In 2015, the average life expectancy was 78.8 years of age, a slight decrease from the year prior.

Correspondingly, throughout the past two years, at least 12 large companies have cited the downward trend in life expectancy improvement as a reason to trim forecasts for how much they will owe retirees – by more than $9.7 billion collectively
Any excuse will do.
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Old 08-12-2017, 10:13 AM   #4
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...constant rf emissions, excessive imaging (dentist, airports, doctor,...),...
what about tinfoil poisoning ?
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Old 08-12-2017, 01:07 PM   #5
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let's not forget cyclamates, red dye #2, tobacco, asbestos... and a bunch of other things that were 'researched', 'approved', and considered to be OK, until they weren't
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Old 08-12-2017, 01:11 PM   #6
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Tobacco likely did most of its damage in the past, and these other things mentioned may amount to very little.

If this trend lasts, my money is on the effect of so many people being fat, fatter, and fattest.

Ha
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Old 08-12-2017, 01:24 PM   #7
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what about tinfoil poisoning ?
+1

What is declining is the rate of mortality improvement. This does not mean that life expectancy is declining. It means that the rate at which life expectancy is increasing is declining. Lies, damn lies and statistics... and slow news days.

I'm not saying that there will not come a point where society is going to have to pay for all that McDonald's and Xbox but life expectancy is not yet declining in the US. And of course in most of the world it is still increasing.
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Old 08-12-2017, 01:56 PM   #8
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"In 2015, the average life expectancy was 78.8 years of age, a slight decrease from the year prior."
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Old 08-12-2017, 10:06 PM   #9
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And so based on one year's 'slight decrease' we get to write an article despite the many years of less than slight increases. Come on. Slow news day.
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Old 08-12-2017, 11:08 PM   #10
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And so based on one year's 'slight decrease' we get to write an article despite the many years of less than slight increases. Come on. Slow news day.
Agree it could be an insignificant anomaly but I believe it is the first time this has happend for a long time. I read that drug overdoses are playing a part. Could be the start of a trend, being the slow down or even stagnation of increase in life expectancy. Or not.

For people who have already made it to a fairly advanced age, (us here) these stats (life expectancy at birth) are much less important than life expectancy for a 50 or 65 year old. I wonder if that has decreased? Doubt it.
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Old 08-13-2017, 12:33 AM   #11
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This is something I'd heard from the life actuaries at my company about 10 years ago. Mortality tables take a LONG time to compile so updates are infrequent. In the meantime, they include an adjustment for anticipated improvement in mortality from the time the stats were compiled to the time the rates will be in effect. They told me these improvements were diminishing. I know that's not the same as an actual increase in mortality rates, but it was the beginning of a trend that could lead there.
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Old 08-13-2017, 09:38 AM   #12
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I know that the deaths from fentanol are causing a reduction in petty crimes here. I doubt that it is showing up in mortality tables yet. Immigrants are getting fatter, not from McDonalds but from ethnic fast food making eating so much easier!
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Old 08-13-2017, 11:22 AM   #13
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Any excuse will do.
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