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03-25-2014, 01:11 PM
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#21
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 6,506
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I have failed to shorten my life sufficiently, as I retired at 59.5. I guess I'll have to put up with a longer span of doing what I damn well please, and when.
__________________
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03-25-2014, 01:28 PM
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#22
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 1,495
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Meadbh
...
The bottom line is that correlation does not imply causation. A cohort study cannot prove causation.
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Excellent. My thoughts exactly.
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03-25-2014, 01:33 PM
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#23
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Jan 2014
Posts: 78
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I'll take my chances. Anecdotally, my dad retired at 52 (Fed pension), and I think it resulted in better health for him, as after retirement he had less stress, better life satisfaction, more physical activity.
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03-25-2014, 02:47 PM
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#24
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Moderator
Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 10,725
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NPR Series on Retirement. Today's "All Things Considered".
University of Michigan's Health and Retirement Study ( study) is analyzed by various people and they come to different conclusions.
Skip the first 30 seconds of this audio, hehe.
Retirement is 'bad' for health/longevity:
Dhaval M. Dave, National Bureau of Economic Research
Susann Rohwedder, Associate Director, RAND Center for the Study of Aging; Professor, Pardee RAND Graduate School
Retirement is 'good' for health/longevity:
Michael Insler, Assistant Professor Economics Department United States Naval Academy
Can't generalize because it depends on HOW you retire:
Edward Schneider, M.D. USCDavis. Emeritus Dean of the Andrus Gerontology Center Professor of Gerontology, Medicine, and Biological Science, Demographics and Health Care.
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03-25-2014, 02:58 PM
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#25
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Moderator
Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 10,725
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03-25-2014, 03:26 PM
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#26
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Kansas City
Posts: 7,968
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Hmmm - layed off at 49.5. Ticked me off so much that I ER'd. Going on 71, if I'm going to kick off early then I'd better hurry up and party harder.
Right?
heh heh heh - and what about those silly longevety calculators where you put in current age?
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03-25-2014, 03:57 PM
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#27
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Nov 2013
Location: Bay Area
Posts: 2,745
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Ok, after 3rd cup of coffee ....
When I RE, I plan to work hard on improving my physical (exercise, exercise, exercise) & mental health (recover from stress). I'd be pissed if my improved health will lead to earlier death.
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03-25-2014, 04:04 PM
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#28
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: West of the Mississippi
Posts: 17,265
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No purpose = die early, IMHO.
__________________
Comparison is the thief of joy
The worst decisions are usually made in times of anger and impatience.
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03-25-2014, 04:09 PM
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#29
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: Colorado Mountains
Posts: 3,165
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Quote:
Originally Posted by robnplunder
Ok, after 3rd cup of coffee ....
When I RE, I plan to work hard on improving my physical (exercise, exercise, exercise) & mental health (recover from stress). I'd be pissed if my improved health will lead to earlier death.
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Well said, robnplunder!
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03-25-2014, 04:28 PM
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#30
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Gone but not forgotten
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: Peru
Posts: 6,335
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Diagnosed and cured of cancer age 53, with statistical chance of recurrance pretty high within first five years.
Precarious financial situation, taking on debt to expand my own business expansion made for second thoughts about leaving DW w/$$$ obligations. Decision to retire w/ "not quite enough" worked out perfectly so personal experience trumps statistical odds, and 25 years later, hoping to defy the experts.
All depends on what one considers "Early"
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03-25-2014, 04:40 PM
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#31
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 35,712
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hermit
If I die early, it will probably be from the chain saw getting away from me or falling off the cabin while building it. I will be doing a lot more physically demanding work at least through 65 in retirement than while employed.
I'll be happy to take my chances.
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If one retired early because of illness, would anyone advise him/her to do differently?
And then, if a healthy person does something in ER that leads to an early demise, well, he/she has had a good time, so is that so bad?
__________________
"Old age is the most unexpected of all things that happen to a man" -- Leon Trotsky (1879-1940)
"Those Who Can Make You Believe Absurdities Can Make You Commit Atrocities" - Voltaire (1694-1778)
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03-25-2014, 04:48 PM
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#32
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 35,712
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Quote:
Originally Posted by imoldernu
Diagnosed and cured of cancer age 53, with statistical chance of recurrance pretty high within first five years.
Precarious financial situation, taking on debt to expand my own business expansion made for second thoughts about leaving DW w/$$$ obligations. Decision to retire w/ "not quite enough" worked out perfectly so personal experience trumps statistical odds, and 25 years later, hoping to defy the experts.
All depends on what one considers "Early"
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I decided to ER in 2012 after seeing my then 23-yr old son coming down with a rare infection that could have cost him his life.
Then, early in 2013 I was diagnosed with a disease that threatened my life. After treatments and surgeries, it seems OK now, but I am certainly glad that I did not have to work during and after this ordeal. Having options is great, and I have exercised it.
Money is also less big a deal to me than it was. When your life gets threatened, it certainly forces you to set priority differently. I have not participated much in investment threads since then for that reason, or if I did it was only half-seriously. It's only money, folks.
__________________
"Old age is the most unexpected of all things that happen to a man" -- Leon Trotsky (1879-1940)
"Those Who Can Make You Believe Absurdities Can Make You Commit Atrocities" - Voltaire (1694-1778)
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03-25-2014, 04:53 PM
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#33
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Moderator
Join Date: Feb 2010
Location: Flyover country
Posts: 25,358
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Quote:
Originally Posted by imoldernu
Decision to retire w/ "not quite enough" worked out perfectly so personal experience trumps statistical odds, and 25 years later, hoping to defy the experts.
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Your story is seriously inspiring and shows how individuals are not the same as the average of their cohort.
I was lucky. Retired with a solid pension that covered 75% of my essential expenses and a decent nest egg. In the past 13 years, the market has been kind enough to make our situation even more solid, so it's all good.
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03-26-2014, 09:10 AM
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#34
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Moderator
Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 10,725
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sengsational
Can't generalize because it depends on HOW you retire:
Edward Schneider, M.D. USCDavis. Emeritus Dean of the Andrus Gerontology Center Professor of Gerontology, Medicine, and Biological Science, Demographics and Health Care.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chuckanut
No purpose = die early, IMHO.
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+1
Seems like that's what Schneider was saying too.
And I think purpose can be something as simple as spoiling your grandchildren
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03-28-2014, 08:31 AM
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#35
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Moderator
Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 10,725
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sengsational
NPR Series on Retirement. Today's "All Things Considered".
University of Michigan's Health and Retirement Study ( study) is analyzed by various people and they come to different conclusions.
Skip the first 30 seconds of this audio, hehe.
Retirement is 'bad' for health/longevity:
Dhaval M. Dave, National Bureau of Economic Research
Susann Rohwedder, Associate Director, RAND Center for the Study of Aging; Professor, Pardee RAND Graduate School
Retirement is 'good' for health/longevity:
Michael Insler, Assistant Professor Economics Department United States Naval Academy
Can't generalize because it depends on HOW you retire:
Edward Schneider, M.D. USCDavis. Emeritus Dean of the Andrus Gerontology Center Professor of Gerontology, Medicine, and Biological Science, Demographics and Health Care.
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I wrote Dr. Insler an email and got a reply (below), emphasis is mine. I wonder what the retirees would say if they were sick versus if they just had a full BS bucket and/or plenty of money. Makes me want to find the survey (but I haven't tried that).
Quote:
Subject: Re: Teasing Out the Michigan Study Data
Date: Wed, 26 Mar 2014 11:53:31 -0400
From: Michael Insler <insler a t usna d o t edu>
Thanks for the email. You are exactly right in that the hardest part in tackling this question is disentangling the effects from folks who are forced into retirement (due to a health issue) from the folks who voluntarily retire. A main task in my analysis is to address this challenge. I am interested in the influence of retirement on health regardless of their motives for retiring, so it is not appropriate to outright "remove" such individuals from my sample. Instead I use a technique that requires being able to reliably predict their intention to retire, whether or not they receive a retirement-causing illness down the road. To do so, the Michigan data contains information on subjects' retirement plans from the first period in which I see them (when they are still working).
The statistical technique is known as "two stage least squares" estimation, in which the "1st" stage is one in which I predict individuals' probability of retiring based on factors that are NOT related to their health. In the "2nd" stage, I use these "clean" predictions to capture the true impact of retirement on health.
I'm not sure how well I'm explaining these technical details, but I am very happy to answer any more questions you might have. Thanks again for your interest!
Best,
Mike
--
Michael A. Insler
Assistant Professor of Economics
United States Naval Academy
Annapolis, MD
On Tue, Mar 25, 2014 at 5:13 PM, wrote: Dr. Insler,
I heard the interview you did for NPR concerning retirement, health/longevity.
One of the common discussions on the early-retirement.com forum site concerns this idea that as soon as the paycheck stops, people die. Most of the participants, of course, don't buy it, or we wouldn't be retired or striving to retire. The idea many of us use to dismiss the idea is that many of the people in the study quit because they were sick. Were you able to remove the people who quit because they "knew" they only had a few good years left from your analysis?
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03-31-2014, 02:25 PM
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#36
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 380
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Obviously, one should not take early retirement from the petrochemical industry.
__________________
Retired -- 2001
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03-31-2014, 04:07 PM
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#37
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Where the stars at night are big and bright
Posts: 2,847
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I'm not sure how it will affect my personal mortality rate, but I'm certain that what time I do have left will be more enjoyable, and better spent, by not reading articles on scientific studies.
If there is something I want to know, I'll go look it up in a textbook or on PubMed and evaluate it for myself. Some guy or gal with J-school degree is not in a position to evaluate the rigor, accuracy or significance of a study. And if they were, they would be unable to resist pumping up the scary/sexy/amazing points that get clicks and eyeballs while glossing over the truth. They've proven that to my satisfaction.
__________________
There is no pleasure in having nothing to do; the fun is having lots to do and not doing it. - Andrew Jackson
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04-07-2014, 10:47 AM
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#38
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Jan 2014
Posts: 456
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OMG, I retired early! I have less stress, more relaxation, go to the gym more often, take naps, trips, do what I want when I want...and I'm going to die sooner? What a way to go. I would have it any other way!!!
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