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Old 09-29-2015, 07:37 PM   #61
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Why those ETFs instead of VTI, VXF, and VBR?

Much more liquidity


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Old 10-02-2015, 07:13 AM   #62
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Well - that didn't last long .... moved back into cash 100% yesterday ;don't think we found our bottom quite yet...
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Old 10-02-2015, 08:34 AM   #63
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History shows one certain way to make a small fortune through market timing: Start with a large fortune.
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Old 10-02-2015, 09:04 AM   #64
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Bnk1 - I sure hope you have better luck than I have had trying to time the market. I learned my lesson twice in my investing life. Once when I tried timing the dot-com bubble and once when I tried timing during normal markets over a 5 yr trial period I gave myself. Bottom line is that for me, my market timing caused me a lot of stress with nothing to show for it. Have changed to one of those guys on the purple line in earlier graph....basically I buy and hold as a general rule. If I have cash, I try to wait for a good buying opportunity but I don't sweat hitting the exact best spot.

With you being close to retirement, I wish you the best. Make sure you are honestly evaluating your success and ensure it's worth the effort. After retirement, it's much harder to make up any big mistakes!
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Old 10-02-2015, 09:25 AM   #65
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I bought the Monday low's at the close as well. I am also only looking for a ST bounce but will hold into next week if necessary.
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Old 10-02-2015, 02:31 PM   #66
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We have some very successful timers/traders on the board. Fortunately for us, they are rarely shy about sharing their success stories.

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Old 10-03-2015, 12:52 PM   #67
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Well - that didn't last long .... moved back into cash 100% yesterday ;don't think we found our bottom quite yet...
yawn...

OP, why not take a half million, go to a high stakes roulette table, and place it all on black or red? It's kind of the same game you're playing, but in this case you have a roughly 50% chance to double it, instantly! Seems much better odds than trying to beat the behavioral economics of a volatile market. Plus, think of the thrill you'll have.
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Old 10-05-2015, 10:56 AM   #68
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I bought the Monday low's at the close as well. I am also only looking for a ST bounce but will hold into next week if necessary.
I sold mid morning about 150k of SPY (100k was bought a week ago) and 50k of some others including ACN, KO.
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Old 11-11-2015, 04:31 PM   #69
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Bnk1: congrats on your success. I understand your concern about putting a large amount of cash to work in the stock market. Stocks have had a nice 6 year sustained run really unprecedented to have a 6 yr move without a prolonged correction. Lots of flash corrections, but nothing that shakes weak holders.

My advice to you regarding stocks is to lengthen your time horizon. Don't look at daily charts. Look at weekly or monthly only. Then toy around with plotting a shorter term 10-20 period moving average and 30-40 period moving average on those weekly or monthly charts.

OR I would consider you investigate parking some of your IRA cash in preferred stock of a bank/utility/real estate (storage units) until you have a better idea of what you want to do with it. There is not a huge fluctuation in the stock price and dividend yields are 5-7%ish
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