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04-23-2008, 08:02 PM
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#1
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Dryer sheet aficionado
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 30
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Any POT heads on here?
Down 5% today. Earnings announcement tomorrow morning. Any predictions?
I think there is a good chance we have a huge "sell the news" even if the earnings are outstanding. This because it has run up so fast. I didn't sell any though because I think this thing goes much higher in the long run. I messed up a few weeks ago and lightened up before MOS earnings. Thought I could buy back cheaper. MOS crushed the earnings and I ended up having to buy back higher. This time I'll bite the bullet and hold. If POT and MOS crashes (I hope it happens) tomorrow I'll load up on LEAPS.
Good luck
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04-23-2008, 09:41 PM
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#2
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: North of Montana
Posts: 2,769
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I have way too much POT (and I can't smoke any of it), small upswing in price (< $10). My guess on earnings is $1.7 -$1.9. The real story will be:
- raise in annual earnings predictions to ~$10
- double the paltry dividend
- possible split
Second and 3rd 1/4 will have the serious earnings increases.
Tomorrow will tell
Enjoy
__________________
There are two kinds of people in the world: those who can extrapolate conclusions from insufficient data and ..
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04-24-2008, 04:59 AM
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#3
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Dryer sheet aficionado
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 30
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 Quote:
Originally Posted by kumquat
I have way too much POT (and I can't smoke any of it), small upswing in price (< $10). My guess on earnings is $1.7 -$1.9. The real story will be:
- raise in annual earnings predictions to ~$10
- double the paltry dividend
- possible split
Second and 3rd 1/4 will have the serious earnings increases.
Tomorrow will tell
Enjoy
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You nailed it! EPS $1.74. Guidance full year $9.50-10.50
Will be interesting to see how market reacts. The avg estimate was $1.52. I have too much POT also. It's my largest holding, way overweight. Good luck
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04-24-2008, 01:33 PM
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#4
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04-24-2008, 03:45 PM
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#5
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: North of Montana
Posts: 2,769
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Trapshooter
You nailed it! EPS $1.74. Guidance full year $9.50-10.50
Will be interesting to see how market reacts. The avg estimate was $1.52. I have too much POT also. It's my largest holding, way overweight. Good luck
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Other than my prediction of a small gain in price, OUCH.
__________________
There are two kinds of people in the world: those who can extrapolate conclusions from insufficient data and ..
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04-24-2008, 06:53 PM
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#6
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Dryer sheet aficionado
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 30
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I thought we might get hit pretty hard today. So many momentum players who don't realize what they have. Down 5% today and 5% yesterday. I'm actually glad because I got some Jan 2010 190 calls that I had been wanting.
Hope we don't go too much lower before sanity is restored.
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04-25-2008, 01:56 AM
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#7
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: North of Montana
Posts: 2,769
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Trapshooter
I thought we might get hit pretty hard today.
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You nailed it. 
__________________
There are two kinds of people in the world: those who can extrapolate conclusions from insufficient data and ..
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05-10-2008, 05:44 PM
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#8
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Lou-evil
Posts: 2,025
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I have been trying to read up on fertilizer shortages and supply/demand, etc. This is a pretty cool site for historical data:
ERS/USDA Data - U.S. Fertilizer Use and Price
__________________
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