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Old 11-21-2008, 12:32 PM   #1
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Tough situation and tough questions.

I was/am very heavy in USB. Sold half at $36 which was good. Used it to buy GE and Pfizer which wasn't so good.

So I'm going through the shouldas as well..shoulda sold all of USB and held cash.

Why are the financials being driven down so hard?? Are we back to the shorters trying to drive companies into the dust or ?
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Old 11-21-2008, 12:32 PM   #2
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VA - By the way, I appreciate your sense of humor about this. I guess in these markets that's about all we have left....
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Old 11-21-2008, 12:43 PM   #3
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What makes this whole situation with so many of the bank stocks so awful is the dividend cuts, which makes it that much harder to ride out this downturn. And to the extent that the TARP program inhibits (or prevents) dividend increases, it only makes matters worse. The government is even starting to make noises about not allowing banks that take TARP funds to pay dividends at all.
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Old 11-22-2008, 11:41 AM   #4
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If you are looking for value in bank stocks, consider these three Canadian banks. The OECD recently ranked Canada's banking system the best managed, and these three banks are the best run. But stay away from CIBC, which had significant exposure to subprime loans.
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Old 11-23-2008, 10:21 PM   #5
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If you are looking for value in bank stocks, consider these three Canadian banks. The OECD recently ranked Canada's banking system the best managed, and these three banks are the best run. But stay away from CIBC, which had significant exposure to subprime loans.
I've also been looking at the Canadian Banks. I also wrote off CBIC but I am curious as to why BMO didn't make your list. Which Canadian banks will not cut their dividends?
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Old 11-24-2008, 07:32 AM   #6
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I've also been looking at the Canadian Banks. I also wrote off CBIC but I am curious as to why BMO didn't make your list. Which Canadian banks will not cut their dividends?
BMO is OK too. As for cutting dividends, who knows? See this morning's Globe and Mail:

reportonbusiness.com: Dividends are safe, says TD's Clark
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Old 11-24-2008, 02:42 PM   #7
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BMO is OK too. As for cutting dividends, who knows? See this morning's Globe and Mail:

reportonbusiness.com: Dividends are safe, says TD's Clark

Thanks for the article....BMO is up 12% today. This article plus the overall rally gave it quite a boost.
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Old 11-25-2008, 08:52 PM   #8
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I've also been looking at the Canadian Banks. I also wrote off CBIC but I am curious as to why BMO didn't make your list. Which Canadian banks will not cut their dividends?
You are right, BMO's Q4 profits announced today were up 24% and its common stock closed at C$34.95, up 83¢. But they will not forecast performance in future quarters (perhaps wisely).
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Old 11-25-2008, 09:09 PM   #9
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You are right, BMO's Q4 profits announced today were up 24% and its common stock closed at C$34.95, up 83¢. But they will not forecast performance in future quarters (perhaps wisely).
The dividend is what keeps me interested in this company but I am still leary that the Canadian banks will come out of this period of time without getting hurt more.
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Old 11-30-2008, 12:15 PM   #10
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I've also been looking at the Canadian Banks. I also wrote off CBIC but I am curious as to why BMO didn't make your list. Which Canadian banks will not cut their dividends?
Here's some food for thought on BMO:

Bank Of Montreal – Is The Dividend Safe?
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Old 11-22-2008, 03:49 PM   #11
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VA - By the way, I appreciate your sense of humor about this. I guess in these markets that's about all we have left....
I was going to say, VA is one of the guys I want on my team when the Martians invade. Way to hang in there man!

Ha
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Old 11-21-2008, 01:11 PM   #12
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and just like 2002 the Put/Call ratio is lower now when the market is lower. logically the lower the market goes the higher the put/call ratio is supposed to go.

oct it peaked at 1.51 and it was 1.410 a few days ago and is now trending down
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Old 11-22-2008, 03:59 AM   #13
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Small investors putting money at the epicenter of the nuclear meltdown takes some B@LL$. Especially with certain banks that might not survive.

I learned my lesson investing in damaged companies that were implementing triage and trying to survive many years ago. I will leave that opportunity to the specialist who know more than me.

Good luck with it.
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Old 11-22-2008, 08:13 PM   #14
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Small investors putting money at the epicenter of the nuclear meltdown takes some B@LL$. Especially with certain banks that might not survive.

I learned my lesson investing in damaged companies that were implementing triage and trying to survive many years ago. I will leave that opportunity to the specialist who know more than me.

Good luck with it.
you can buy an ETF
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Old 11-24-2008, 07:38 AM   #15
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looks like Citi dividends are going bye bye
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Old 12-07-2008, 08:06 PM   #16
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Funny to hear that as posted long ago and look what happened
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Old 01-21-2009, 06:38 PM   #17
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What happened with this thread? I read most of it, hoping to get to the current info and it ended last month!?!

Asking because I'm considering buying WFC and BAC, but am wondering to what extent the nationalization talk is serious?
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Old 01-21-2009, 06:48 PM   #18
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I believe this thread went silent because it appears so difficult to have any idea what the probablilities, or even possibilities, are.

Ha
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Old 01-21-2009, 07:08 PM   #19
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I had considered that, but blew it off because there are few silent members on this forum
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Old 01-21-2009, 07:39 PM   #20
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I had considered that, but blew it off because there are few silent members on this forum
True enough. But getting one's fingers smashed has a way of inculcating caution.

Here are two recent threads which touch on bank stocks:

Bac = wtf???

Adios & thanks for ALL!

ha
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