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Dow / s&p
Old 08-07-2010, 10:56 PM   #1
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Dow / s&p

Okay ............ so where we going now 8200 on the DOW?
that will mean a lower S&P as well.

Gold will stay up there.

Whata ya tink
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Old 08-08-2010, 05:16 AM   #2
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Whata ya tink
I think that Equities depend upon better earnings, Currencies upon a weaker U.S. economy, Commodities on a stronger economy, Bonds on deflation, and Gold on inflation and instability. My signature lines should help guide your decision(s) as they do mine.
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Old 08-08-2010, 06:04 AM   #3
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Okay ............ so where we going now 8200 on the DOW?
that will mean a lower S&P as well.

Gold will stay up there.

Whata ya tink
Why do you think the Dow will drop to 8200? It seems a rather precise figure.
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Old 08-08-2010, 08:03 AM   #4
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The OP is waiting for a double dip that will approximate the low of 2009 Q1.
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Old 08-08-2010, 09:06 AM   #5
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I admire your confidence in your ability to predict the future.

As for the actual prediction, well...
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Old 08-08-2010, 09:43 AM   #6
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I believe there was someone else predicting DOW 8400 or so earlier in the summer?
And then the person that was absolutely certain the S&P would drop 20% within a few weeks ( a year ago April or so?). Then a month, then a couple of months, then S&P 740 by the end of Oct.
None of these came to pass.
Don't get me wrong, any of these things COULD happen. But betting everything that a certain result will happen is generally a loosing proposition.
My strategy is to be well diversified, so I don't care (much) if the DOW goes up or down or when it does so.
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Old 08-08-2010, 03:34 PM   #7
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My guess is that the US will have a non-recovery similar to Japan. I wouldn't be surprised if we are stuck in a rut for a decade or more.

We could certainly get inflation in imported goods and oil, but I really doubt we will get wage inflation, except in a few select areas (like STEM fields). Also, I am guessing that the politicians will want to export our way out of this by decreasing the dollar. So, I don't see the interest rate going up much at all.
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Old 08-08-2010, 04:12 PM   #8
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My Eliot Wave has entered a death cross with my fibonacci sequence, indicating that stocks are likely either to rise or to fall sometime in the future.
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Old 08-08-2010, 04:24 PM   #9
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My Eliot Wave has entered a death cross with my fibonacci sequence, indicating that stocks are likely either to rise or to fall sometime in the future.
Maybe.
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Old 08-08-2010, 05:40 PM   #10
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My Eliot Wave has entered a death cross with my fibonacci sequence, indicating that stocks are likely either to rise or to fall sometime in the future.
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Maybe.
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Old 08-08-2010, 06:10 PM   #11
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I have picked up most of the pieces of my crystal ball which was attached to my views about dividends, and dropped by a black swan from 14,000 feet and came to rest on top of Haleakala at about 7800 feet. Nords found it and returned after it a grueling journey.

Sadly many pieces are missed at the cracks make it all very fuzzy but being more stubborn than wise. I believe we are in trading range between Dow 9800 and Dow 11,000 and am actually making minor portfolio corrections based on this belief . Ya'll can snigger now.

If we break out of this trading range on the upside or the downside, I don't have a clue, and have even less of an idea when it will occur.
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Old 08-10-2010, 01:17 PM   #12
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I think I can read sophisticated financial-analysis thread-starters like these on just about every Yahoo! stock board.
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Old 08-10-2010, 01:36 PM   #13
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My excitement is these matters usually gets going when regular season college and pro football starts.

Hmmmm? Hormones? eh?

heh heh heh - meanwhile on full auto balanced index. However expect to venture some mad money come sept/oct ish.
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Old 08-10-2010, 03:29 PM   #14
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Old 08-10-2010, 04:08 PM   #15
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Okay ............ so where we going now 8200 on the DOW? Whata ya tink
I think that Dow futures are readily available. Let us know when you've bought some for 8200.
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that will mean a lower S&P as well.
Thanks for that, I'll call my broker and see if he was aware of it.
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Old 08-10-2010, 04:10 PM   #16
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My excitement is these matters usually gets going when regular season college and pro football starts.

Hmmmm? Hormones? eh?

heh heh heh - meanwhile on full auto balanced index. However expect to venture some mad money come sept/oct ish.
Yay! He's back! Pssst Wellesley!
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