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Emerging growth stock ideas?
Old 08-01-2016, 04:55 PM   #1
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Emerging growth stock ideas?

I used to be very interested in growth stock investing. Fermion's recent thread on biotech brought back the memory. I am thinking of stocks that one should hold for 5 to 10 years and expect some declines along the way. One example of a clear growth stock is Starbucks (SBUX) and here is a chart:



I'm not saying it is a good buy now, but we know in retrospect it was in the past (I owned it back in 2001 but sold too soon for a decent unspectacular gain). I also happen to like the product a lot. Another product I've liked that has turned out well as a stock investment is Netflix ... if only I had taken a plunge.

So any thoughts on emerging growth stocks?

How about Whole Foods Market (WFM, financials are here: http://financials.morningstar.com/ratios/r.html?t=WFMŽion=usa&culture=en-US)?
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Old 08-02-2016, 03:30 AM   #2
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NVAX
TSLA
ZOES

WFM no longer growth stock to me.
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Old 08-02-2016, 02:30 PM   #3
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i own TSLA, BIDU, AMZN and other familiar names. WFM --don't own and not planning to either.

Due to upcoming retirement next year, am changing the way I have money invested by moving the bulk of investments in Low cost index funds with a 65/30/5 AA.

Will keep 5% and no more in small/mid cap growth stocks -----it may not even be worth the time it takes to do the research but i'll still do it because i like reading about new technology and investing in growth stocks
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Old 08-02-2016, 02:54 PM   #4
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SBUX could grow a new mountain in the future. But I'd wait for another recession.
WFM looks like a slower grower for next few years.

We know self-driving or robot assisted cars will be big.
Tech companies with security devices and appliances. Internet and Intranet traffic monitoring, like intrusion detection devices and software.
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Old 08-02-2016, 03:05 PM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rickt View Post
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Due to upcoming retirement next year, am changing the way I have money invested by moving the bulk of investments in Low cost index funds with a 65/30/5 AA.
...
Sounds like me.

I'm 68 so 10 years is awfully long for me. Capital preservation trumps greed I am afraid to say. Still it is fun to ponder this sort of thing and if I found a very interesting stock, it would tempt me to invest a percent or two.
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Old 08-02-2016, 03:11 PM   #6
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My thinking was not to find companies that are just starting in a predicted "hot" area, but rather to find companies that have a solid looking business that one can see initial results in.

For instance, SBUX was clearly making some nice coffee houses and reproducing throughout some regions. Yet it was not clear that it could survive competitors and changing business conditions. So no guarantees. There were years it went side ways to even badly down (2008-2009). I think it might have fit a Peter Lynch model of a midcap or small cap growing business. I would think a business that is above micro cap size would be easier for the average investor to analyze and stick with.
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Old 08-02-2016, 03:38 PM   #7
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Quote:

Due to upcoming retirement next year, am changing the way I have money invested by moving the bulk of investments in Low cost index funds with a 65/30/5 AA.

Individual stocks may not even be worth the time it takes to do the research.
+1 Along with greater chances of increase comes equal or higher risk of the opposite. I want to worry less about my $. Capital preservation is important.
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Old 08-02-2016, 03:55 PM   #8
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Quote:
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My thinking was not to find companies that are just starting in a predicted "hot" area, but rather to find companies that have a solid looking business that one can see initial results in.

For instance, SBUX was clearly making some nice coffee houses and reproducing throughout some regions. Yet it was not clear that it could survive competitors and changing business conditions. So no guarantees. There were years it went side ways to even badly down (2008-2009). I think it might have fit a Peter Lynch model of a midcap or small cap growing business. I would think a business that is above micro cap size would be easier for the average investor to analyze and stick with.
Then we need a list of prospects above micro-cap size. Someone is a specialist here on that.

Some of the prospects have a product you can see, like SBUX, or Netflix. Many don't however, like nano-memory.
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Old 08-02-2016, 05:30 PM   #9
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The issue I have with tech is that it is hard to identify just who will ultimately mine the gold. I'm a former EE but there are so many players in the tech world and it is hard to hold a lead. Maybe better to approach it from the consumer perspective i.e. you own and admire the product. Of course, some will have specialized knowledge.
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