Join Early Retirement Today
Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
first 3 months worst
Old 01-17-2011, 07:46 PM   #1
Recycles dryer sheets
 
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: palm bay , FL
Posts: 70
first 3 months worst

I saw a report that says for the last 10 years, the intra-year lows of the market indexes have always occured in the first 3 months, I must admit it has added to my concern to add to my positions, in conjunction with the what everyone says about market, rates, unemployment, etc.
__________________

__________________
perrytime is offline   Reply With Quote
Join the #1 Early Retirement and Financial Independence Forum Today - It's Totally Free!

Are you planning to be financially independent as early as possible so you can live life on your own terms? Discuss successful investing strategies, asset allocation models, tax strategies and other related topics in our online forum community. Our members range from young folks just starting their journey to financial independence, military retirees and even multimillionaires. No matter where you fit in you'll find that Early-Retirement.org is a great community to join. Best of all it's totally FREE!

You are currently viewing our boards as a guest so you have limited access to our community. Please take the time to register and you will gain a lot of great new features including; the ability to participate in discussions, network with our members, see fewer ads, upload photographs, create a retirement blog, send private messages and so much, much more!

Old 01-17-2011, 08:06 PM   #2
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
73ss454's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: LaLa Land
Posts: 4,379
If it's not one thing it's another. Has there ever been a time when someone wasn't saying something about something.
__________________

__________________
73ss454 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-17-2011, 09:18 PM   #3
Moderator Emeritus
Nords's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Oahu
Posts: 26,320
Quote:
Originally Posted by perrytime View Post
I saw a report that says for the last 10 years, the intra-year lows of the market indexes have always occured in the first 3 months, I must admit it has added to my concern to add to my positions, in conjunction with the what everyone says about market, rates, unemployment, etc.
If you provide a link to the report then we could further investigate the concept of "data mining". There's enough stock-market history out there for any "report" to "prove" anything.

If you're concerned at this kind of financial pornography then it may be an indication that you're not comfortable with your current asset allocation. It's worth figuring out what exposure to what types of assets is a good compromise of balanced returns and "sleep at night" comfort. Then you can read this kind of crap reporting to your heart's content, secure in the knowledge that your asset allocation will get you through just about every scary catastrophe lurking in our anxiety closets.
__________________
*
*

The book written on E-R.org, "The Military Guide to Financial Independence and Retirement", on sale now! For more info see "About Me" in my profile.
I don't spend much time here anymore, so please send me a PM. Thanks.
Nords is offline   Reply With Quote
my bad
Old 01-18-2011, 08:12 AM   #4
Recycles dryer sheets
 
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: palm bay , FL
Posts: 70
my bad

I mis-quoted the report, i skimmed it too quickly. It was simply claiming there has been a market top and a decline of 4% or more in first quarter every year last 10 years, not very meaningful, and I spot checked the data and found it was tainted as sometimes it looked backward into DEC to establish the top. being it is a paid for report, shared to me, I cannot post or link it. so never mind me.
__________________
perrytime is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-18-2011, 06:38 PM   #5
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 6,031
I saw a report once that said the market goes up at times and goes down at other times. I spot-checked the data and it was true.
__________________
LOL! is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-18-2011, 06:56 PM   #6
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
FIRE'd@51's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 2,132
Quote:
Originally Posted by perrytime View Post
It was simply claiming there has been a market top and a decline of 4% or more in first quarter every year last 10 years, not very meaningful
This would not be very surprising, since a market volatility of 16% (the current VIX) would imply a 1/3 probability of an 8% move up or down over a 90-day period.
__________________
I'd rather be governed by the first one hundred names in the telephone book than the Harvard faculty - William F. Buckley
FIRE'd@51 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-19-2011, 04:07 PM   #7
Moderator Emeritus
Nords's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Oahu
Posts: 26,320
Quote:
Originally Posted by LOL! View Post
I saw a report once that said the market goes up at times and goes down at other times. I spot-checked the data and it was true.
Whoa whoa whoa-- got a link for that technical analysis?!?

(Just kidding.)
__________________

__________________
*
*

The book written on E-R.org, "The Military Guide to Financial Independence and Retirement", on sale now! For more info see "About Me" in my profile.
I don't spend much time here anymore, so please send me a PM. Thanks.
Nords is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply


Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 1 (0 members and 1 guests)
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are Off
Pingbacks are Off
Refbacks are Off


Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Is the worst behind us? REWahoo FIRE and Money 32 02-26-2009 01:51 PM
Best & Worst J*b You Ever Had (Have) freebird5825 Other topics 74 01-13-2009 03:54 PM
Your worst moments / worst failures? Nords Other topics 28 07-12-2007 11:03 PM
Worst Traffic Spanky Other topics 16 02-10-2006 07:28 PM
Worst Jobs Ever cute fuzzy bunny Other topics 2 03-22-2005 06:17 AM

 

 
All times are GMT -6. The time now is 06:58 AM.
 
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.8 Beta 1
Copyright ©2000 - 2014, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.

Early Retirement News right to your Email!

Stay up-to-date with all the latest news to your inbox!

unsusbcribe at anytime with one click

Close [X]