One of my fears for the US market is a Japan-style 20 year stagnation as Asia and other countries come to the forefront of the world economy. If you believe this is impossible for the US, I won't argue, but please suspend disbelief within this thread if you can.
My Question is, what could a Japanese investor in equites do to hedge that scenario, and more importantly what should the US investor do.
I operate on the gut feeling (but not enough knowledge) that having 50% of my equities non-US is at least partly a strategy to hedge away US long term underperformance. Half of that non-US allocation is in Developed markets, the other half emerging.
Can anyone speak to the good/bad of this strategy for a future where the US in the next 20-30 years looks a lot like Japan of the last 20-30? Or maybe some Nikkei indices that I could use to back test it?
My Question is, what could a Japanese investor in equites do to hedge that scenario, and more importantly what should the US investor do.
I operate on the gut feeling (but not enough knowledge) that having 50% of my equities non-US is at least partly a strategy to hedge away US long term underperformance. Half of that non-US allocation is in Developed markets, the other half emerging.
Can anyone speak to the good/bad of this strategy for a future where the US in the next 20-30 years looks a lot like Japan of the last 20-30? Or maybe some Nikkei indices that I could use to back test it?