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IPOs: Beyond Meat or Beyond CRAZY!?
06-19-2019, 01:53 PM
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#1
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: May 2013
Location: ATL --> Flyover Country
Posts: 6,649
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IPOs: Beyond Meat or Beyond CRAZY!?
While perusing the interwebs, I came across a story on "Beyond Meat" on CNBC. Now, I don't watch CNBC very often and I might take a look at their website headlines once every few days but I have seen this Beyond Meat being covered every time I have been to the site. So, I read the story and was amazed to learn that this company had its IPO back in May but now its market cap is over $10 BILLION and is larger than 80 S&P 500 companies...some of which include Macy's and Zerox.
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Since going public in early May, the stock has raced nearly 600% higher, taking its market cap above $10 billion. The plant-based meat company is now larger than 80 S&P 500 companies, including Macy’s, Xerox and Mylan.
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https://www.cnbc.com/2019/06/19/beyo...-not-last.html
To me, this is MADNESS! I am a "steady as she goes" index investor, so I don't keep up with most of the IPO news, but this just really blows me away. Is there just THAT much money that people have no issues with these highly speculative stocks that have made NO PROFIT!?!
Quote:
Some of the highest-profile IPOs this year, such as Beyond Meat, Lyft and Uber, are companies without profit. Beyond is not projected to generate quarterly income until the third quarter of 2020, according to FactSet estimates.
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06-19-2019, 02:07 PM
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#2
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Moderator
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Eastern WV Panhandle
Posts: 25,290
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There was some guy... long time ago, had a famous quote... oh yeah, P.T. Barnum!
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When I was a kid I wanted to be older. This is not what I expected.
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06-19-2019, 02:09 PM
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#3
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Moderator Emeritus
Join Date: Apr 2011
Location: Conroe, Texas
Posts: 18,593
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Momentum....(for a while, anyway)
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*********Go Astros!*********
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06-19-2019, 02:31 PM
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#4
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: Cville
Posts: 1,597
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Even worse is that product is more expensive and the pitch is more humane than raising beef and no cow methane. Crazy crazy
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FIRE 31 Aug, 2018 - Always leave every place better than you found it, always give more than expected or Due
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06-19-2019, 02:49 PM
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#5
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Moderator
Join Date: Feb 2010
Location: Flyover country
Posts: 25,155
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I believe the stock is only being sold to a limited group of investors. A very special type of person, only one of whom is born in any given minute.
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I thought growing old would take longer.
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06-19-2019, 06:22 PM
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#6
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: NC
Posts: 21,150
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It’s a great product in my view, we’ll continue to buy for “burgers” at home and we’re seeing Beyond Meat and Impossible burgers in more restaurants all the time - but no idea how stock valuation will develop.
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No one agrees with other people's opinions; they merely agree with their own opinions -- expressed by somebody else. Sydney Tremayne
Retired Jun 2011 at age 57
Target AA: 50% equity funds / 45% bonds / 5% cash
Target WR: Approx 1.5% Approx 20% SI (secure income, SS only)
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06-19-2019, 06:48 PM
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#7
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: northern Michigan
Posts: 2,213
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Midpack
It’s a great product in my view, we’ll continue to buy for “burgers” at home and we’re seeing Beyond Meat and Impossible burgers in more restaurants all the time - but no idea how stock valuation will develop.
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I guess we will have to disagree on the value of the product. Personally, I wouldn't touch this pseudo-food (or the company that produces it) with a 10-foot pole. That's not to say that some people won't make money investing in it, because I'm sure some will.
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06-19-2019, 07:38 PM
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#8
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Nov 2016
Location: Richards
Posts: 1,245
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Beyond Meat is not the old Veggie Burger from the 1980s . I say get ready we need to feed the world cheaper and this might be an answer.
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06-19-2019, 07:50 PM
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#9
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: northern Michigan
Posts: 2,213
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Breedlove
Beyond Meat is not the old Veggie Burger from the 1980s . I say get ready we need to feed the world cheaper and this might be an answer.
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Well, I don't think the intent of this thread was to debate the merits of the products Beyond Meat is producing, but I will just say that there are many things about their product that are anything but healthy (leaving aside whether we need this fake meat to feed the world or not). If you enjoy eating highly-processed pseudo-food made from a long list of unhealthy ingredients, then their burger may be for you. Here is one article with a list of ingredients in their fake-meat burgers, and a little bit about each ingredient. Eat this stuff at your own risk, folks.
https://ancestral-nutrition.com/beyo...ond-unhealthy/
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06-19-2019, 08:07 PM
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#10
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gone traveling
Join Date: Apr 2011
Posts: 3,375
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RAE
If you enjoy eating highly-processed pseudo-food made from a long list of unhealthy ingredients, then their burger may be for you. Here is one article with a list of ingredients in their fake-meat burgers, and a little bit about each ingredient. Eat this stuff at your own risk, folks.
https://ancestral-nutrition.com/beyo...ond-unhealthy/
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Yuck! I'll stick to dead cow.
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06-19-2019, 08:27 PM
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#11
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Rio Grande Valley
Posts: 37,931
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RAE
Well, I don't think the intent of this thread was to debate the merits of the products Beyond Meat is producing, but I will just say that there are many things about their product that are anything but healthy (leaving aside whether we need this fake meat to feed the world or not). If you enjoy eating highly-processed pseudo-food made from a long list of unhealthy ingredients, then their burger may be for you. Here is one article with a list of ingredients in their fake-meat burgers, and a little bit about each ingredient. Eat this stuff at your own risk, folks.
https://ancestral-nutrition.com/beyo...ond-unhealthy/
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Basically why I wouldn't consider it. If I really want a burger (which I almost never eat) I'll go for the grass-fed beef ground instead. Nothing wrong with the "real thing". Studies indicating that red meat is bad for you have extremely weak evidence with tons of confounding factors.
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Retired since summer 1999.
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06-20-2019, 02:35 AM
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#12
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: NC
Posts: 21,150
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RAE
Well, I don't think the intent of this thread was to debate the merits of the products Beyond Meat is producing, but I will just say that there are many things about their product that are anything but healthy (leaving aside whether we need this fake meat to feed the world or not). If you enjoy eating highly-processed pseudo-food made from a long list of unhealthy ingredients, then their burger may be for you. Here is one article with a list of ingredients in their fake-meat burgers, and a little bit about each ingredient. Eat this stuff at your own risk, folks.
https://ancestral-nutrition.com/beyo...ond-unhealthy/
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We all make our own decisions, but an article from a self promoting blogger (pic below) with unknown credentials wouldn’t be my first choice to make a point. Especially one who leads off talking at length about how bad soy isolate is when 3 of the 4 products she references don’t include it.
And then she shares the dangers of canola oils processed with chemicals even though 3 of the 4 products she references list expeller expressed canola oil which does not rely on chemical processing - only mechanical extraction, e.g. squeezing the seeds! And BTW, good luck avoiding canola oil in everything you eat.
Self-professed “experts” (e.g. Jenny McCarthy) are conveniently everywhere these days...
There are other reasons to choose alternatives to beef that she ignores too, the environmental impact and the animal cruelty aspects for starters - all well documented. If you tour a production slaughterhouse and still choose beef, and don’t see anything wrong with it, that’s up to you.
It’s a choice, there’s no completely benign option.
__________________
No one agrees with other people's opinions; they merely agree with their own opinions -- expressed by somebody else. Sydney Tremayne
Retired Jun 2011 at age 57
Target AA: 50% equity funds / 45% bonds / 5% cash
Target WR: Approx 1.5% Approx 20% SI (secure income, SS only)
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06-20-2019, 04:52 AM
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#13
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: Minneapolis 'burbs
Posts: 382
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ExFlyBoy5
Is there just THAT much money that people have no issues with these highly speculative stocks that have made NO PROFIT!?!
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1. Pets.com (my favorite example from that era)
2. Cryptocurrencies, especially end of 2017
So, yeah. Everyone is trying to find the next Big Disruptive Thing, so when a company comes along with a pretty radical new product, that's generating lots of discussion, the speculators come out in force.
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06-20-2019, 07:36 AM
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#14
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Pacific latitude 20/49
Posts: 7,677
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I view Beyond Meat et al as speculative investments. I used to dabble in those and it is impossible to use metrics to study them before buying and even harder to decide when to sell because these are not buy and hold stocks!
I am all for alternative products that taste good. Someday, they will probably have alternative to lamb, boneless/skinless chicken thighs, pork and beef. But we only eat beef occasionally. And the price of Beyond Meat is likely to keep us from switching.
I never buy burgers at restaurants although I plan to try the A&W breakfast sandwich that uses it instead of a sausage patty.
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For the fun of it...Keith
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06-20-2019, 07:48 AM
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#15
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Aug 2017
Location: Champaign
Posts: 4,677
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Food for the future. IMHO, this way of eating will explode. We had dinner with a Chinese friend from the university a couple of nights ago. He's on his way to China for a post doc research opportunity. It's all about vegetable protein. Incorporating the meat texture and flavor from vegetables. He's a food scientist and this concept is going big in China.
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"Do not go where the path may lead, go instead where there is no path and leave a trail."
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06-20-2019, 08:24 AM
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#16
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: northern Michigan
Posts: 2,213
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Midpack
And then she shares the dangers of canola oils processed with chemicals even though 3 of the 4 products she references list expeller expressed canola oil which does not rely on chemical processing - only mechanical extraction, e.g. squeezing the seeds! And BTW, good luck avoiding canola oil in everything you eat.
If you tour a production slaughterhouse and still choose beef, and don’t see anything wrong with it, that’s up to you.
It’s a choice, there’s no completely benign option.
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Yes, canola oil (and/or one of the other industrial seed oils, like soybean oil) are in a whole lot of highly processed pseudo-food products, which is why I try to avoid those products, and stick with real food. By the way, expeller-pressed oil is still usually extracted using high heat, along with mechanical pressure/friction. That high heat can cause the oil to go rancid quickly, and rancid oils have adverse health impacts.
With regard to beef, I agree with you that slaughterhouse (CAFO) beef is not the healthiest choice, which is why I buy grass-fed beef from a local farmer. The animals are raised humanely, it's better for the environment, and the meat is healthier.
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06-20-2019, 08:31 AM
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#17
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Sep 2012
Posts: 11,701
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We're encouraging the young generation to get into investing. Well they are! Here is the result. It is something they believe in.
As for fundamentals? Well, there was a thread for another product that had something like 2000 responses, and it was closed due to "emotions."
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06-20-2019, 08:42 AM
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#18
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Jul 2013
Posts: 953
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I would assume some of their valuation comes from folks that want to invest in the 'eco friendly' companies. I forget the name of that type of investing, but certainly there are folks who are investing in companies that are aligned with their vision of how things should be. Socially Responsible companies is one of the terms.
I still struggle with the valuation of some companies from a P/E perspective. But I guess looking at P/E only works for very mature old-school profit making enterprises. Or maybe it doesn't mean anything anymore. Another reason that I like owning funds rather than individual stocks.
I see value in companies that are actually making something, like Beyond Meat, as opposed to companies that do not seem to have a way to make profit. But I am concerned that we are seeing behavior similar to the run-up in tech stocks in the late 90s. Maybe this time it is different?
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Well it's all right, we're heading to the end of the line...
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06-20-2019, 08:59 AM
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#19
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Sep 2012
Posts: 11,701
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Clone
I would assume some of their valuation comes from folks that want to invest in the 'eco friendly' companies. I forget the name of that type of investing, but certainly there are folks who are investing in companies that are aligned with their vision of how things should be. Socially Responsible companies is one of the terms.
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The term you are looking for is "ESG". Vanguard just started such a fund.
And, yes, when I mentioned the young crowd, this is what I was thinking.
It is not my thing, but to many, it is highly valued.
CalPERS targets ESG. Hey, they are a California pension fund, right? Gotta do California things.
They've been struggling with the performance of that section of their fund. I heard a rumor yesterday they were even thinking of going back to investing in the Really Bad Stuff. But, I think it is just a rumor. If anything, they are doubling down. I wonder if Beyond Meat is part of their strategy, or if they are late to the game.
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06-20-2019, 09:09 AM
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#20
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 35,712
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I have yet to try the beef alternative to see if it tastes as good as people say. My wife who is not a meat lover says she will not try it because it's highly processed food. She's happy just eating non-meat food. I am going to try anyway myself.
This may catch on, and takes over a big portion of the sales of real beef. Who knows? But for the company to have such high valuation, it must have some "secret sauce" or patented process that other contenders cannot duplicate or have an alternative. Or is it that being first to the market to establish a name is enough? Time will tell.
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"Those Who Can Make You Believe Absurdities Can Make You Commit Atrocities" - Voltaire (1694-1778)
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