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Old 06-10-2009, 08:23 PM   #81
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Sure. Just don't expect me to subscribe to your newsletter.
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Old 06-10-2009, 09:19 PM   #82
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Sure. Just don't expect me to subscribe to your newsletter.
Fortunately, I'm not planning on hitting it big based on my newsletter subscriptions
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Old 06-10-2009, 09:21 PM   #83
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Well, I surely wouldn't rule anything out.

Just one or two more Wh*** drive-by postings and TSL will have her wish.
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Old 06-10-2009, 09:32 PM   #84
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Well, I surely wouldn't rule anything out.

Just one or two more Wh*** drive-by postings and TSL will have her wish.
Ah, the power of it all.... wh..
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Old 06-12-2009, 09:32 PM   #85
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Hussman, whose advice I take seriously, has this to say. If he is at all correct, I have no idea where to invest in a stagnant economy.

"There is a far weaker prospect for a return to 2007-like profit margins than investors seem to recognize. Economic expansions are paced not by major growth in consumption (which tends to be fairly smooth even during economic downturns), but instead by gross investment in capital goods, technology and housing, as well as debt-financed durables such as autos. Yet our policy makers have aggressively crowded out private investment through this bailout policy, which allocates good capital to the worst stewards, and they have done virtually nothing to abate the housing downturn. Add deleveraging pressure to that mix, and an absence of opportunity for mortgage equity withdrawals (which fed GDP growth during the last expansion), and we have an economy that is likely to produce a very stagnant recovery even if one has begun – of which I am also skeptical."
By John P. Hussman, Ph.D.
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Old 06-16-2009, 03:33 PM   #86
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Hey, it's the lady with the crystal ball. I realize the downturn has been an upturn; however, my last post said downturn to continue for about a month. The month ends on 16 June. Can you at least give me until then to see where we're at? Anything's possible in this market!
Per your request, it is now market close on June 16:



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Yes, I'm here. Downturn will continue for the next 4 weeks.
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Yeah, my crystal ball is great....downturn to continue for about a month.
What is your next prediction?
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Old 06-16-2009, 03:50 PM   #87
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Per your request, it is now market close on June 16:

What is your next prediction?
Best 2 out of 3? How bout a mulligan?
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Old 06-16-2009, 05:32 PM   #88
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Blame it all on dh2b.
He just got his annual bonus and decided to invest it instead of spending it. <earned a major head pat from me>
He placed the order last night and it should process this evening after market close.
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Old 06-16-2009, 05:39 PM   #89
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He placed the order last night and it should process this evening after market close.
Still better than buying at close last Friday.

About TSL, what if her market call is simply delayed by a month?

Losing 4 more units of VBBQR today.

AA rebalances itself down towards 60% equity.

Just kidding. Hold, hold, hold...
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Old 06-16-2009, 06:31 PM   #90
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About TSL, what if her market call is simply delayed by a month?
I already relied on the prediction and invested all my stash. She said the downturn was over.
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Old 06-16-2009, 06:41 PM   #91
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I like this thread - I can't get spit out of the Vanguard computers rebalancing my Target 2015.

They just ain't talking.



That's no fun.

heh heh heh - you do know someone else can toss in a pssst - Wellesley once in a while. Right?
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Old 06-16-2009, 06:46 PM   #92
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She said the downturn was over.
Where? Is it a public post, or by PM?
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Old 06-16-2009, 06:57 PM   #93
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Where? Is it a public post, or by PM?
Magic 8 Ball.
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Old 06-16-2009, 07:41 PM   #94
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It's the lady with the crystal ball. Looks like my timing was a month off. Here comes the downward trend.
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Old 06-16-2009, 07:44 PM   #95
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It's the lady with the crystal ball. Looks like my timing was a month off. Here comes the downward trend.
How long will the downturn last?
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Old 06-16-2009, 07:49 PM   #96
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How long will the downturn last?

First, can you repost your graph? It shows through market close yesterday. The S&P closed at 911.97 today.

Second, I see it lasting about 4 weeks.
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Old 06-16-2009, 07:52 PM   #97
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First, can you repost your graph? It shows through market close yesterday. The S&P closed at 911.97 today.

Second, I see it lasting about 4 weeks.
I'm too lazy to redo the graph, but we'll mark the starting point for your mulligan at 912.
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Old 06-16-2009, 09:11 PM   #98
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Thank God for mulligans
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Old 06-16-2009, 09:16 PM   #99
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You should have stayed with the original graph's (higher) ending point to start your four-week downturn prediction, SL
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Old 06-16-2009, 09:34 PM   #100
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You should have stayed with the original graph's (higher) ending point to start your four-week downturn prediction, SL

Ha! Ha! I thought of that before I sent the note but wanted to be honest about it, since I'm being granted a mulligan
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