Join Early Retirement Today
Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
Old 03-14-2013, 07:49 PM   #101
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Free To Canoe's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Cooksburg,PA
Posts: 1,705
I too think it is bad to fight momentum, the fed or other intangible entities.
I am more of a go with the flow guy (unless it is off of a cliff).
__________________

__________________
Free to canoe
Free To Canoe is offline   Reply With Quote
Join the #1 Early Retirement and Financial Independence Forum Today - It's Totally Free!

Are you planning to be financially independent as early as possible so you can live life on your own terms? Discuss successful investing strategies, asset allocation models, tax strategies and other related topics in our online forum community. Our members range from young folks just starting their journey to financial independence, military retirees and even multimillionaires. No matter where you fit in you'll find that Early-Retirement.org is a great community to join. Best of all it's totally FREE!

You are currently viewing our boards as a guest so you have limited access to our community. Please take the time to register and you will gain a lot of great new features including; the ability to participate in discussions, network with our members, see fewer ads, upload photographs, create a retirement blog, send private messages and so much, much more!

Old 03-15-2013, 09:16 AM   #102
Recycles dryer sheets
 
Join Date: Sep 2012
Posts: 62
Ok, put me in a contrarian camp. I've been putting all new "stocks" money in small amounts into Emerg. Markets this year.
Plan to make another micro purchase today.
__________________

__________________
hsv_climber is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-06-2013, 06:24 PM   #103
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,758
Last two trades were looking to go the wrong way, but the 2/19 reduction of mid/small to bonds has worked out and the 3/14 reduction of mid/small to large-cap has also worked out. All this because mid/small has dropped in April and bonds went up as well. Timing could have been better ... could've waited until 3/29 to make the trades.

Oh, well, just back to waiting.
__________________
LOL! is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-15-2013, 02:54 PM   #104
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,758
With small-cap ETFs down about 3.5%, sold some short-term bond (VCSH) and submitted limit order to buy VBR a moment ago. I'm not sure if the order will get filled or not as sometimes the market will pop back at day's end with buyers, but the order is submitted with about 8 minutes to go.

If the buy order is filled, the intent is not to hold more than a few weeks.

(Order filled at 15:59:45 today.)
__________________
LOL! is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-15-2013, 04:05 PM   #105
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
FinanceDude's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 12,484
You dirty market timer........
__________________
Consult with your own advisor or representative. My thoughts should not be construed as investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results (love that one).......:)


This Thread is USELESS without pics.........:)
FinanceDude is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-29-2013, 11:57 AM   #106
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,758
The position in small-cap value purchased on 4/15 has gone up the 3.5% that it had dropped on that day (before the purchase), so I have submitted a limit order to sell the entire position a moment ago. If the sell order is filled, that will be about a 3.5% return in 2 weeks. Not bad for money that was originally in a short-term bond fund.

The limit price is slightly above the current day's high price, so it may or may not get filled, but I will edit this post at day's end.

[Added] I changed my limit price before the order was executed to be even higher, so at the end of the day, the order was not executed and expired. I will try again tomorrow.
__________________
LOL! is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-30-2013, 04:23 PM   #107
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,758
Re-submitted a limit order to sell those VBR shares which was executed in the last 15 minutes of the day.
__________________
LOL! is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-23-2013, 06:35 AM   #108
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,758
Someone in Japan said "Whee!" overnight. Get ready for some action.
__________________
LOL! is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-23-2013, 07:44 AM   #109
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
frayne's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: 19th Hole
Posts: 2,333
Sell in May and go away !
__________________
Normal is an illusion...what is normal for the spider is chaos for the fly.
frayne is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-23-2013, 08:04 AM   #110
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 2,241
Quote:
Originally Posted by frayne View Post
Sell in May and go away !
We have a ways to go before that's true. The SP500 is +4% in May not counting whatever drop we suffer today.
__________________
utrecht is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-23-2013, 08:10 AM   #111
Moderator
ziggy29's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Texas
Posts: 15,484
Quote:
Originally Posted by utrecht View Post
We have a ways to go before that's true. The SP500 is +4% in May not counting whatever drop we suffer today.
Of course, the old adage doesn't say whether to sell on May 1 or on May 31...

Haven't touched my own AA since I last rebalanced it down to about 59/41 a few months ago (target is 60/40) and don't rebalance until it hits 65% equities (at 63% now). I did recently rebalance my mom's, though -- it was up to 38/62 in the sunup and it should be around 30/70 (she's 78 next month).
__________________
"Hey, for every ten dollars, that's another hour that I have to be in the work place. That's an hour of my life. And my life is a very finite thing. I have only 'x' number of hours left before I'm dead. So how do I want to use these hours of my life? Do I want to use them just spending it on more crap and more stuff, or do I want to start getting a handle on it and using my life more intelligently?" -- Joe Dominguez (1938 - 1997)
ziggy29 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-23-2013, 08:47 AM   #112
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 7,198
Quote:
Originally Posted by LOL! View Post
Someone in Japan said "Whee!" overnight. Get ready for some action.
I was wondering when that bubble would pop. The nikkei was up something like 77% over the course of six months when I checked a few days ago. American investors holding US dollar denominated japanese investments didn't get all those gains though, since the yen also weakened vs the USD by 30% or so.
__________________
Retired in 2013 at age 33. Keeping busy reading, blogging, relaxing, gaming, and enjoying the outdoors with my wife and 3 kids (4, 10, and 11).
FUEGO is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-23-2013, 08:52 AM   #113
Full time employment: Posting here.
 
Join Date: Jan 2013
Posts: 660
Quote:
Originally Posted by LOL! View Post
Someone in Japan said "Whee!" overnight. Get ready for some action.
May, my favorite time of year - the birds are singing in the trees, flowers are blooming, and there's a hint of panic in the stock market. Only very ordinary losses in the US so far today, though. Let's see how things go.
__________________
karluk is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-23-2013, 09:01 AM   #114
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 7,198
And on a lighter note, for those still accumulating assets in preparation for ER, it just got a little easier to watch the 401k investments trickle in each pay day, and to pull the trigger on IRA contributions.
__________________
Retired in 2013 at age 33. Keeping busy reading, blogging, relaxing, gaming, and enjoying the outdoors with my wife and 3 kids (4, 10, and 11).
FUEGO is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-23-2013, 09:04 AM   #115
Moderator
ziggy29's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Texas
Posts: 15,484
Quote:
Originally Posted by karluk View Post
May, my favorite time of year - the birds are singing in the trees, flowers are blooming, and there's a hint of panic in the stock market. Only very ordinary losses in the US so far today, though. Let's see how things go.
Europe looked to be down about 2-3%, which is about what I expected on Wall Street. Time will tell.

Any time there's a sell off in May, people freak out and recall the old saying.
__________________
"Hey, for every ten dollars, that's another hour that I have to be in the work place. That's an hour of my life. And my life is a very finite thing. I have only 'x' number of hours left before I'm dead. So how do I want to use these hours of my life? Do I want to use them just spending it on more crap and more stuff, or do I want to start getting a handle on it and using my life more intelligently?" -- Joe Dominguez (1938 - 1997)
ziggy29 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-23-2013, 09:29 AM   #116
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
brewer12345's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2003
Posts: 15,916
Quote:
Originally Posted by ziggy29 View Post
Europe looked to be down about 2-3%, which is about what I expected on Wall Street. Time will tell.

Any time there's a sell off in May, people freak out and recall the old saying.
Based on the last couple of years' arrival of a spring slump in April, we are overdue for "the pause that refreshes."
__________________
"Neither my companion or I carry firearms on our persons. We depend on the goodwill of our fellow man and the forbearance of reptiles."


- English Bob
brewer12345 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-23-2013, 06:51 PM   #117
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,758
Things really fizzled out today, so no trades.
__________________
LOL! is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-19-2013, 04:58 PM   #118
Dryer sheet wannabe
 
Join Date: Jun 2013
Posts: 24
Quote:
Originally Posted by LOL! View Post

Things really fizzled out today, so no trades.
You haven't updated since May 23

I do some "Market Timing".
Most of my timing is to protect my nest egg and avoid the big pull backs.
Buying back later at hopefully lower prices.

I have been selling some positions, building up cash.
Not sure if we will get that correction that everyone has been talking about.
But I'm happy with my gains and holding cash for a while isn't a problem.

Have you seen or read any of dshort?
Read about the 3 bears in Barron's a few years ago and have been following
him. The web site he posts on is free and is very very good. Lots of others
also post their work.
__________________
1st Tee is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-19-2013, 05:47 PM   #119
Full time employment: Posting here.
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: northern Michigan
Posts: 658
Quote:
Originally Posted by 1st Tee View Post
Read about the 3 bears in Barron's a few years ago and have been following
him. The web site he posts on is free and is very very good. Lots of others
also post their work.
Could you please post a link to his website? Thanks!
__________________
RAE is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-19-2013, 05:52 PM   #120
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
 
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: Mississippi
Posts: 1,827
Some good commentary on his site

dshort - Advisor Perspectives
__________________

__________________
rbmrtn is online now   Reply With Quote
Reply


Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 1 (0 members and 1 guests)
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are Off
Pingbacks are Off
Refbacks are Off


Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Market Timing Strategy Earl E Retyre FIRE and Money 141 10-28-2011 03:09 PM
Money Market funds in potential danger. clifp FIRE and Money 22 07-06-2011 07:10 AM
When it comes to photos, timing makes the shot REWahoo Other topics 0 07-01-2011 02:19 PM

 

 
All times are GMT -6. The time now is 06:48 PM.
 
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.8 Beta 1
Copyright ©2000 - 2016, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.