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Opinion on future of equities?
Old 02-10-2012, 09:11 PM   #1
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Opinion on future of equities?

I know the future is uncertain in anything.

Are you bullish on individual stocks?

Index stocks funds?

Foreign stocks?

Balance funds?

What's your opinion?
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Old 02-10-2012, 09:17 PM   #2
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Old 02-10-2012, 09:58 PM   #3
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IMHO, equities have a future and, like JP Morgan, I am confident that their future will involve fluctuations. Beyond that, who knows? I hope it's a good one though because we'll all have some pretty serious problems if equity markets don't provide reasonable returns to investors over the longer term.
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Old 02-11-2012, 03:14 AM   #4
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IMHO Long term, equities follow earnings. In the short term, they follow expectations of future earnings which can be affected by any number of fears and or greed.

If this is true, then you would have to expect corporate earnings to increase over the long term. Some will and some won't, but as a whole I expect they will increase, and stock prices will increase as a result.
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Old 02-11-2012, 05:11 AM   #5
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As long as businesses find a way to create and add value they will prosper and equities will follow.
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Old 02-11-2012, 06:09 AM   #6
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I own some individual stocks for the dividend and growth. But can't say I'm bullish.
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Old 02-11-2012, 06:41 AM   #7
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I expect positive returns on all asset classes long term. I also know that almost anything can happen short term, but I'm not a market timer so I don't worry about it. That said, I plan to reduce risk from my asset allocation in the decades ahead. I am not shooting for the moon, just some financial security. The Portfolio Solutions 30-Year Market Forecast for 2012: Low cost investment manager, Portfolio Solutions
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Old 02-26-2012, 12:35 PM   #8
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Advising my kids, I would suggest that, long term, equities offer the best hope of building a comfortable and early retirement. Having said that, I don't think of myself at 65 as having a "long-term" any more. There have been a few 30 year near-sideways markets (looks to me like we just might be in one). Still, equities are just about the only game in town for the CHANCE of long term growth.

My "solution" to the problem was to over-prepare for ER and have backups (to my backups) e.g., delay SS to 70 and "invest" in LTC insurance, etc., etc.. YMMV
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I'm bullish on select stocks
Old 03-30-2012, 10:26 AM   #9
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I'm bullish on select stocks

There are great companies (USA and abroad) that will do well. Their earnings (free cash flow) will reflect that and, as someone said, long term the price of their stock will follow earnings (free cash flow)

I am less bullish on stock market in general.

I don't generally follow ETFs or Mutual funds because their mandates restrict them (we are a large cap value fund, etc.)yet if I don't know the manager (and I don't) I wouldn't give them my money without mandates/restrictions so its a self-fulfilling failure. and that's BEFORE you get into premiums/discounts to NAV.
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Old 03-30-2012, 11:31 AM   #10
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My best guess is that stocks will trend slowly higher for the next 8-10 years at a snails pace maybe 3-5% a year. Around 2020-2025 we'll see another bubble like the late 90's with huge growth (20% a year returns in the markets) followed by another collapse around 2030. I don't anticipate another huge recession coming anytime soon... low likelihood we'll see a significant drop in the market anytime in the next 15 years (which is definitely against popular opinion). We've seen the worst of it... for this quarter century

If history is any indication... this cycle continues indefinitely.
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