Stock Market "Experts" told us in 2012 that the market was over valued!

[dixonge]

Quote:

Originally Posted by haha We'll poo-poo this until reality reasserts, which may not be long. Then many members will disappear. Which likely makes a difference mostly to them, but they will wonder what happened.

One of the reasons I'm back in the market this year is from going back to 2008-09 and reading posts here. A lot of people just stood pat, bought as many new shares as they could and rode it all back up. Seeing their confidence was amazing.

Besides, the Bogle-ish folks don't discuss market timing that much here, so why would they disappear?

[UnrealizedPotential]

The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent. John Maynard Keynes

[mathjak107]

you have to look at the whole picture . this bull market is going in to 8 years . typically we have a 20% -50% drop just about every 7 years .

so it is not as much as stocks are expensive as they are running out of steam at a bad time .

dividends are up almost 38% . we have quite a few major s&p 500 company's paying out more in dividends than they earned .

basically these company's are saying here is your money back we just can't grow it .

they are doing very little capital spending to improve future productivity or increase market share .

what money they tend to spend has been going for stock buy backs not growing the business's .

earnings were down overall the last 4 quarters , so now you have less earnings and more money being given back un-used , un-invested as dividends .

so at this stage you have to ask yourself is it worth 5 or 6% in returns for risking a 20-50% loss ?

that is the real issue with stocks and the questions the big stock traders are asking themselves . suddenly a treasury bond at 1.50% looks damn good lol