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Old 04-13-2018, 08:18 AM   #801
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I already sold the GLD and made about $900.
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Old 04-13-2018, 12:32 PM   #802
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Nunnun didn't do anything and made $9.217 today
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Old 04-20-2018, 02:37 PM   #803
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It looks like the two founders of the contest will be more or less neck and neck, in 13th and 14th place, when the rankings update.
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Old 04-20-2018, 03:06 PM   #804
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Boho View Post
It looks like the two founders of the contest will be more or less neck and neck, in 13th and 14th place, when the rankings update.
Shows that contest definitely not rigged .

One of the founders been trading left and right. The other, a few trades to get the AA right, then sitting back and treading water .
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Old 04-23-2018, 01:04 PM   #805
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Quote:
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Nunnun didn't do anything and made $9.217 today
I haven't logged on for a while, and of course I've done absolutely nothing since I bought my positions in S&P 500 funds and yet I continue to be 7th. I expect the names above and below me to change somewhat and I might actually fall a bit towards the middle. I always claimed that I would be mid table and I assume the active traders all belived they would be towards the top of the table......looks like the only people who got things wrong are the active traders that are below average. But we all knew that would be the case going in - didn't we.
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Old 04-23-2018, 01:26 PM   #806
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nun View Post
I haven't logged on for a while, and of course I've done absolutely nothing since I bought my positions in S&P 500 funds and yet I continue to be 7th. I expect the names above and below me to change somewhat and I might actually fall a bit towards the middle. I always claimed that I would be mid table and I assume the active traders all belived they would be towards the top of the table......looks like the only people who got things wrong are the active traders that are below average. But we all knew that would be the case going in - didn't we.
I would expect you to be right around the 66th percentile (so ahead of 2/3 of the participants) if investment costs were realistically modeled. If taxes were considered, I'd expect you to be in the top 10-25%.
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Old 04-23-2018, 03:48 PM   #807
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How many would you consider active traders? There's me and maybe one other. Are there even three or four? None of us fit the technical definition of professional trader. I'm not sure about active.

Anyway, with both domestic and international events going a little crazy I took a longer term approach with $342,300 in SCHF (SCHWAB INTERNATIONAL EQUITY ETF), betting against the US, but I still have $445,860 in HON which I believe I bought low.
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Old 04-24-2018, 10:14 AM   #808
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Quote:
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.. and of course I've done absolutely nothing since I bought my positions in S&P 500 funds and yet I continue to be 7th.
You might consider going in to reinvest your dividends rather than just letting that 2% just sit-out the ride.
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Old 05-01-2018, 08:27 AM   #809
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Old 05-01-2018, 10:52 AM   #810
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One player dropped out "trashcan12" and we've added "Norm Young" and "ransil".

K$countsbestworst
PlayerRankValue of AllValue of:OpenCash BalanceAverage Cash
comsecga
1
$1,483K
$618K
$-101K
$-36K
Totoro_ERF
2
$1,287K
$1,120K
$168K
$128K
exnavynuke
4
$1,256K
$1,067K
$-285K
$-369K
DieWurst
5
$1,172K
$605K
$-0K
$6K
covert1
6
$1,157K
$964K
$0K
$121K
lbymfreddie
7
$1,138K
$1,132K
$7K
$74K
nunnun
8
$1,136K
$1,213K
$21K
$13K
kite_rider
9
$1,126K
$844K
$-13K
$632K
cfahey27
10
$1,117K
$501K
$7K
$462K
sengsational
11
$1,107K
$1,062K
$1K
$25K
easysurfer
12
$1,062K
$550K
$118K
$273K
Spudd
13
$1,050K
$1,048K
$2K
$233K
nvestysly
14
$1,039K
$946K
$2K
$407K
RiskyBusinessC2
16
$1,025K
$771K
$255K
$578K
BohoII
15
$1,021K
$810K
$-111K
$317K
NormYoung
17
$1,019K
$913K
$106K
$941K
ransil
19
$1,015K
$854K
$76K
$931K
lawrencewendall
18
$1,013K
$1,612K
$-599K
$-532K
cdailey
28
$941K
$573K
$-795K
$601K
Fermion
27
$936K
$672K
$264K
$625K
Clone2
29
$877K
$869K
$8K
$688K
RISP
30
$643K
$625K
$18K
$-245K
Fermion1
3
$553K
$738K
$-121K
$320K
Current OpenLong TradesShort TradesOption TradesR/T TradesR/T-Unique Stocks
2
27
4
0
13
12
2
11
0
0
4
4
3
12
0
0
5
3
2
9
0
0
0
0
3
13
0
0
1
1
5
26
0
0
8
4
0
2
0
0
0
0
8
13
0
1
1
1
1
5
0
0
0
0
28
133
0
0
59
40
2
18
0
0
0
0
10
100
4
5
58
37
18
26
0
0
0
0
3
5
2
15
7
6
4
292
2
0
164
77
6
7
0
0
0
0
14
21
0
0
3
2
8
19
0
0
0
0
6
12
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
6
38
8
1
21
13
0
16
2
0
10
4
Ticker StockGain LossGain/Loss Percent
NFLX
$152K
96%
PII
$106K
42%
FAS
$122K
35%
VNQI
$46K
14%
MNKD
$45K
20%
BOFI
$305K
62%
VOO
$108K
21%
ANET
$82K
26%
AAPL
$41K
9%
IRMD
$26K
54%
VXUS
$21K
9%
CNCE
$66K
31%
INTC
$25K
50%
NAVI
$7K
6%
ANW
$25K
4%
AMZN
$13K
9%
EBIO
$6K
95%
SDYL
$5K
9%
SBUX
$1K
4%
ECYT
$228K
95%
none
$0K
?%
BXC
$39K
57%
NVDA
$297K
33%
Ticker StockGain LossGain/Loss Percent
GIMO
$-59K
-21%
DB
$11K
6%
SOXL
$-36K
-7%
VEU
$25K
12%
O
$11K
4%
TEVA
$-163K
-51%
VTI
$106K
21%
CRSP
$-4K
-8%
AAPL
$41K
9%
ICON
$-23K
-70%
BND
$-11K
-4%
BB
$-101K
-20%
KMB
$-8K
-16%
EDF
$-16K
-4%
RAD
$-163K
-26%
VWO
$-4K
-4%
MU
$-10K
-9%
FTR
$-81K
-40%
JNJ
$-26K
-9%
CLSN
$-292K
-59%
DE
$-78K
-16%
XOM
$-29K
-14%
KITE
$-312K
133%
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Old 05-01-2018, 11:05 AM   #811
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Just for fun, here's the trades that our leaders have made. We can see that NFLX and SHOP are what put comsecga in the lead, Totoro has consistent wins, exnavynuke has succeeded with FAS, SSO and XLF, and DieWurst has the simplest of the leader board with some international indexes.

PlayerRankStockStartStart$EndEnd/Now$DifferenceGain/Loss
comsecga
1
DIS
05/09/2017
-111,780
05/12/2017
-109,680
2,100
2%
  
GIMO
04/24/2017
283,885
04/28/2017
225,000
-58,885
-21%
  
GNTX
04/27/2017
41,710
05/26/2017
38,300
-3,410
-8%
  
IBM
04/19/2017
-80,860
04/25/2017
-80,525
335
0%
  
INTC
04/27/2017
74,410
05/26/2017
72,560
-1,850
-2%
  
KO
04/19/2017
86,710
05/09/2017
87,180
470
1%
  
LULU
04/19/2017
104,610
04/26/2017
106,400
1,790
2%
  
NFLX
06/09/2017
157,900
Open
309,810
151,910
96%
  
SHOP
04/19/2017
179,750
Open
308,225
128,475
71%
  
SNAP
05/10/2017
23,010
05/11/2017
17,960
-5,050
-22%
  
SPY
04/19/2017
117,270
06/05/2017
122,005
4,735
4%
  
SWN
04/19/2017
37,215
05/25/2017
33,940
-3,275
-9%
  
TWTR
05/10/2017
36,730
06/02/2017
36,700
-30
-0%
  
VTI
04/19/2017
120,590
06/05/2017
125,290
4,700
4%

PlayerRankStockStartStart$EndEnd/Now$DifferenceGain/Loss
Totoro_ERF
2
AER
05/30/2017
488,430
Open
568,810
80,380
16%
  
BKE
05/30/2017
68,210
03/20/2018
83,320
15,110
22%
  
DB
03/30/2017
184,076
05/30/2017
195,516
11,440
6%
  
MAT
03/20/2018
512,000
Open
550,800
38,800
8%
  
MIK
05/30/2017
234,490
03/20/2018
254,640
20,150
9%
  
PII
05/30/2017
252,580
03/20/2018
358,170
105,590
42%

PlayerRankStockStartStart$EndEnd/Now$DifferenceGain/Loss
exnavynuke
4
FAS
04/04/2017
352,330
Open
474,740
122,410
35%
  
NMM
03/30/2017
18,730
07/13/2017
14,490
-4,240
-23%
  
RMP
04/04/2017
126,660
07/13/2017
99,500
-27,160
-21%
  
SOXL
04/04/2017
491,605
04/12/2017
455,195
-36,410
-7%
  
SSO
04/18/2017
468,282
Open
562,040
93,758
20%
  
XLF
04/18/2017
230,400
Open
272,800
42,400
18%

PlayerRankStockStartStart$EndEnd/Now$DifferenceGain/Loss
DieWurst
5
VEU
08/31/2017
201,971
Open
227,199
25,228
12%
  
VNQI
07/26/2017
331,936
Open
377,884
45,949
14%
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Old 05-01-2018, 01:09 PM   #812
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The worst trade of Fermion1 seems off (133%)?
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Old 05-04-2018, 03:43 PM   #813
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Thanks for that bit of eyeballing of the data there, Totoro. Because I had to introduce a fake transaction that the simulator didn't have (but should have), something went wrong there. He borrowed stock and sold it for $235K. The missing transaction was buying $547K of worth of stock at the end. I'm not sure I'm doing the % correctly on short sales. Would it be -311/547? I didn't chase it because it's a side effect of the hack I had to make for the shorted then de-listed thing. Hopefully there won't be any more of those simulator errors.

PlayerRankStockStartStart$EndEnd/Now$DifferenceGain/Loss
Fermion1
3
ECYT
05/22/2017
161,880
06/06/2017
124,600
-37,280
-23%
  
GILD
05/16/2017
492,385
06/14/2017
487,575
-4,810
-1%
  
JUNO
05/16/2017
254,810
06/21/2017
260,200
5,390
2%
  
KITE
06/04/2017
-235,155
08/07/2017
-546,860
-311,705
?
  
NVDA
06/17/2017
901,215
Open
1,197,870
296,655
33%
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Old 05-08-2018, 12:43 PM   #814
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So much for dabble in SCHWAB INTERNATIONAL EQUITY ETF. I planned to keep it long term but the world is getting more screwed up. Back to buy and sell.
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Old 05-08-2018, 01:37 PM   #815
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Back to gold.
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Old 06-01-2018, 09:15 AM   #816
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End of May results.

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Old 06-01-2018, 09:55 AM   #817
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If I extrapolate Boho's performance versus the market for the past three months alone, he could surpass nunnun in another 11 months.

Big IF, IMO. I suspect it's just noise, as I have not been able to discern any defined strategy from Boho.

He's still ~ 9.88% behind a couch potato approach.

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Old 06-01-2018, 10:04 AM   #818
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Oh no! Boho is nipping at my heels in the ranking.
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Old 06-02-2018, 02:17 PM   #819
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I don't know when this thread got two stars but I think I'm not doing as badly as some people would like and they think the thread no longer speaks for itself.
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Old 06-02-2018, 02:25 PM   #820
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I don't think I've ever voted for a thread, and I never pay attention to it. I'm not sure what significance you see in a single 2 star vote.

IMO, you're doing plenty bad. Though I don't know why you'd think anyone would 'want' or 'like' you to do bad. I merely expect it.

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