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Old 06-23-2018, 03:09 PM   #881
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SecondCor521 View Post
I wonder if you'll ever stop being surprised.

Perhaps somewhere on the board someone is wondering if I'll ever stop wondering about you stopping being surprised at him not learning.

Perhaps not.

The first question they ask is: 'Why was he eternally surprised?'

And they are told: 'Boho considered the nature of time and understood that the universe is, instant by instant, recreated anew. Therefore, he understood, there is in truth no past, only a memory of the past. Blink your eyes, and the world you see next did not exist when you closed them. Therefore, he said, the only appropriate state of the mind is surprise. The only appropriate state of the heart is joy. The sky you see now, you have never seen before. The perfect moment is now. Be glad of it.'
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Old 07-02-2018, 12:20 PM   #882
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Posts: 8,968
For Boho's (and others here) pleasure reading:

Article titled "Stock Pickers are worse at picking stocks than investors may realize, report finds".

Looks like Boho my need to polish that crystal ball of his a bit more .


Quote:
The argument behind passive investing, and the reason it has been the overwhelming choice of investors over the past decade, is simple: data has repeatedly shown that not only does it offer an extremely high likelihood of better long-term performance, but it does so for vastly lower costs
Quote:
Many active managers argue that this is possible, particularly in periods of volatility or market weakness. Recently, they have pointed to short-term performance statistics that have indeed trended in their favor. According to May data from Goldman Sachs, 56% of large-cap mutual funds have outperformed their benchmark so far this year, putting them on track for their best year of relative performance since 2007.

Over the longer term, however, the ability of active managers to beat their benchmark drops precipitously. And while the results are marginally better when adjusted for risk, the overall odds remain solidly in favor of passive.
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/st...?mod=fa_center
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Old 07-06-2018, 12:05 PM   #883
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What, no end-of-the month update?

I imagine if there was good news in there for Boho, it would have been posted at EOB last Friday?

-ERD50
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Old 07-06-2018, 12:54 PM   #884
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ERD50 View Post
What, no end-of-the month update?

I imagine if there was good news in there for Boho, it would have been posted at EOB last Friday?

-ERD50
I totally forgot this month.
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Old 07-06-2018, 01:39 PM   #885
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Boho View Post
I totally forgot this month.
Thanks. Looks like you under-performed Buy & Hold napper nunnun by ~ 3.82% this month.

You'd probably like to forget it!

-ERD50
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Old 07-08-2018, 02:26 PM   #886
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Boho does Red Queen investing: it takes a lot of trades just to end up where he started.
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Old 08-01-2018, 12:26 PM   #887
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I think I made two trades this month and two last month. My slowest 60 days so far.
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Old 08-08-2018, 03:46 PM   #888
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sengsational's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 4,650
K$countsbestworst
PlayerRankValue of AllValue of:OpenCash BalanceAverage Cash
comsecga
1
$1,678K
$706K
$-101K
$-49K
exnavynuke
2
$1,453K
$1,217K
$-280K
$-351K
Totoro_ERF
3
$1,428K
$1,260K
$168K
$134K
Fermion
5
$1,319K
$1,055K
$264K
$554K
cfahey27
6
$1,310K
$213K
$11K
$373K
kite_rider
7
$1,296K
$1,122K
$-164K
$481K
nunnun
8
$1,239K
$1,213K
$26K
$15K
Spudd
10
$1,194K
$1,198K
$-4K
$180K
cdailey
12
$1,175K
$593K
$-790K
$325K
sengsational
11
$1,174K
$1,128K
$-1K
$31K
lbymfreddie
9
$1,167K
$1,155K
$11K
$61K
ransil
13
$1,166K
$1,287K
$-121K
$638K
DieWurst
14
$1,139K
$594K
$0K
$6K
covert1
19
$1,127K
$907K
$11K
$101K
NormYoung
15
$1,119K
$825K
$108K
$776K
easysurfer
16
$1,110K
$557K
$125K
$244K
KCScubaSteve
17
$1,105K
$1,102K
$2K
$816K
nvestysly
18
$1,100K
$945K
$10K
$329K
BohoII
20
$1,085K
$23K
$746K
$305K
underwrite
21
$1,077K
$1,040K
$37K
$933K
RiskyBusinessC2
22
$1,024K
$753K
$271K
$518K
lawrencewendall
23
$1,010K
$1,486K
$-548K
$-540K
Clone2
31
$913K
$901K
$12K
$554K
RISP
32
$723K
$509K
$22K
$-110K
Fermion1
4
$657K
$738K
$-120K
$265K
Current OpenLong TradesShort TradesOption TradesR/T TradesR/T-Unique Stocks
2
27
4
0
13
12
3
12
0
0
5
3
2
11
0
0
4
4
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
5
0
0
0
0
8
14
0
2
2
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
10
111
5
8
65
43
6
12
0
0
0
0
29
169
1
0
78
47
5
26
0
0
8
4
21
115
1
0
51
18
2
10
0
0
0
0
3
13
0
0
1
1
5
7
0
0
0
0
2
18
0
0
0
0
5
5
0
0
0
0
17
26
0
0
0
0
1
312
2
0
174
83
8
8
0
0
0
0
3
5
2
15
7
6
7
19
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
5
38
8
1
21
13
0
16
2
0
10
4
Ticker StockGain LossGain/Loss Percent
NFLX
$190K
121%
FAS
$187K
53%
AER
$149K
31%
ECYT
$563K
234%
MU
$59K
39%
ANET
$84K
27%
VOO
$108K
21%
CNCE
$66K
31%
PYPL
$3K
13%
IRMD
$26K
54%
BOFI
$274K
56%
NVDA
$22K
10%
VNQI
$30K
9%
VOO
$62K
19%
AMZN
$45K
31%
VXUS
$15K
6%
TSLA
$59K
24%
TGT
$22K
43%
ANW
$25K
4%
RYAM
$34K
20%
NAVI
$7K
6%
SDYL
$13K
23%
none
$0K
?%
BXC
$39K
57%
NVDA
$297K
33%
Ticker StockGain LossGain/Loss Percent
GIMO
$-59K
-21%
SOXL
$-36K
-7%
DB
$11K
6%
CLSN
$-244K
-49%
MU
$59K
39%
CRSP
$-4K
-8%
VTI
$106K
21%
BB
$-101K
-20%
JNJ
$-14K
-5%
ICON
$-23K
-70%
TEVA
$-163K
-51%
ADOM
$-10K
-42%
VEU
$20K
9%
MNKD
$-19K
-9%
VWO
$-7K
-8%
BND
$2K
1%
GRMN
$5K
8%
CPB
$-5K
-10%
RAD
$-163K
-26%
GE
$-3K
-3%
EDF
$-34K
-7%
PSEC
$-57K
-16%
CAT
$-56K
-11%
LB
$-34K
-34%
KITE
$-312K
133%

Fermion close-up. Absolutely killing it with ECYT:

PlayerRankStockStartStart$EndEnd/Now$DifferenceGain/Loss
Fermion
5
CLSN
10/11/2017
495,040
Open
251,160
-243,880
-49%
  
ECYT
10/11/2017
241,000
Open
804,000
563,000
234%
Attached Images
File Type: jpg ecyt.jpg (31.6 KB, 10 views)
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Old 08-08-2018, 05:37 PM   #889
Recycles dryer sheets
 
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Posts: 72
So how do you join this contest?
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Old 08-08-2018, 06:20 PM   #890
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gstillson View Post
So how do you join this contest?
Sign up for account at Investopedia. Then you can search for contest and join. Link to first post of this thread:

Stock Picking (Beat Boho) Contest - V2.0
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Old 08-24-2018, 12:10 PM   #891
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I deleted my cookies and now I can't log into Investopedia. I even successfully changed my password. I'll experiment more later.
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Old 08-24-2018, 04:00 PM   #892
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Temporary glitch. I logged in.
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Old 09-01-2018, 12:47 PM   #893
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Boho View Post
I think I made two trades this month and two last month. My slowest 60 days so far.
I continued that trend this past month.

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Old 09-01-2018, 02:35 PM   #894
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Boho View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by Boho
I think I made two trades this month and two last month. My slowest 60 days so far.
I continued that trend this past month.
By "trend", I assume you mean the trend of making few trades? Because in performance, you out-performed the napper in July, but under-performed in August, so I don't see any trend there (is 'volatility' a trend?).

I started putting these in a spreadsheet going back to NOV2017. You are now more negative (relative to 'the market') than you have ever been in that time frame.

-19.53% -$195,292 ( 25.96% for napper nunnun, versus 6.43% for Boho).


-ERD50
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Old 09-01-2018, 04:24 PM   #895
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ERD50 View Post
By "trend", I assume you mean the trend of making few trades?
Yes.
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Old 09-02-2018, 03:02 PM   #896
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Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 4,650
K$countsbestworst
PlayerRankValue of AllValue of:OpenCash BalanceAverage Cash
comsecga
1
$1,720K
$1,821K
$-101K
$-51K
Fermion
2
$1,509K
$1,245K
$264K
$540K
exnavynuke
3
$1,483K
$1,763K
$-280K
$-349K
kite_rider
5
$1,439K
$1,777K
$-339K
$446K
Totoro_ERF
6
$1,412K
$1,244K
$168K
$136K
cfahey27
7
$1,386K
$1,373K
$13K
$357K
nunnun
8
$1,260K
$1,234K
$26K
$15K
Spudd
9
$1,228K
$1,372K
$-144K
$169K
cdailey
10
$1,218K
$2,007K
$-789K
$274K
ransil
11
$1,170K
$1,787K
$-617K
$736K
sengsational
12
$1,161K
$1,160K
$1K
$29K
lbymfreddie
13
$1,158K
$1,145K
$13K
$59K
NormYoung
14
$1,133K
$1,025K
$108K
$745K
DieWurst
15
$1,116K
$1,116K
$0K
$5K
easysurfer
16
$1,114K
$988K
$125K
$238K
covert1
17
$1,100K
$1,089K
$11K
$96K
KCScubaSteve
18
$1,100K
$1,097K
$3K
$779K
nvestysly
19
$1,099K
$1,089K
$11K
$313K
underwrite
20
$1,070K
$1,032K
$38K
$892K
BohoII
21
$1,064K
$494K
$570K
$317K
lawrencewendall
22
$1,055K
$1,592K
$-538K
$-541K
RiskyBusinessC2
23
$1,000K
$724K
$276K
$508K
Clone2
31
$909K
$894K
$15K
$531K
RISP
32
$738K
$715K
$22K
$-85K
Fermion1
4
$722K
$842K
$-120K
$255K
Current OpenLong TradesShort TradesOption TradesR/T TradesR/T-Unique Stocks
6
27
4
0
13
12
2
2
0
0
0
0
4
12
0
0
5
3
11
16
0
2
1
1
2
11
0
0
4
4
4
5
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
9
111
12
8
68
44
12
12
0
0
0
0
22
213
2
0
91
20
30
169
1
0
76
46
5
26
0
0
8
4
6
7
0
0
0
0
3
10
0
0
0
0
3
18
0
0
0
0
4
13
0
0
1
1
5
5
0
0
0
0
20
26
0
0
0
0
8
8
0
0
0
0
3
313
2
0
193
95
8
19
0
0
0
0
3
5
2
15
1
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
6
38
8
1
21
13
1
16
2
0
10
4
Ticker StockGain LossGain/Loss Percent
NFLX
$210K
133%
ECYT
$745K
309%
FAS
$195K
55%
ANET
$136K
43%
AER
$138K
28%
AAPL
$223K
48%
VTI
$119K
24%
LEDS
$150K
80%
AMZN
$113K
39%
NVDA
$22K
10%
IRMD
$26K
54%
BOFI
$274K
56%
AMZN
$58K
40%
VWO
$29K
6%
VTI
$76K
21%
VOO
$69K
21%
NVDA
$41K
11%
TGT
$26K
52%
RYAM
$36K
21%
ANW
$25K
4%
SDYL
$14K
25%
NAVI
$7K
6%
none
$0K
?%
SONC
$43K
43%
NVDA
$401K
44%
Ticker StockGain LossGain/Loss Percent
GIMO
$-59K
-21%
CLSN
$-236K
-48%
SOXL
$-36K
-7%
JNUG
$-18K
-10%
DB
$11K
6%
NVDA
$42K
60%
VOO
$115K
23%
BB
$-101K
-20%
BABA
$-9K
-7%
FTR
$-30K
-32%
ICON
$-23K
-70%
TEVA
$-163K
-51%
VWO
$-10K
-11%
VEU
$16K
8%
BND
$2K
1%
MNKD
$-48K
-22%
TSLA
$-1K
-0%
GE
$-26K
-45%
GE
$-3K
-3%
RAD
$-140K
-24%
FTR
$-124K
-62%
EDF
$-61K
-13%
CAT
$-58K
-12%
LB
$-45K
-45%
KITE
$-312K
133%

BohoII had 77 trades in January and only 8 in the last 3 months. ransil is a late starter, but has over 150 trades in the last 3 months.

Player03/1704/1705/1706/1707/1708/1709/1710/1711/1712/1701/1802/1803/1804/1805/1806/1807/1808/18
comsecga01511500000000000000
Fermion000000020000000000
exnavynuke170022000000000000
Fermion10071000010000000000
kite_rider000000060000261102
Totoro_ERF106000000000400000
cfahey27000000500000000000
nunnun200000000000000000
Spudd3148821022916873624711
cdailey0000000000012000000
ransil00000000000002136614453
sengsational030121210100101301110510910018
lbymfreddie072351020002400000
NormYoung000000000000070000
DieWurst400101000200100010
easysurfer333333000000000000
covert1005600100000010000
KCScubaSteve000000000000005000
nvestysly0000002001110210000
underwrite000000000000000080
BohoII111151211001618647717312113431
lawrencewendall1105111000000000000
RiskyBusinessC2001421640101110000
Clone2000000000200000000
RISP1594110013311800000
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Old 09-09-2018, 03:16 PM   #897
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Posts: 4,650
covert1 surges from 17th to 10th place over the last few days. Here are the trades:
PlayerRankStockStartStart$EndEnd/Now$DifferenceGain/Loss
covert1
10
BRK.B
05/11/2017
163,290
Open
214,040
50,750
31%
  
DFE
09/03/2017
320,333
Open
309,477
-10,856
-3%
  
MNKD
09/08/2017
222,370
Open
282,130
59,760
27%
  
O
05/11/2017
272,710
06/02/2017
283,300
10,590
4%
  
VOO
05/25/2017
331,175
Open
396,270
65,095
20%

MNKD went from the biggest loser to almost the biggest winner with the news that they have more time to develop inhaled insulin.
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Old 09-09-2018, 03:46 PM   #898
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I have a nice little counter-market portfolio. I think I'll keep it.

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Old 09-09-2018, 04:06 PM   #899
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Boho View Post
I have a nice little counter-market portfolio. I think I'll keep it.
It's not hard, anyone can do it:

-ERD50
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Old 09-29-2018, 11:23 PM   #900
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Posts: 20,094
Any EOM update?

TIA - ERD50
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