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Old 02-26-2016, 07:36 PM   #21
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"Time to be greedy?"

You lost me at the word "time".

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Old 02-26-2016, 07:47 PM   #22
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Originally Posted by stepford View Post
"Time to be greedy?"

You lost me at the word "time".
I hear you completely and I am not lifting a finger. On the other hand, presumably even Jack Bogle would like to see stocks climb, which possibly makes this obscure data point worth knowing about.

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Old 02-26-2016, 08:09 PM   #23
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Originally Posted by DrRoy View Post
I have seen other reports of bearishness reaching levels of 2009. Generally that does bode well for equities. I do not market time based on this or anything else, but it does give one a bit more hope for better times in the market.
I'd like to see how well measures of "bearishness" correlate with future stock returns when also coupled with a market as richly valued as this one. My guess is we're forecasting off of some pretty spurious correlations in that bearish sentiment is usually highest when stocks have gotten the crap beaten out of them for a long time. That's certainly not the case today.

My wager is that valuations dominate sentiment as far as future returns are concerned. And most domestic equities don't look particularly cheap.

That doesn't mean they can't get more expensive, though.
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Old 03-01-2016, 03:54 AM   #24
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That chart sure bounces all over the place in really short time frames.

If it is an accurate reflection of what people actually feel and think, that's our manic depressive friend mr. Market right there.

Nice to trade with, hope he doesn't move next door though.
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Time to be greedy?
Old 04-20-2016, 05:39 PM   #25
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Time to be greedy?

I do find Mr. Market entertaining to watch, though I try not to do business with him. The latest:

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