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11-06-2016, 04:07 PM
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#21
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jan 2013
Posts: 3,405
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bob boag
Lately the market tanks after an 8-year term. 2000, 2008, 2016?
I did a very un-Bogleheaded thing (again) and parked my $3M in cash about three weeks ago. I already made $200k this year so I took the luxury of heading to safety. Stupid yes but I dodged a $20K loss so far.
When will I re-enter? After the market crashes, or the dust settles.
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I think a lot of people will wake up tomorrow and decide to do the same thing. My guess is we will have a down day tomorrow. What happens the rest of the week and the rest of the year is anybody's guess at this point.
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11-06-2016, 04:13 PM
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#22
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Jul 2010
Location: Torrance
Posts: 116
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Do you use a two-handed backhand?
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11-06-2016, 04:33 PM
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#23
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 10,252
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Futures show about a 1.5% pop already. Oh, well … I thought folks could at least wait until Tuesday to start buying.
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Timing the market and elections
11-06-2016, 05:15 PM
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#24
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 88
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Timing the market and elections
I've been buying stocks on down days the last week or so. Nothing significant, just some regular contributions that need to be made sooner or later.
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11-06-2016, 07:31 PM
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#25
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: Hooverville
Posts: 22,983
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FIREmenow
NO POLITICS!!
Listening to some financial talking heads this weekend, and they were discussing that no matter who wins, there will be some sort of perturbation in the market that would eventually go the opposite way longer term. Sounded interesting. I'm not a market-timer, tho.
As an aside, they were also observing stocks whose companies would benefit from either candidate winning, and watching who was buying what as a possible indicator of how the electorate will vote.
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Why does a person write NO POLITICS! followed by a post that is about elections?
Ha
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11-06-2016, 07:47 PM
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#26
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: May 2008
Location: No fixed abode
Posts: 8,764
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There's an election this year?
__________________
"Good judgment comes from experience. Experience comes from bad judgement." - Anonymous (not Will Rogers or Sam Clemens)
DW and I - FIREd at 50 (7/06), living off assets
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11-07-2016, 09:15 AM
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#27
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Mar 2013
Posts: 1,016
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Seat belt light is on, a few people are actually buckling. That's about it.
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11-07-2016, 09:24 AM
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#28
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Apr 2012
Posts: 6,135
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My plan has been to have enough in cash so that I'm not forced to touch my investments for at least 7 years. So I can wait out whatever turmoil happens.
__________________
FIREd date: June 26, 2018 - "This Happy Feeling, Going Round and Round!" (GQ)
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11-07-2016, 09:59 AM
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#29
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: May 2013
Posts: 756
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Quote:
Originally Posted by haha
Why does a person write NO POLITICS! followed by a post that is about elections?
Ha
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Oh.
OK - No PARTISAN Politics. Just about the financial conversation.
__________________
“Believe me, my young friend, there is nothing - absolutely nothing - half so much worth doing as simply messing about in boats.” ― Kenneth Grahame, The Wind in the Willows
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11-09-2016, 02:16 AM
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#30
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Jul 2010
Location: Torrance
Posts: 116
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bob boag
Lately the market tanks after an 8-year term. 2000, 2008, 2016?
I did a very un-Bogleheaded thing (again) and parked my $3M in cash about three weeks ago. I already made $200k this year so I took the luxury of heading to safety. Stupid yes but I dodged a $20K loss so far.
When will I re-enter? After the market crashes, or the dust settles.
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I'm back in tomorrow at COB after the bloodbath.
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11-09-2016, 07:45 AM
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#31
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: May 2015
Location: Charleston, SC
Posts: 534
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I'm light on the Bond Fund side of my Allocation. I may add to my FSITX near the Close today. The Chart I saw on TV this morning had quite a bump, would be nice to lock in those numbers.
__________________
He who thinks he 'knows it all' has a very limited understanding of the word ALL.
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11-09-2016, 03:35 PM
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#32
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Jul 2010
Location: Torrance
Posts: 116
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bob boag
I'm back in tomorrow at COB after the bloodbath.
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Shucks I didn't get the knife-edge re-entry point I was hoping for today. Imma stay out for another couple days and hope there's not a big run-up. Sorry folks but I need a cataclysm! j/k I'll do fine.
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11-09-2016, 04:03 PM
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#33
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Aug 2013
Location: https://www.google.com
Posts: 750
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emerging markets ETFs took about a 3% hit by the end of the day
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11-12-2016, 12:53 PM
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#34
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: South Texas~29N/98W Just West of Woman Hollering Creek
Posts: 6,671
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I admit that I market-timed the second half of my RMD recently to take advantage of the recent bump in stocks. My options included taking it sometime prior to 1/1/17, so I took it now. We'll see if it was a wise move.
__________________
Part-Owner of Texas
Outside of a dog, a book is man's best friend. Inside of a dog, it's too dark to read. Groucho Marx
In dire need of: faster horses, younger woman, older whiskey, more money.
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11-14-2016, 09:10 PM
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#35
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Aug 2016
Location: Cottage Grove
Posts: 212
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I missed the window of opportunity the morning of the 9th. But if I were a betting man, and I am to a degree, I would be very bullish on rising equities, interest rates, and inflation for the next couple of years.
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11-14-2016, 09:16 PM
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#36
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Rio Grande Valley
Posts: 38,008
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The market surprised everyone again on 11/9/16 - as usual!
I have no idea what will happen in the near term. Looks like we might have a Thanksgiving/Santa Claus rally but in the face of treasuries already having suddenly jumped back up to where we started this year, that seems pretty amazing. Equities are certainly ignoring interest rate moves right now.
My instincts are to lighten up as equities move higher.
__________________
Retired since summer 1999.
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11-16-2016, 02:21 PM
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#37
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Jul 2010
Location: Torrance
Posts: 116
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bob boag
Shucks I didn't get the knife-edge re-entry point I was hoping for today. Imma stay out for another couple days and hope there's not a big run-up. Sorry folks but I need a cataclysm! j/k I'll do fine.
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OK so Mr Greed was tapping on Mr Fear's shoulder so today I got back in 33% into the Total Stock Market funds of my Fidelity & Vanguard IRAs. Prefer cash to bond funds for the balance/ballast ATM.
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