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Old 05-09-2008, 09:34 AM   #1
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Yahoo Finance . com - Oil surpasses $126 per barrel ahead of US driving season

Oil surpasses $126 per barrel ahead of US driving season: Financial News - Yahoo! Finance

Folks I guess the summer vacation just got cut short a few days and maybe a look at a different des·ti·na·tion is in order.

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Old 05-09-2008, 11:32 PM   #2
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USA Today - Gas prices rattle Americans

Gas prices rattle Americans - USATODAY.com

Excerpts from the article

Record high gas prices are prompting Americans to drive less for the first time in nearly three decades, squeezing family budgets and causing major shifts in driving habits, federal data and a USA TODAY/Gallup Poll show.

As prices near — or in some places top — $4 a gallon, most Americans say they are cutting back on other household spending, seriously considering buying more fuel-efficient cars and consolidating their daily errands to save fuel.

End of excerpts.

It appears that the high gas prices are just now beginning to get us all concerned and in some cases probably a little & .

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Old 05-08-2008, 08:03 AM   #3
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Zathras - sure, people were lined up to lease them at the artificially low lease rate. Also GM did not want the responsibility of the safety and maintenance issues on a few hundred cars - it makes no economic sense for them

Quote:
Also, while Ca did remove the zero emmissions rule, it did so because major car companies SUED them.
Good - it was a stupid law. Much better ways to reduce emissions (see above).

But, I'm sure we could throw various quotes back and forth with various charges of bias of the source - so let's skip that and keep it simple and do an end-run around the conspiracy theories:

If there is so much demand for electric cars, and it really is so easy to provide them at a cost that meets demand, how come no one is doing it? The only way Tesla could do it is by wrapping it up as a high end sports car so they could justify the $100,000 plus price tag. Not exactly something that 2% of CA is going to buy.
Quote:
They could build EV1s today and they would sell. Upgrade them to lithium batteries and I would buy one this afternoon.
I think the Tesla has ~ $50,000 worth of lithium batteries. And that lightweight, aerodynamic car NEEDS that many to get a 200 mile range (the performance is a byproduct of range). OK, cut the range to 40 miles, but than add some back for a 4 seater, and you still have a lot of cost in batteries. And a lot of people would not buy them because they occasionally need to travel more than 40 miles.

Tell me where I can buy a 4 seater, sub $30,000 electric with 40 mile range - I'd like to take a look.
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As for the Volt, I will believe it when it is available for sale.
Me too. And you won't see it until the batteries become affordable. Right now they are not. I read that GM estimates they would need to price it at $48,000 in 2009 - too steep for me to decide to shift my pollution to a coal plant.

-ERD50

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Old 05-08-2008, 08:16 AM   #4
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Zathras - sure, people were lined up to lease them at the artificially low lease rate.
You seemed to miss the part where people offered to BUY them at full price.

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Tell me where I can buy a 4 seater, sub $30,000 electric with 40 milre range - I'd like to take a look.
Home - Think (but please check the amount, I am not sure as the price).
Now, this is available in Norway and France, but will be available in the US in 2010 or 2009.

Seriously though, if you haven't seen 'who killed the electric car' watch it. There is a lot of good information in there and then you will know more about the history of those events.

One peice of speculation was that GM didn't want the EV to succeed as GM makes a large amount of their money with parts and repairs. The repairs and parts for an EV are dramatically reduced, so this source of income would decrease.

Could you post a link to the $48k price estimate? I would appreciate it, the most I found is that they are shooting for 40k.

Funny thing is I can get a similar gas expenditure today with a Prius + PHEV module for 35K. This is one of the reasons I don't think GM is serious about the Volt. I would be happy to be proven wrong in a couple of years though
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Old 05-08-2008, 08:50 AM   #5
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You seemed to miss the part where people offered to BUY them at full price.
What was that 'full price'? And GM would still be resonsible for safety and service support. Sure, I'm sure you could find links that say people would waive this - but that means GM would need to have their lawyers go over all this, and then if something happens it goes to a jury, and then who knows?

Like I said - skip the conspiracy theories and just answer the question - why doesn't someone else offer an EV-1 equivalent if the demand was so great? Are all these companies just passing up this gold mine?



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Home - Think (but please check the amount, I am not sure as the price).
Now, this is available in Norway and France, but will be available in the US in 2010 or 2009.
As you said - I will believe it (and evaluate it) when I see it

Quote:
Seriously though, if you haven't seen 'who killed the electric car' watch it. There is a lot of good information in there and then you will know more about the history of those events.
I've read about it, listened to an interview with the authors. IMO, based on what I've read and heard, they are shysters playing on a gullible public's desire to blame everything on big, bad companies. Why doesn't greenpeace just make energy efficient products that don't create any pollution, don't use any raw materials, never wear out, and are cost effective, rather than complaining that no on else does?


Quote:
One peice of speculation was that GM didn't want the EV to succeed as GM makes a large amount of their money with parts and repairs. The repairs and parts for an EV are dramatically reduced, so this source of income would decrease.
Again - conspiracy theory. None of that keeps a competitor from making one, so why don't they?

Quote:
Could you post a link to the $48k price estimate? I would appreciate it, the most I found is that they are shooting for 40k.
Chevrolet Volt - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Quote:
At the time of unveiling, the Volt project had been in existence for less than a year. The Volt was targeted to cost around $20K to 30K,[8] but Bob Lutz has indicated that $30-40K is more likely.[9] As of April 2008 Lutz said that the realistic unsubsidised cost has risen to $48k.[10]
Quote:
Funny thing is I can get a similar gas expenditure today with a Prius + PHEV module for 35K. This is one of the reasons I don't think GM is serious about the Volt.
Exactly - the all electrics just are not cost effective... yet. When they are, I'll buy one, and GM will probably sell them. I have always loved the idea, the simplicity, of an all electric. I hope that cost effectiveness is the result of lower battery costs, rather than higher gas prices, but it will probably be a combination.

-ERD50
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Old 05-08-2008, 09:22 AM   #6
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I've seen a SMART around town with Ontario plates... and there was one in my parent's town (middle of nowhere Indiana). I'm tempted to get one. Part of the problem, though, is that I'm now, temporarily, driving a section of 70mph highway every day that I happen to share with Bob the farmer in his F350 King Ranch and Suzy soccer mom and her Excursion (complete with 1 kid in the back).

Part of my problem is that there's no way I'd be able to justify getting a new vehicle for any reason. We own one car, we carpool to work, and we have no need for a second car. So, even if it was free, it'd still cost too much to get a second car.

If I did, though, I'd be tempted to get a Prius and convert it to a PHEV. However, I'd rather get a PHEV as an OEM option rather than trying to decide which aftermarket kit (which vary by quite a bit) is best. a Volt would be an interesting option too... or maybe something 'exotic' like the SMART, Aptera, or VentureOne.
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Old 05-08-2008, 09:27 AM   #7
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(middle of nowhere Indiana)
Isn't this redundant...

I expect my next vehicle will be a small, ICE-powered 5-door, like a Rio5 or something. And I'll keep my pick-em-up truck until the wheels fall off...
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Old 05-08-2008, 03:31 PM   #8
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USA Today - Ga. church: Call this number for free gasoline

Ga. church: Call this number for free gasoline - On Deadline - USATODAY.com

Very INTERESTING.

The church motto might be "Fill up your tank and fill up your soul."

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Old 05-08-2008, 03:53 PM   #9
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Personally, I don't like the idea of two energy systems in a single car - too complex. At least with a series hybrid, the two systems are not so closely intertwined.
I agree, but don't forget, as someone on this forum pointed out to me, that every one of the cars in our garages has two energy systems in it.
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Old 05-08-2008, 04:28 PM   #10
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I agree, but don't forget, as someone on this forum pointed out to me, that every one of the cars in our garages has two energy systems in it.
I had to think about that second - but you are right (or are you joking?.. I never can tell...).

Yes; starter motor, battery, generator, control systems. And, in most hybrids, I think the motor does serve as the starter, so it isn't an additional motor. But, when you make all that part of the motive system, it does get a bit more complex.

But, simpler still (and probably where my electric train of though was going at the time) is the all-electric. At least in theory - the potential reliability will be very nice. No spark plugs, valves, piston rings, crankshafts, oil changes, exhaust system, etc, etc, etc. In practice, will batteries, motors, and high power electronics prove to be reliable? It may take a while.

I'm amazed at just how reliable something as complex as an ICE has become. Just goes to show what a hundred years of refinement can do.

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Old 05-08-2008, 08:24 PM   #11
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CNN Money - Why $120 oil is good
Speculators are often blamed for artificially inflating crude prices, but some experts say high prices are needed to cut demand and develop new resources

Why $120 oil is good, and speculators don't matter - May. 8, 2008

Interesting article.

The high prices just might make us all conserve more, change our drivng habits, change our choices on the type of vehicles we drive and buy, lead to the research and developement of new technolgy, the use of alternate fuels, etc..., etc....., etc......

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Old 05-10-2008, 09:09 AM   #12
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Well, if gas prices STAY high, people will probably start to take some measures to reduce consumption.

Gas Tax Holiday = STUPID. Hillary could not name one single credible economist to defend her plan.

This talk about gas prices affecting vacation plans is just media babble. The numbers just don't make sense. Let's say a family was to drive 1000 miles out and 1000 miles back on vacation. That is a pretty good drive.

So, 2000 miles, say 20 mpg on the highway, is 100 gallons of gas. Pick a number, say gas is up a whole $1 (it is actually more like 50 cents). That adds a total of $100 to the cost of a 2000 mile trip. If they squeeze it all in in 7 days, that is just $14 a day. Considering hotels, food, entertainment, mementos, and everything else you would do on a vacation like this, is $14 a day the 'deal-breaker'. I can't see it.

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Old 05-10-2008, 09:48 AM   #13
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You're right about the numbers not being a "deal-breaker" on one trip, but overall people do notice. I sure do when I'm looking at $80 to fill the pickup truck instead of $45-50. It's not a daily driver so it's not going to make me get rid of it (we do use the truck's capabilities often) but I wouldn't pick that to drive to work.

Here's an alternative that I'm sure gets great mileage. Motorized bicycles, various bike motors, electric bikes or TLE 43 bicycle engines for Dahon folding motorized bikes and tricycles. We're going to look at two lightly used ones tomorrow.
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Old 05-10-2008, 10:09 AM   #14
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You're right about the numbers not being a "deal-breaker" on one trip, but overall people do notice. I sure do when I'm looking at $80 to fill the pickup truck instead of $45-50. It's not a daily driver so it's not going to make me get rid of it (we do use the truck's capabilities often) but I wouldn't pick that to drive to work.

Here's an alternative that I'm sure gets great mileage. Motorized bicycles, various bike motors, electric bikes or TLE 43 bicycle engines for Dahon folding motorized bikes and tricycles. We're going to look at two lightly used ones tomorrow.
I wonder if you have to license those? Is insurance required? That looks like a good solution for some people.
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Old 05-10-2008, 10:47 AM   #15
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I wonder if you have to license those? Is insurance required? That looks like a good solution for some people.
In some small West Texas towns folks drive around on electric scooters, golf carts and small ATV's which do not have license plates. The folks that drive some of these vehicles range in age from about 7 to 80.

Now in the bigger cities these vehicles are not driven on the streets.

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Old 05-10-2008, 11:07 AM   #16
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In some small West Texas towns folks drive around on electric scooters, golf carts and small ATV's which do not have license plates. The folks that drive some of these vehicles range in age from about 7 to 80.

Now in the bigger cities these vehicles are not driven on the streets.
Oh well.... maybe they won't work for me, in that case. Thanks.
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Old 05-10-2008, 11:55 AM   #17
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What happened to the 18.4 cent gas tax repeal for the summer?

Have not heard much about it since the primaries in IND and NC.

In the short run the 18.4 cent gas tax repeal for the summer would put a few extra bucks in our pockets but in the long run without a national energy policy it would not mean much.

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Old 05-14-2008, 07:49 AM   #18
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I wonder if you have to license those? Is insurance required? That looks like a good solution for some people.
We ended up buying the two motorized bicycles for $350 each, they're about $1,200 new. They don't have to be licensed since the engines are under 50cc. They fold up into a package the size of a large suitcase, that with an eye for a travel trailer in the future. For the present, we'll use them for local rides along the C&O canal and such. The guy we bought them from used them about an hour, then hung them in the garage for two years.

The things will go about 30 mph (sort of scary on a bicycle), 15-20 mph up a steep hill that would be tough with a granny gear. They're noisy though - think weedeater engine sounds.

This will probably be a good year for scooter and motorcycle dealers, at least until winter sets in. I rode a motorcycle through two winters and haven't been "quite right in the head" about cold weather since.
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Old 05-14-2008, 10:35 AM   #19
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We ended up buying the two motorized bicycles for $350 each, they're about $1,200 new. They don't have to be licensed since the engines are under 50cc. They fold up into a package the size of a large suitcase, that with an eye for a travel trailer in the future. For the present, we'll use them for local rides along the C&O canal and such. The guy we bought them from used them about an hour, then hung them in the garage for two years.

The things will go about 30 mph (sort of scary on a bicycle), 15-20 mph up a steep hill that would be tough with a granny gear. They're noisy though - think weedeater engine sounds.

This will probably be a good year for scooter and motorcycle dealers, at least until winter sets in. I rode a motorcycle through two winters and haven't been "quite right in the head" about cold weather since.
Thanks for the info!! They sound great. The noise might be a problem for me, though, so I'm glad you mentioned it.
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Old 05-14-2008, 10:35 AM   #20
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We ended up buying the two motorized bicycles for $350 each, they're about $1,200 new. They don't have to be licensed since the engines are under 50cc. They fold up into a package the size of a large suitcase, that with an eye for a travel trailer in the future. For the present, we'll use them for local rides along the C&O canal and such. The guy we bought them from used them about an hour, then hung them in the garage for two years.

The things will go about 30 mph (sort of scary on a bicycle), 15-20 mph up a steep hill that would be tough with a granny gear. They're noisy though - think weedeater engine sounds.

This will probably be a good year for scooter and motorcycle dealers, at least until winter sets in. I rode a motorcycle through two winters and haven't been "quite right in the head" about cold weather since.
Had a friend who rode a bike to work about 8 miles from his house to the school. Did it on a -3 degree morning with the wind blowing 25+ mph in his face the entire way. The guy had frostbitten fingers and never rode the bike again!
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