I am going out on a limb here to give my 2 cents on this without being political on a clearly political subject. I do not endorse any party and lay blame where it should be with all past administrations. Both have gotten us into this mess. Anyway, this is a particularly scary prospect and concerns anyone who is either currently retired or contemplating retirement soon. Money, particularly in a fiat currency such as the US dollar or the EU Euro is only as good as the belief that it is good. There is nothing to back it up except faith in the economic system. Clearly each government is approaching this in different ways and the citizenry are reacting in response, sometimes in unpredictable ways. It is extremely interesting to observe and I would only be academically interested except all my money is tied up in the US yet I am living in Europe. So for us what happens in both systems is vitally important. Luckily Hungary where I live is not in the Euro zone and the Hungarian Forint is not a fiat based currency but it has been and remains weak so I am not eager to move my money here. There are 2 basic schools of thought regarding how to get out of a recession (although this could arguably be a depression). The first is the Keynesian concept of spending your way out by creating money and infusing the system with it thus creating jobs which subsequently bolster the economy. This is what has been happening with little effect in the US, perhaps because it is the wrong approach or we haven't created enough money ($15 Trillion isn't enough
), or it was put into the economy the wrong way by giving it to banks who then refuse to loan it back out. In Europe they have been using the austerity concept of cutting spending, increasing taxes, and pressing everything hoping to pay it down until things recover. Clearly that isn't working and the people are tired of increasing taxes, rising unemployment, and inequities between countries in the same federalized government (Germany is clearly richer and fully in control over the EU although France's revolt on Sunday by electing a socialist is a clear sign things are not stable). What is interesting is that neither system is working or at least not to the extent it should have by now. In the US no recovery from a recession has ever occurred without the housing market recovering first and the market is actually getting worse so obviously something isn't working. Unemployment is actually increasing but the corporations and banks are seeing record profits so there is a clear disconnect. So, given that it is clear that no one really knows what to do and we seem to be in new territory not amenable to historical economic theories what is one to do? In my own case I am relying on the US government for my military pension and hopefully social security in 3 years. This also BTW pushes people to start considering drawing SS at the minimum age on the assumption it won't last long which will affect SS by moving the drawdown to earlier ages (not older which is what they have been using as a model) which has not been calculated into the plans for SS. I intend to start collecting at age 62 but had previously been planing for age 66. I would rather get something now rather than the increasingly likely prospect of getting nothing in the future. Then we have about $650K in 401K accounts which are in US banks. Actually that isn't so clear cut either as it is invested in IRA's at Scottrade which may or may not be insured. We also have a brokerage account with them at roughly the same amount. If the banking system completely collapses and the US government collapses as well, arguably a worst case scenario, then we have nothing except the house we are living here in Hungary which is free and clear. [MOD EDIT] Defaults on loans here in Europe will really only affect the banks as they are the ones floating the loans. But, the US also has opened up dollar swap lines with the IMF to help the EU deal with it's problems. This ties the US economy directly to Europe and takes on a huge risk particularly in light that the US economy itself is far over-extended. [MOD EDIT]Just having all of our fighter fleet and 3 carrier groups fully deployed is almost as expensive as fighting a war and is unbalancing the economic futures. [MOD EDIT]