I don't understand the hostility to this particular poster.
Do you know that old saying from New England? If you dont like the weather, just wait a little while?
Just wait a little while.
In short, its a bunch of drama from some drama queens. That old sound and fury signifying nothing.
In long...
He was banned for being a troll from a bunch of early retirement sites. When he came here begging to be able to post, I supported his right to his opinion.
In fact, some of these opinions bear merit, as you noted.
When he was allowed back on another site, most of the users left, and I made no friends by again supporting him. The users protest was that he will poke his nose into any discussion about anything and try to turn it into an "SWR" discussion, or at least something "about him". In fact, he was made a moderator, able to control content.
Which he did. By censoring rational arguments that were unfavorable to his position.
Then by working to have arguments moved entirely into "dead letter" buckets.
Follow that with eye bleeding long post after eye bleeding long post complaining that certain people who dont agree with him should be ejected from the posting communities.
Not to mention that the primary basis for his positions are the ability to value the stock market (which as far as I know, nobody can with complete authority), and the ability to predict the future (ditto).
When its pointed out that his "system", all of 10 years old, has already failed twice, he is nonplussed. In fact his system would have had you avoiding stocks through the entire 1990's run-up, and not owning them at the 'bottom' in 2002. Or 2003. Or now.
When I attempted to bring attention to the gaps in their so called "logic", I became the enemy. The death of a thousand small cuts delivered here there and everywhere.
When I told them to stuff it, that single post in the absence of the rest of it was used to claim I was only there to 'smear' their good name.
Gee, and I was one of the few suckers who supported the guy, just a week or two earlier.
Moral of the story: dont be the next sucker. This tar-baby troll isnt worth the frustration. At the minimum, he's no better and offers no superior treatment than he complains about receiving... :
A lot of people think that all he's doing is trolling for attention. I find it hard to believe someone would put the kind of time into it. But then some people dont have much of a life. He and his alter ego "JWR1945" have been reduced almost to a two way conversation over there on that other board. He must have gotten bored with that, so he's back here again for more fun and games!
By the way, since they always seem to show up on boards one and then the other, and they're the only two pushing this 'agenda', and ***** keeps referring to himself in the 3rd person, I'm strongly of the opinion that both of them are the same guy.
At the end of the day, nobody can really tell whats going to happen in the future. Hence theres no such thing as "safe". But you can look at what happened in the past, then look at whats going on now, put together a plan that should work and then work your plan appropriately as conditions change.
But the whole idea of some massive thinking, planning and tooling session for years on end to produce the holy grail?
Shoot...I'd rather dig up my septic system to see whats in there.