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My plan calls for withdrawing about 3.5% per year from the portfolio (plus inflation) on average over the entire retirement period. I read your original question again, and I see that you're only asking about the first year. For me that will be about 4.3%. When my pension kicks in shortly thereafter, that will drop.
I have found Quicken Financial Planner to be a great way to visualize cash flow and see where the money will likely come from in each individual year. I'm using a very conservative real return of 2.5% (3.5% inflation and 6% return), so my results in real life will hopefully be better than that. I kept the old version of QFP that came with Quicken 99. The charts are much better and more detailed in the older version of QFP.
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