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Old 02-28-2008, 02:53 PM   #13
Recycles dryer sheets
 
Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 316
Quote:
You may or may not be correct, but there is nothing in your Buffett quotation that leads to that conclusion.
No, nothing in that quote.......thanks for pointing that out so nobody gets confused.

Here's what I'm talking about. When I was accumulating, I never thought volatility equaled risk. Heck, more volatility usually meant I could pick up more shares of whatever I was looking at for a better price, so I actually liked the volatility.

Now I'm coming around to the fact that volatility does in fact = risk when you have to draw down the portfolio, and I'm also getting older and I'm just not as brave. I actually never really thought about the mechanics of drawing down the portfolio at all when I was saving like crazy.


Quote:
nothing new here


Well, I though this info was interesting, and pretty "new" and timely:

What we are seeing is a huge repricing and evaluation of risk, correcting for problems of the past. I don’t know of good credit propositions that are going unfulfilled. There’s lots of cheap credit for sensible deals, which I don’t define as anything that happened over the last 12, 18 months. A lot of things that didn’t make sense are being washed out of the system. It is painful for bad decisions. Comparatively, this is not a credit crunch. In 1982 the prime rate was 22% and money was very expensive. In the late 60’s, we made a sound deal there wasn’t any money to be had. That’s not the case now. The Fed has opened the window, and rates are down. It doesn’t mean there won’t be a major recession.
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