Recent content by Aeowyn

  1. Aeowyn

    Bogle's 10-Year Forecast

    I agree. I assumed there was a data point for monthly 10 year rolling periods as they were way too many data points for yearly 10 year rolling periods over the time frame the graph was supposed to be for. I'd like to see these graphs done annually (by calendar year) for 10 year rolling...
  2. Aeowyn

    Bogle's 10-Year Forecast

    Bogle did. 6% is the gross stock return. If you have 50/50 stock/bond portfolio gross return is 4.5% Then after subtracting 2% for inflation, either 1.5% (active fund costs) or 0.05% (index fund costs), 1.5% for investor behavior, and 0.5% for taxes....
  3. Aeowyn

    Bogle's 10-Year Forecast

    I think I'll take some comfort in the Bogle stock return predictions based on how conservative they have historically been. I took the graph below from the Boglehead's Conference 15 October 2015 page 19 (http://johncbogle.com/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/Bogleheads-14-2015.pdf). I...
  4. Aeowyn

    Roth Conversions

    Since it is so hard to predict the future... what will my portfolio returns be between now and RMDs? What will happen to tax laws... What will my earned income look like in the future before full retirement (DH self employed and I'm currently doing part time contract work and starting a cattle...
  5. Aeowyn

    Need sanity check on when to take pension

    Thanks for confirming the reason I hate annuitization. IMO the only one that makes out on that transaction is the insurance company.
  6. Aeowyn

    Need sanity check on when to take pension

    Of course one thing for sure you should do before taking the pension payments, is check to see if it is competitive with a lump sum life time annuity (I don't know - I don't really like annuities so I don't keep up). If you can get the same or better in the open market, you might consider doing...
  7. Aeowyn

    Need sanity check on when to take pension

    I guess I'm an optimist:greetings10:. There is always someone saying the sky is falling. And when I invest money when they are the loudest - my money grows the most. If it were me, I would 100% take the lump sum at 55 and roll it into a Traditional IRA. I have high confidence (> 95%) that my...
  8. Aeowyn

    Single Life Annuity or Joint Survivor Annuity

    I would take the SLA over the JLA. Or even better, I would probably take a lump sum over either (if available and would have to run numbers just to make sure). My reasoning is this: you are self insured. Assuming your wife is the sole beneficiary of all of your assets, between the two of...
  9. Aeowyn

    confused on ss spousal

    Here is a good article: Social Security Spousal Benefit at or After FRA | FiGuide It appears the spousal benefit is reduced if you start before FRA, but not increased if you wait until after FRA. The spousal benefit appears to be limited to 50% of spouses FRA benefit
  10. Aeowyn

    confused on ss spousal

    As I understand it (I could be wrong)... The spousal benefit is based on half of your spouse's FRA benefit and then adjusted based on what age you are when you start taking it. So in the situation you outlined if you start receiving the spousal benefit at FRA you would get 1/2 of what his...
  11. Aeowyn

    mother-in-law wants to put us on the deed to her new house...?

    And I forgot to ask: MIL wants to put you on the deed - but when she passes is the equity supposed to be split between the siblings? If you give the siblings proceeds from the portion of the house that you owned before she passes, you would be subject to gift taxes too.
  12. Aeowyn

    mother-in-law wants to put us on the deed to her new house...?

    The first issue is you miss the step up in basis (of course she is just buying the house but if she lives 30 more years the increase in value could be quite a bit) when she dies. If you are owners of the house when she dies, you basis (of your part of the ownership) is going to be what she paid...
  13. Aeowyn

    How much liability insurance do you carry?

    For the case of someone self employed restoring artwork and damaging a painting... I have no doubt that you could be sued for this. But I rather doubt that a personal umbrella policy will cover you. Most likely you will need a commercial policy to cover this activity.
  14. Aeowyn

    When to take SS?

    We have a bit of a wait before we have to make that decision (49 and DH 48). I used to think that we’d take it as soon as we were eligible. I have a bird in the hand mentality as well as I figured that we get a better rate of return (on average) by investing (or not unplugging our current...
  15. Aeowyn

    How much liability insurance do you carry?

    For the art restoration gig - I had assumed that was being done as a self employed gig. If you are a W-2 employee working for someone else, the person you work for would be responsible for damages.
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