Recent content by raddr

Hey Guys, I'm an early retired doc and can tell you that, as opposed to the usual stereotype, not all docs are inept with their finances and destined to work the rest of their lives. The most important thing is to start planning early and then to control spending and investment expenses. I...

No, his research is not bogus but I do believe that it suffers from some flaws, not the least of which is that there wasn't an investable index, much less a low cost way to invest, during about 100 of the 130 years of the study. His study, like many others, assumes an unrealistically low...

From *****: I don't think raddr has done a good job challenging JWR1945's findings on switching strategies. I think he has done a poor job. He has said that he does not read the work that JWR1945 posts at the SWR Research Group board. That means that he is uninformed on many of the details of...

Hi TH, Yeah, you're right. I only responded because I don't want any impressionable newbies out there to actually think he knows what he's talking about as far as being able to predict the future SWR and also to point out the junk science that has been spewed out over at the SWR "Research"...

*****: "JWR1945's research shows that the SWR for an 80 percent stock portfolio in January 2000 was 1.6 percent. " That's a ridiculous claim.  No one knows what the SWR for the future is.  Maybe it is totally groundless statements like this that have caused you to have no credibility on...

***** asks, Why can't those who do not have an interest in what we are saying just ignore the threads in which it is discussed? Well, when someone asks a sincere question they hope that it will be followed by a focused on-topic discussion. If, however, you become involved it quickly...

LOL - yeah, I think we can make a positive ID, especially with my co-administrator Ataloss constantly on guard for hoco/JWR-speak. :P

If anyone is interested I have started a FIRE-oriented board that is, and forever will be, *****- and JWR1945-free. We have a small but knowledgeable core of posters who don't have to worry about their threads being hijacked by attention-craving trolls. ::) raddr-pages.com/forums

***** wrote: There is hardly anyone who ever talks to him when he posts over at the SWR Research Group board because the leaders of the community there have imposed a boycott of that board. Just to clarify: I was boycotting the board when you were running it before you were banned from NFB...

Hi SG, As usual you make a lot of good points.   I will nitpick this one though: ;) From a mathematical perspective, the number of independent data sets is of little concern to me.  If I want to empirically answer the question, "What is the minimum number of heads I will see if I flip a coin...