Recent content by Theo

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    Chart of the Day

    Just realize that no-one is ever going to be asked to pay it back.
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    Inflation: Official Rate vs. Observed Rate

    Change in distribution of demand for goods vs services explains a lot of the inflation. I expect if the covid situation is ever resolved, demand patterns will revert back as will inflation.
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    MMT coming soon to an economy near you?

    If you live in a country that issues it's own currency, only issues debt in that currency and allows the currency to freely float in the currency exchange market, your country has implemented MMT.
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    Social Security & FIRE Planning

    Allowing social security benefits to be cut is a political decision, not an economic one.
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    Spousal Pension NOT optional for some

    If someone's primary source of retirement income will be a pension and the spouse does not have any other significant source of income should the pensioner die, not taking a j&s option of 75% or greater is fiscal malfeasance unless they have a substantial insurance policy in place to replace the...
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    Modern Monetary Policy

    Here's a link to the website of the guy who developed the theory. Warren Mosler, former bond trader. http://moslereconomics.com/mandatory-readings/innocent-frauds/
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    They're Back 20 year Treasurery Bonds

    I don't get the threat. What exactly would China do with all those dollars if they didn't hold treasuries?
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    Is a depression priced in?

    Short term there is inflation risk due to supply shocks related to shutting down the economy. Long term there is very little risk of inflation due to demand even with the deficit spending because, unless a permanent Ubi is introduced giving spending money to poor people, the money is not going...
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    Re-balance Triggers... Do You Have Them?

    In portfolio visualizer, try targeted negative volatility.
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    Who changed it to 20%

    Servers are more valuable than other minimum wage employees.
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    World Debt increase

    Interest as a percent of GDP is at normal levels and actually low compared to the 80s and 90s.
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    World Debt increase

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    Roth conversion and tax bracket

    Simple. Taxes don't fund spending. Congretional appropriations do.
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    The Silver Tsunami & Real Estate

    Not better informed or worried. But there will be someone left holding the bag and it won't be me.
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    The Silver Tsunami & Real Estate

    Sell to who? Aquaman?
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