kyounge1956
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
- Joined
- Sep 11, 2008
- Messages
- 2,171
I was quite interested in the recent thread "Interesting comments on annuities". My original plan was to take a partial lump sum from my pension system and buy an immediate annuity within my IRA, leaving the rest of my savings at a 30% stock/70% bond allocation. I haven't thoroughly read the thread, but the title alone makes me wonder how dividend-paying stocks or funds would fit, especially with a withdrawal plan of spending the dividends only.
Does FireCalc, or any other calculator known to the collective wisdom of E-R.org, allow simulating a retirement plan with income from pension + immediate annuity + dividends (and SS later on) from historical data? Alternatively, is there a way to translate the performance data available about a fund or stock on finance sites into a return and standard deviation to input to FireCalc and other simulators? It's possible to get from Yahoo Finance a download to spreadsheet with the dividend payments for many years back, for example the data on psst Wellesley goes back to 1987. The idea of making no assumption at all that stocks will go up in value appeals to my scaredy-cat side. From what I've read, dividends have a serial correlation of over 90%, which if I understand it right means that this year's dividend is very likely to be about the same as last year's dividend. That stability appeals to the scaredy-cat too.
Does FireCalc, or any other calculator known to the collective wisdom of E-R.org, allow simulating a retirement plan with income from pension + immediate annuity + dividends (and SS later on) from historical data? Alternatively, is there a way to translate the performance data available about a fund or stock on finance sites into a return and standard deviation to input to FireCalc and other simulators? It's possible to get from Yahoo Finance a download to spreadsheet with the dividend payments for many years back, for example the data on psst Wellesley goes back to 1987. The idea of making no assumption at all that stocks will go up in value appeals to my scaredy-cat side. From what I've read, dividends have a serial correlation of over 90%, which if I understand it right means that this year's dividend is very likely to be about the same as last year's dividend. That stability appeals to the scaredy-cat too.