Here's a couple things to consider before you take the plunge:
- Have you read "How I Trade For A Living" by Gary Smith? You apparently can make it work just like he did, but is that how you really want to live your life? Perhaps a more important question would be "Is that how your significant other wants to live their life with you?"
- One critical lesson from Smith's book is that "Technical indicators work very well-- until they stop working." If you haven't experienced that problem yet, then you would do well to consider your response in that eventuality. Notice that I didn't use the word "possibility."
- Many expats report difficulty accessing their brokerage accounts from overseas. Issues include bandwidth, foreign IP addresses, poor connectivity, time zones. Have you tried doing this for a few months from your chosen location?
- Have you put together a way to access cash for living expenses? Again you may be moving largish sums of money among various accounts from an overseas location. That generally triggers a number of electronic banking alarms.
- Healthcare?
- Kids/family?
Let's assume that you've discovered the perpetual-motion golden-egg-laying goose. In that case perhaps you'd want to consider the answers to a couple other questions:
1. How much of a loss do you take before you decide to switch to Plan B?
2. If you keep piling up the capital gains, when do you quit? $5M? $10M? $100M? At some point the size of your system is going affect its performance, just like mutual fund bloat. Yeah, I know-- tough problem. I'm just pointing out holes.
Thank you Nords for your response. No, I havent read the book you mentioned above. I have just read the book "Trading in the Zone" though over my last trip down south, and found it very interesting. It deals heavily with the pyschological effects of trading/investing. I do do self-directed trading on my own, but its with small amounts and mainly for fun. I do not want to do this for my career. I would rather leave this to professionals who do it for a living. If i were to do it for my job, I would not do it manually, but would have code written to do it for me. You are rigth, the last thing i want is to stay up all hours in the night pumping stress through my veins and die an early death. I agree with you on the technical indicators though. All indicators are lagging to some degree and go stale, so you have to have your portfolio finely tuned to contend with this.
I have had no problems accessing any of my portfolio while travelling. All i need is an internet connection and a piece of software that I download. I do not have any problems on that front.
I understand the concerns on moving cash around internationally. However, my experience has been that as long as you are within the law, are not doing anythign shady, and can justify your transactions, money is usually not more than a 5 day bank wire away from wherever you want to send it. My bank is a large European bank (very reputable) with branches in Panama (which is a huge banking and finance centre itself), and my broker is also in Panama and Switzerland (none are in my home country). I do no think that there will be any problems, unless there comes a tiem where i want to move a very large sum for a single transaction. But banking is based mainly on relationships, transparency, and the banks level of comfort they have in you. I will of course work on strengthening any relationships here, and will of course do all I can to prevent any issues from arising in the first place.
- Health care - will definitly look into this for more coverage than what my visa offers. Health care is excellent in Panama, and probably about 1/5th the cost than what it is in the USA. I met a women in Panama City, last week who flew there JUST to get breast implants. For the quality and the price. THat was the only reason she was there. Not that i am looking for these, but just to make the point. Panama is known for very high quality health care at great prices. Kids... not in the foreseable future for either of us. Of course this may change, and I know it will have a large impact on our plans if they come into the picture. Suppose we will cross that bridge when it comes.
1. I am not sure on the losses before moving some out. But I would think that if i incurred a -30% loss on my entire portfolio combined at once, I would be looking to make some major adjustments to it.
2. Liquidity will certainly become an issue. Our brokerage has access to top tier liquidity, and they have a plan in place to ensure we have some nice longevity with the arb system (running it at only a fraction of its potential) so as not to draw any unwanted attention. My other investmnets in the portfolio will almost certainly close their doors to new capital once they have problems getting filled due to liquidity. Splitting funds across muliple brokers may help wtih this, but its a very big and liquid market for most of my portfolio.
FYI.. i do not think that I have the golden egg, or have the holy grail. I do think that I have something very good, which has extreme potential, but i know the realities of alternative investments. This month i expereinced a loss in 2 of my investments that I have not seen in a long time. I do understand that losses will occur from time and time, but I also understand how quickly losses can be recouped when given the apropriate time to do so. I dont believe that there are any holy grails.
NOrds, regarding bloat and liquidity issues, my plan is to eventually move my assets into more brick and mortar type investments, such as real-estate, and other ventures. I really want to focus on aggressive growth until I reach some of these bench marks (and I have that number of 5M in my mind as a benchmark) before doing this. I know that the mentality of most is to wait until i reach it before making any sudden or rash moves. But I am not one who wants to sit around and wait for things to (hopefully) reach bench marks before making any major moves in life. I am the type of person who likes to take on challenges, new opportunities etc... what i am getting at is that i am not the safe and security type. Certainly more aggressive and more of a risk taker. But that is how i like to enjoy my life. Maybe I will loose everythign I own and hit rock bottom in a few years, but hopefully i will have learned a lot along the way, and will be able to do it again. Guess we will see. But as it stands rigth now, I am 99% moving to latin american, to live off my investments and start a new life and new projects before 2010 hits. In the mean time. Its research research, and hard work until then.