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03-07-2008, 05:42 AM
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#1
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Dryer sheet aficionado
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Midwest
Posts: 30
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Making the Decision...
I only recently registered for this forum, but had been "lurking" for some time before that. I appreciate people taking the time to provide their thoughts and perspectives. Hopefully I can provide contributions going forward.
I have "interviewed" several financial planners in the past, including fee-only planners. My conclusion? I haven't been particularly impressed, or convinced that the value they can provide is worth the costs. As a result, I continue to read and learn everything I can about managing finances - which is how I originally came across the forum.
I'm currently 53. For some time I have tracked a window where I felt I could FIRE. I'm now entering that window. Looking toward it was easy. Now that I am there, it is a totally different situation. It brings a whole new level of dealing with uncertainty, both for me and for DW. And once done, the feedback loop on whether it was a good decision is not real quick.
So, I'm interested in how people dealt with making such a huge decision. Thanks!
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03-07-2008, 06:06 AM
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#2
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: East Nowhere, 43N Latitude, NY
Posts: 9,037
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welcome to the board...i know i'm learning a lot from the discussions.
lacking other resources, and not knowing any better  , i did my FIRE planning on a budget spreadsheet customized from a generic one found at a major software company's template library.
basically, i used the Point A (baseline) to Point B (new datum) method. it was winter and i had time on my hands. 
Point A was my current income while enslaved, oops employed and ALL expenses going out. I use automatic bill payment thru my bank account and ATM for all cash so it was easy to get the data. i went thru my checkbook and a year's worth of credit card stmts (requested from cc company) to get an idea of non-periodic expenditures, toys, mad money, memberships, subscriptions, car repair & tires, eyeglasses, once a year stuff, etc
Point B was a duplicate of that info, with the income data changed to the FIRE situation. the next step of ID and trimming frivolous expenses naturally followed.
sounds obvious, but this baselining your budget exercise is crucial to the FIRE decision. i think the experts would call it a cash flow anslysis. i had a major insurance co rep offer to do this exercise for me for $300-$500. HA!
i know there are better ones out there, and the folks here will point you to that.
any financial wizards here on the board ? i'm certainly not.
__________________
"All our dreams can come true, if we have the courage to pursue them." - Walt Disney
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03-07-2008, 06:09 AM
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#3
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Dryer sheet wannabe
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 14
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me too!
I am 54 and in the same place. Every calculater I check says I am OK financially (over 95%), but it is still hard to go from producing income to mainly consuming it. I too am interested in how to consumate this decision. I have been a steady worker since I graduated from college at age 20.
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03-07-2008, 06:15 AM
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#4
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Texas: No Country for Old Men
Posts: 49,395
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Gsquared and lonnie, welcome to the board. If you haven't already seen it, here is a thread that might interest you: http://www.early-retirement.org/foru...ome-20091.html
__________________
Numbers is hard
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03-07-2008, 06:53 AM
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#5
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Moderator Emeritus
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: San Francisco
Posts: 8,827
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I've found FireCalc (see link at bottom of the window) to be the most useful tool and you can work all the assumptions over and over to test your readiness.
The reality is that there will always be uncertainty. Unless you have such large savings or spartan lifestyle that it virtually doesn't matter, you just have to accept that reality. Market behavior, inflation, health insurance, social security, geopolitical crises, etc. etc. - there is alway a wildcard out there.
IMHO, the antidote is flexibility in your future life plans and expenses. Viewed another way, it's having enough cushion in your planning that the worst plausible scenario would result only in cutting back your pleasures and not so much you basics. Figuring out that number is your homework assignment  .
__________________
Rich
San Francisco Area
ESR'd March 2010. FIRE'd January 2011.
As if you didn't know..If the above message contains medical content, it's NOT intended as advice, and may not be accurate, applicable or sufficient. Don't rely on it for any purpose. Consult your own doctor for all medical advice.
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03-07-2008, 07:31 AM
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#6
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Dec 2003
Posts: 1,375
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rich_in_Tampa
I've found FireCalc (see link at bottom of the window) to be the most useful tool and you can work all the assumptions over and over to test your readiness.
The reality is that there will always be uncertainty. Unless you have such large savings or spartan lifestyle that it virtually doesn't matter, you just have to accept that reality. Market behavior, inflation, health insurance, social security, geopolitical crises, etc. etc. - there is alway a wildcard out there.
IMHO, the antidote is flexibility in your future life plans and expenses. Viewed another way, it's having enough cushion in your planning that the worst plausible scenario would result only in cutting back your pleasures and not so much you basics. Figuring out that number is your homework assignment  .
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ReWahoo: Drop that weighted dougnut off your bat, you're warmed up enough.
You're up!  
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03-07-2008, 07:39 AM
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#7
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Texas: No Country for Old Men
Posts: 49,395
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[...stepping up to the plate]
Rich old buddy, for some reason the phrase "physician, heal thyself" comes to mind.
__________________
Numbers is hard
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03-07-2008, 08:15 AM
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#8
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Dec 2003
Posts: 1,375
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03-07-2008, 08:15 AM
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#9
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Moderator Emeritus
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: San Francisco
Posts: 8,827
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Who, me? Only thing I'm waitin' on is for gas to drop to $1.25 a gallon.
I'm picking up a new set of clubs tomorrow, a hot date with Big Bertha. Is that a good sign?
Heck, just one more year. Or thereabouts.
__________________
Rich
San Francisco Area
ESR'd March 2010. FIRE'd January 2011.
As if you didn't know..If the above message contains medical content, it's NOT intended as advice, and may not be accurate, applicable or sufficient. Don't rely on it for any purpose. Consult your own doctor for all medical advice.
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03-07-2008, 08:16 AM
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#10
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Texas: No Country for Old Men
Posts: 49,395
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__________________
Numbers is hard
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03-07-2008, 09:30 AM
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#11
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 1,224
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Hey give Rich a break. He did dip his toe into the water. He's still trying to figure out if the water is fine...
DD
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03-07-2008, 09:45 AM
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#12
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Moderator Emeritus
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: San Francisco
Posts: 8,827
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DblDoc
Hey give Rich a break. He did dip his toe into the water. He's still trying to figure out if the water is fine...
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A break? From these guys? Right...  But thanks for the pat on the back.
So what's your plan, DD? You're still a puppy, but mighty suspicious that you're sniffing around an early retirement board.
__________________
Rich
San Francisco Area
ESR'd March 2010. FIRE'd January 2011.
As if you didn't know..If the above message contains medical content, it's NOT intended as advice, and may not be accurate, applicable or sufficient. Don't rely on it for any purpose. Consult your own doctor for all medical advice.
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03-07-2008, 01:23 PM
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#13
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 1,224
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Puppy? I wish. We do still have ~ 10yrs to go based on our conservative plan which will have me ~ 56yo. Late start etc and it wasn't until DW discovered this and the Diehards site that we got our act together and started planning.
DD
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