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SQOTD, Hurricanes, Climate Change, Investing Opportunities
09-12-2018, 01:44 PM
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#1
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Chattanooga
Posts: 3,878
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SQOTD, Hurricanes, Climate Change, Investing Opportunities
Every year it seems like the current year is the hottest on record. Not arguing if climate change and global warming are man made or just the natural forces of nature. That said, one would think with the additional heat load and increasing evaporation rates into the atmosphere, these storms will only continue to bigger, more fierce and destructive. Now the engineers on the board can jump in and explain heat balances, heat transfer coefficients, etc. but the question I have is real basic, are there some good investment opportunities to be had besides the obvious ones like building materials. Something maybe along the lines of pro-active companies looking forward in anticipation of rising ocean levels, larger and more destructive hurricanes, tornadoes, etc.?
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09-12-2018, 02:20 PM
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#2
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Sep 2014
Location: Miami
Posts: 337
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Home depot
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FIRE July 2015
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09-12-2018, 02:24 PM
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#3
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: Northern Ohio
Posts: 3,182
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The climate has varied during recorded history. I expect it to continue to do this.
Real investment opporunities? Doubtful.
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09-12-2018, 02:26 PM
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#4
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: Miraflores,Peru
Posts: 1,992
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09-12-2018, 02:59 PM
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#5
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Dryer sheet wannabe
Join Date: Oct 2017
Posts: 13
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09-12-2018, 03:24 PM
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#6
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Nov 2011
Posts: 3,877
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Real effects that will require mass (re)construction work are beyond the lifetime of most here. Perhaps during the 2100s such efforts will be needed in sufficient quantity to move the investment needle.
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09-12-2018, 03:36 PM
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#7
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 8,368
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I'm by no means religious, but this comes to mind:
Quote:
And ye shall hear of wars and rumours of wars: see that ye be not troubled: for all these things must come to pass, but the end is not yet.
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Matthew 24:6 King James Version
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"Exit, pursued by a bear."
The Winter's Tale, William Shakespeare
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09-12-2018, 03:44 PM
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#8
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Dec 2016
Location: DC area
Posts: 2,479
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blueskies123
Home depot
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I was thinking the same thing. I wonder if a seasonal trade on HD or LOW would work as a speculative strategy? Maybe something for the PUTS and CALLS thread...
Which, BTW, has nothing to do with climate change - hurricane season was around long before the industrial era. But huge cities on the coast weren't.
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FI and Semi-ER March 24, 2017
Consulting to stay engaged
"All models are wrong, some are useful." - George Box
“There is always a well-known solution to every human problem: neat, plausible, and wrong.” - H.L. Mencken
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09-12-2018, 04:04 PM
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#9
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Mar 2017
Location: City
Posts: 10,337
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Quote:
Originally Posted by frayne
... the question I have is real basic, are there some good investment opportunities to be had besides the obvious ones like building materials. ...
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The efficient market hypothesis, which I generally believe has to be correct over the long term, would say that everyone knows these things so the consensus of their predicted effect is already reflected in the price of the stocks. IOW, there are no bargains to be had.
The behaviorists like Richard Thaler might speculate that these stocks are currently overpriced because the weather and climate change are such hot topics and many are thinking like you are.
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