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2016 YTD investment performance thread
01-04-2016, 08:31 PM
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#1
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Nov 2013
Location: Bay Area
Posts: 2,745
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2016 YTD investment performance thread
Wow, what a rocky start for the 1st day of 2016 trading day! I hope we can all beat the market this year despite the poor start. I am starting 2016 YTD investment performance thread early. Feel free to update your progress at the end of month, quarter, year, whenever.
A few notes:
2015 thread is here - http://www.early-retirement.org/foru...ead-75654.html.
This thread is about "investment" return, not how much your asset went up due to saving + investment, went down due to spending + investment, etc..
This thread will be helpful if you share your strategy, both what is working and what is not working.
Best wishes & good luck to us all!
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01-04-2016, 09:17 PM
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#2
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 2,495
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In the spirit of establishing what I hope will be the lowest benchmark, according to Quicken my 2016 YTD annualized return is -48.3%...
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01-04-2016, 09:57 PM
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#3
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: May 2010
Posts: 861
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My portfolio is primarily income producing Preferred Stock/ETD, and a corporate bond ladder.
It works well in what I hope will be the situation in 2016; slow increase in rates, sluggish economy, and lots of volatility from commodity & geopolitical events. OTOH, it will lag badly in a growing economy and a strong market.
2016 YTD performance was actually up 0.1%. Considering the losses in large caps, I was pleasantly surprised that some income issues actually went up enough to offset the losses.
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01-05-2016, 05:58 AM
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#4
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 10,252
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ejman
In the spirit of establishing what I hope will be the lowest benchmark, according to Quicken my 2016 YTD annualized return is -48.3%...
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Well, you did write "annualized", but that's probably a user error. For Quicken to report YTD (not annualized) return one must change the date range to the full year: 1/1/2016 to 12/31/2016.
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01-05-2016, 08:24 AM
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#5
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 2,495
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LOL!
Well, you did write "annualized", but that's probably a user error. For Quicken to report YTD (not annualized) return one must change the date range to the full year: 1/1/2016 to 12/31/2016.
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No, that was intentional, thought it would be nice to put in a doom and gloom bottom to the performance reporting by annualizing that bad first day... Hopefully everyone will do better than that going forward
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01-05-2016, 02:58 PM
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#6
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: Austin
Posts: 656
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After dumping a large position in Vanguard Energy last year, my taxable account (which represents two thirds of my portfolio) consists of:
14% Vanguard Healthcare Fund
17% Vanguard Wellesley
69% Vanguard Wellington
My tax deferred account consists of:
5% Vanguard REIT Index Fund
8% Vanguard Dividend Growth Fund
15% Vanguard Healthcare Fund
72% Vanguard Wellington
I don't plan on making any changes at all this year and will be very curious to see how I do.
__________________
ER'd 6/1/2014 @ age 53. Wow, is it already 2022?
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01-05-2016, 07:37 PM
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#7
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jun 2014
Posts: 1,069
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First day worked out well for me, I had a big contribution post at mid-day and was able to buy near the trough.
Sent from my iPhone using Early Retirement Forum
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01-05-2016, 10:27 PM
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#8
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jul 2013
Posts: 1,042
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According to Personal Capital here's what my portfolio looks like, mostly index funds. Alternatives below is mostly REITs. No idea how this will do in 2016 but probably similar to 2015 which was -1.x% overall.
Class %
U.S. Stocks 60.03%
Intl Stocks 12.32%
Alternatives 10.13%
U.S. Bonds 8.63%
Unclassified 3.46%
Cash 2.85%
Intl Bonds 2.57%
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2016 YTD investment performance thread
01-06-2016, 12:35 PM
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#9
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Lawn chair in Texas
Posts: 14,183
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2016 YTD investment performance thread
Apologies to all. When I retired on 12/31/15, the market must have thought I said "Whee!"...
Down about 1.5% thus far.
__________________
Have Funds, Will Retire
...not doing anything of true substance...
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01-06-2016, 01:48 PM
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#10
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Nov 2013
Location: Bay Area
Posts: 2,745
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Quote:
Originally Posted by HFWR
Apologies to all. When I retired on 12/31/15, the market must have thought I said "Whee!"...
Down about 1.5% thus far.
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Congrats on your retirement!
Pundits predict a so so market for 2016. I wonder if anyone here made significant changes form their 2015 investment strategy. I am staying put with the same mutual funds I had in 2015.
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01-06-2016, 02:26 PM
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#11
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 34,848
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Congrats to HFWR too. Now he has more time to watch his stash go down.
About making investment changes, no big move for me. I already sold off much of energy and foreign stocks 4 months ago. So, my stock portion no longer drops more than the S&P on a bad day and only matches it.
I have been trying to reload some positions by writing out-of-the-money put options a couple of months out. If stocks drop that low, that forces me to buy. If not, I get a few grands in cash to help pay for travel.
__________________
"Old age is the most unexpected of all things that happen to a man" -- Leon Trotsky (1879-1940)
"Those Who Can Make You Believe Absurdities Can Make You Commit Atrocities" - Voltaire (1694-1778)
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01-06-2016, 02:33 PM
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#12
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Alexandria, Va
Posts: 1,053
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I'm down about 1/2%.
But I'm facing a dilemma - I have been slowly lowering my AA to 80/20 over the last year (I was about 87/13 at the beginning of 2015). I finally got there as of last week. So, in theory, I should just keep going and invest like normal every two weeks/month as I usually do, but I am SO tempted to take some of my cash and invest TODAY. I resisted yesterday, and I guess I just resisted again today because the markets just closed, but if things continue, I'll want to buy tomorrow......
__________________
Two roads diverged in a wood, and I - I took the one less travelled by...
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01-06-2016, 02:57 PM
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#13
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Dec 2015
Location: Michigan
Posts: 4,166
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I don't do the return calculation until month end but I did reduce my AA from 75/25 to 72/28 as I had planned to do already. I would expect to be down proportionally with my AA since I am heavily indexed to the S&P500. I also for a couple years have had nearly no international, especially emerging markets, which has been a good thing.
__________________
"The mountains are calling, and I must go." John Muir
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01-06-2016, 03:51 PM
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#14
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Rio Grande Valley
Posts: 34,707
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Quote:
Originally Posted by HFWR
Apologies to all. When I retired on 12/31/15, the market must have thought I said "Whee!"...
Down about 1.5% thus far.
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LOL! Congrats!
__________________
Retired since summer 1999.
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01-06-2016, 03:58 PM
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#15
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gone traveling
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 1,248
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I am making no changes to 100% equities. I will probably add to SCHD and mid cap/small cap index as a year goes on.
I have no idea what to expect this year so I expect nothing.
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01-06-2016, 04:05 PM
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#16
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Aug 2015
Posts: 519
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Quote:
Originally Posted by HFWR
Apologies to all. When I retired on 12/31/15, the market must have thought I said "Whee!"...
Down about 1.5% thus far.
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Congratulations on your retirement. During past few days my stocks went down more than 4.5%. Yet unless you sell it, it is not a loss. In 2009 my rental property was down 50% yet by 2015 it recovered all losses. I also think that this year is going to be a bear market unless Feds actions would trigger higher than normal inflation.
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01-06-2016, 04:22 PM
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#17
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Minneapolis
Posts: 4,452
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-.63% -- planning to increase equity allocation from 40% to 60%.
__________________
May we live in peace and harmony and be free from all human sufferings.
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01-07-2016, 11:40 AM
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#18
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: South Texas~29N/98W Just West of Woman Hollering Creek
Posts: 6,567
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I have no idea after 3.5 trading days in 2016 what may accounts look like. I probably will not seriously look at them until late in the year when I have to initiate my second RMD.
__________________
Part-Owner of Texas
Outside of a dog, a book is man's best friend. Inside of a dog, it's too dark to read. Groucho Marx
In dire need of: faster horses, younger woman, older whiskey, more money.
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01-07-2016, 11:45 AM
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#19
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: May 2013
Posts: 675
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Quote:
Originally Posted by HFWR
Apologies to all. When I retired on 12/31/15, the market must have thought I said "Whee!"...
Down about 1.5% thus far.
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Congrats!
__________________
“If you don't do it this year, you will be one year older when you do.” - Warren Miller
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01-07-2016, 06:53 PM
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#20
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 9,136
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Up 0.3% so far this year....Thanks for nothing VTSAX. I knew I should have sold all of you at the end of the year.
Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
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