2019 YTD Investment Performance Thread

[pb4uski]

Quote:

Originally Posted by NW-Bound When one computes the return to 2 digits after the decimal point, the monthly interest will change at least the last digit. For every $1M, 0.01% is $100, and people usually get more than that each month.....

Measure it with a micrometer, mark it with a chalk, cut it with an axe.

While many of us post to two decimal places.... one would probably be informative enough. I suspect that disparities in sources and methods of calculation far surpass month of credited interest on cash.

[NW-Bound]

Quote:

Originally Posted by pb4uski Measure it with a micrometer, mark it with a chalk, cut it with an axe. While many of us post to two decimal places.... one would probably be informative enough. I suspect that disparities in sources and methods of calculation far surpass month of credited interest on cash.

True. But measuring is what we talk about here.

PS. Speaking of computing to 0.01%, it is really meaningless when we often see 1% or higher change a day! Or even in a matter of 1 hour.

[sengsational]

Quote:

Originally Posted by pb4uski Measure it with a micrometer, mark it with a chalk, cut it with an axe. While many of us post to two decimal places.... one would probably be informative enough. I suspect that disparities in sources and methods of calculation far surpass month of credited interest on cash.

This, and the other comments on the topic, are what I was thinking while composing the (a bit tongue in cheek) post about interest not being posted yet.

For me, though, because I have a good chunk in the stable value fund of my 401K, it actually makes a difference (I had to run the numbers out of curiosity). With the SVF interest: 10.01%. Without: 9.93%.

Normally I round to the tenth of a percent, because, as noted, these calculations are run with some fairly rough assumptions, my biggest being that since it's based on every account, I presume linear spending of last years spend, increased by inflation. But spending is "lumpy", so paying off a credit card with an overseas trip is also going to change the tenths.

Anyway, this thread, this forum, is more about entertainment and chatting with like-minded people than it is about precision

[sengsational]

Quote:

Originally Posted by NW-Bound PS. Speaking of computing to 0.01%, it is really meaningless when we often see 1% or higher change a day! Or even in a matter of 1 hour.

That's true too.


My 1Q result actually has this morning's market changes for things that are priced real-time on their respective web sites.


If I wait for the interest to be posted, that's like 10PM, and then if I don't do the exercise until after the market opens, the results will contain part of today's fluctuations. Like I said, entertainment.


EDIT: Oh, and this calculation is a side-effect of my process to check asset allocation.

[Dtail]

Quote:

Originally Posted by target2019 Maybe one way to see benchmark results would be Wellesley. https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/VWIA...rmance?p=VWIAX YTD for VWIAX is 5.80%. AA is 35-40% fixed. Or take a look at VASIX (AA is 20% fixed). YTD is 2.96%. https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/VASI...rmance?p=VASIX

Understand about the benchmarks but was curious in real life portfolio returns at these levels which some have responded to.
Effectively, the curiosity is more on potential outsized gains on the fixed income side, if using index funds on the stock side.

[wdberry62]

Up 12.4% as of 3/31/19. 75/25

[kgtest]

1/31 +10% YTD Over half recovered from my terrible Nov/Dec '18
2/28 +14.57 and almost back to my 52 week high.just another ~4.5% to break the 52 week high
3/31 +16.75 and I was beating all three indexes until the Nasdaq pulled ahead today

[street]

Many of you have outstanding gains so far. I'm on the low end of what you folks are getting. I'm still very happy with what I have ytd though.

[kgtest]

Quote:

Originally Posted by mrWinter +17.48% for Q1 2019, so glad I stayed the course.

+1 there has been a lot of chatter and some fun rides this month, with the quickly inverted yield curve and some trade related hooplah, add-in robo-advising to the hilt and this is what the new norm is from quarter to quarter.

Hang, on and please keep your arms and hands inside the ride at all times.

[NW-Bound]

Quote:

Originally Posted by kgtest +1 there has been a lot of chatter and some fun rides this month, with the quickly inverted yield curve and some trade related hooplah, add-in robo-advising to the hilt and this is what the new norm is from quarter to quarter. Hang on and please keep your arms and hands inside the ride at all times.

Right!

However, there's already another thread jubilating about the market, not unlike the following photo.

[NW-Bound]

Quote:

Originally Posted by sengsational This, and the other comments on the topic, are what I was thinking while composing the (a bit tongue in cheek) post about interest not being posted yet. For me, though, because I have a good chunk in the stable value fund of my 401K, it actually makes a difference (I had to run the numbers out of curiosity). With the SVF interest: 10.01%. Without: 9.93%. Normally I round to the tenth of a percent, because, as noted, these calculations are run with some fairly rough assumptions, my biggest being that since it's based on every account, I presume linear spending of last years spend, increased by inflation. But spending is "lumpy", so paying off a credit card with an overseas trip is also going to change the tenths. Anyway, this thread, this forum, is more about entertainment and chatting with like-minded people than it is about precision

Eh, in a competition like a race even a few inches matter, hence runners stick out their chests to cross the finish line first. Here, every 0.01% counts.

[kgtest]

Quote:

Originally Posted by NW-Bound Eh, in a competition like a race even a few inches matter, hence runners stick out their chests to cross the finish line first. Here, every 0.01% counts.

Is the end of the race six feet under, or retirement?

[LOL!]

There is no precision in these posted numbers and probably not much accuracy either. For instance, did anybody notice the mistake in YTD performance in my last post for one of the benchmark funds?

[tmm99]

I kind of quit looking last year since it was just too depressing, but I'm glad to see that everyone is doing really well this year. We're definitely getting back what we lost last year.

[gcgang]

https://personal.vanguard.com/us/fun...nchmarkreturns

Above links to Benchmark/Index returns.

[NW-Bound]

Quote:

Originally Posted by CardsFan ... 3.3% below all time high September 2018

I still need another 7.4% gain to get back to my high-water mark reached in late Jan 2018 (I am not an indexer, and do not track the S&P that closely).

The above number includes my WR of 2.8% since that date. So, I am still down 4.6% from my all-time high.

[NW-Bound]

Quote:

Originally Posted by kgtest Is the end of the race six feet under, or retirement?

As long as I am alive and cognizant of my financial situation, I will always be in the market.

And as I am an active investor, I am racing against a passive portfolio of about 60/40 or 70/30.

[Ready-4-ER-at-14]

I liked the measure it with a micrometer, mark it with chalk, and cut it with an ax reference and may use it again myself elsewhere. Regarding accuracy, precision ideas here very useful but may not be understood by all. (including me : ) )

I took slide rule in engineering way back when and we really only had about two or three significant figures to work with and had to keep track of the zeros in our head so 3,000,000 was 3.0 to 10 to the sixth power.
If you had a real number like 3,218,164.27 and it moved up 120,217.53 and then divide that by the original number getting .034355933356379 not really sure saying you are up 3.43% is wrong. I'd agree with numbers this large and holdings that can change 1-2% a day or more it may not show a true trend line though. You could have been unchanged all quarter and made the gains in one day, or just jumped on both sides of gain loss all quarter. I use something I call a quick and dirty indicator with a trend line in excel to show that. (unweighted changed in about 300 things daily)

[kgtest]

Quote:

Originally Posted by NW-Bound As long as I am alive and cognizant of my financial situation, I will always be in the market. And as I am an active investor, I am racing against a passive portfolio of about 60/40 or 70/30.

[emoji1]

[sengsational]

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ready-4-ER-at-14 I liked the measure it with a micrometer, mark it with chalk, and cut it with an ax reference and may use it again myself elsewhere.

Me too! You never know if, later, you might want a little more precision. In HS I was on the cusp of slide-rule and calculator. Not everyone could afford a TI-57 or whatever the popular one was at the time, so the default in science class was the slide rule. I'm glad I have that experience because it really instills the "significant figures" idea.


So, yeah, YTD 10% (not even any tenths).