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07-19-2022, 10:05 AM
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#1
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Diablo Valley (SF Bay Area)
Posts: 2,490
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Bond vs Bond Fund
I've decided that maybe I should put about 50k into bonds. But I don't know how to do this. I know the mechanics of buying but how do I decide if it's a good one?? It would be in my IRA if that matters. What do I need to read up on to figure this out? About a decade ago Schwab advised me to buy PWZ as it is taxfree. But I don't need taxfree in a tax deferred account.
As to risk tolerance: I've traded stocks for decades, used to trade up to 300× year, level 2 options trader, a little embarrassed that I know very little about bonds so I've just been accumulating cash. We all know how little that earns. I've really REALLY slimmed down investments to just SCHB (86%), SCHD & individual stocks (4%), PWZ (6%), straight cash (4%). Plus EF in a different account ... comfortable with that being just cash. Tired of trading -- started to feel like work
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07-19-2022, 11:22 AM
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#2
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Laurel, MD
Posts: 6,834
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This will be interesting. I presume you’re following the “golden period” thread?
__________________
...with no reasonable expectation for ER, I'm just here auditing the AP class.Retired 8/1/15.
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07-19-2022, 11:29 AM
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#3
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: Limerick
Posts: 4,350
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Bond vs Bond Fund
You can always call Schwab and talk to the bond desk. They’re happy to walk you through it.
I’d avoid any bond fund though.
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07-19-2022, 11:37 AM
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#4
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Moderator Emeritus
Join Date: Apr 2011
Location: The Woodlands, TX
Posts: 15,513
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Bonds are simply I.O.U.'s with a defined set of payback criteria.
__________________
Everyone has a plan until they get punched in the mouth...philosopher Mike Tyson
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07-19-2022, 11:55 AM
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#5
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Diablo Valley (SF Bay Area)
Posts: 2,490
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jazz4cash
This will be interesting. I presume you’re following the “golden period” thread?
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Actually, no. But I will now. Where is that thread
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07-19-2022, 12:43 PM
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#6
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 1,291
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for this amount I'd be inclined to just stick it in a short term treasury index fund and find something more fun to do than worry about individual bonds.
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07-19-2022, 01:48 PM
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#7
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Mar 2009
Posts: 2,733
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What's to worry about? I'm pretty simple minded but find no challenge setting up a ladder of CD's, T Bills or whatever. If you don't want to deal with it select auto roll. It all probably takes less time than I spent reading and responding to this post. However, in all honesty, it really doesn't matter. Short term mutual funds may wash out in the end. ��
__________________
Took SS at 62 and hope I live long enough to regret the decision.
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07-19-2022, 02:11 PM
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#8
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Diablo Valley (SF Bay Area)
Posts: 2,490
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Quote:
Originally Posted by foxfirev5
What's to worry about?
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if you're asking me, I keep thinking about opportunity cost. If bonds ^ 3%, inflation ^ 9%, historically stocks ^ 8% then I'd lose 6% YOY in the long run. But I keep telling myself it's only 4% of portfolio and better than interest on cash
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07-19-2022, 02:20 PM
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#9
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Mar 2009
Posts: 2,733
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gayl
if you're asking me, I keep thinking about opportunity cost. If bonds ^ 3%, inflation ^ 9%, historically stocks ^ 8% then I'd lose 6% YOY in the long run. But I keep telling myself it's only 4% of portfolio and better than interest on cash
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Now you're asking about the future which neither I nor anyone else can predict. At 4% of the portfolio the point is moot. IMHO
__________________
Took SS at 62 and hope I live long enough to regret the decision.
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07-19-2022, 02:33 PM
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#10
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Laurel, MD
Posts: 6,834
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gayl
Actually, no. But I will now. Where is that thread
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We are entering a "Golden Period" for fixed income investing
https://www.early-retirement.org/for...d.php?t=114400
__________________
...with no reasonable expectation for ER, I'm just here auditing the AP class.Retired 8/1/15.
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07-19-2022, 02:38 PM
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#11
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Mar 2017
Location: City
Posts: 8,485
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There's bonds and there's bonds. Govvies, TIPS, Corporate Investment Grade, Corporate US, International, Junk.
Our personal portfolio is 95% in TIPS. DW and I are on the investment committee of a nonprofit with about $3M in corporate investment grade bonds. No funds except MM and ultrashort for occasional parking. Most of our corporates are limited to $10K positions, so we have several hundred different issues carefully diversified across business sectors; consumer durables, aerospace, etc. Our FA has a guy who is expert at this and he spends a lot of time on the diversification as well as studying the issues. Almost all are BBB and this has caused us no trouble.
DW and I have quite a bit more than $50K on our fixed income side, but we would not consider corporates because we don't have enough $$ to afford a well diversified portfolio and we don't want to expend the necessary effort. We also don't like bond funds for reasons hashed and rehashed here many times. YMMV however.
__________________
Ignoramus et ignorabimus
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07-19-2022, 02:43 PM
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#12
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Laurel, MD
Posts: 6,834
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Here’s another good one that is very informative
Muni Bond (and Muni Bond Fund) Discussion
https://www.early-retirement.org/for...d.php?t=104000
__________________
...with no reasonable expectation for ER, I'm just here auditing the AP class.Retired 8/1/15.
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07-19-2022, 04:40 PM
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#13
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Dec 2017
Posts: 801
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gayl
I've decided that maybe I should put about 50k into bonds. But I don't know how to do this. I know the mechanics of buying but how do I decide if it's a good one?? It would be in my IRA if that matters. What do I need to read up on to figure this out? About a decade ago Schwab advised me to buy PWZ as it is taxfree. But I don't need taxfree in a tax deferred account.
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Its awfully easy to buy treasuries. No research needed. Pick a maturity and click a button. I favor TIPS but anything is better than cash at Schwab. If you go with nominals I would keep the maturity to 5 years of less.
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07-19-2022, 04:43 PM
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#14
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Moderator Emeritus
Join Date: Apr 2011
Location: The Woodlands, TX
Posts: 15,513
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Even Schwab's MM fund, SWVXX is paying 1.4% right now.
__________________
Everyone has a plan until they get punched in the mouth...philosopher Mike Tyson
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07-19-2022, 04:57 PM
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#15
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jul 2013
Posts: 1,510
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gayl
I've decided that maybe I should put about 50k into bonds. But I don't know how to do this. I know the mechanics of buying but how do I decide if it's a good one?? It would be in my IRA if that matters. What do I need to read up on to figure this out? About a decade ago Schwab advised me to buy PWZ as it is taxfree. But I don't need taxfree in a tax deferred account.
As to risk tolerance: I've traded stocks for decades, used to trade up to 300× year, level 2 options trader, a little embarrassed that I know very little about bonds so I've just been accumulating cash. We all know how little that earns. I've really REALLY slimmed down investments to just SCHB (86%), SCHD & individual stocks (4%), PWZ (6%), straight cash (4%). Plus EF in a different account ... comfortable with that being just cash. Tired of trading -- started to feel like work
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If this is a long term investment (>5 years), just put it in a total bond fund (ie. VBTLX, FXNAX, etc).
https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Bogl...g_start-up_kit
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07-19-2022, 06:59 PM
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#16
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Sarasota, FL & Vermont
Posts: 32,023
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^^^ Sounds like a sure-fire way to lose money in the near term.
__________________
If something cannot endure laughter.... it cannot endure.
Patience is the art of concealing your impatience.
Slow and steady wins the race.
Retired Jan 2012 at age 56
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07-19-2022, 07:55 PM
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#17
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jul 2013
Posts: 1,510
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pb4uski
^^^ Sounds like a sure-fire way to lose money in the near term.
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A) you don't know that
B) I said if it's a long term investment
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07-19-2022, 08:02 PM
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#18
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Sarasota, FL & Vermont
Posts: 32,023
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Yup... and I said near term. Let's check back in 6 months and see what happened.
__________________
If something cannot endure laughter.... it cannot endure.
Patience is the art of concealing your impatience.
Slow and steady wins the race.
Retired Jan 2012 at age 56
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07-19-2022, 08:03 PM
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#19
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jul 2013
Posts: 1,510
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pb4uski
Yup... and I said near term. Let's check back in 6 months and see what happened.
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If the investment is being held for years, who cares about 6 months? It's irrelevant.
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07-19-2022, 08:11 PM
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#20
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Sarasota, FL & Vermont
Posts: 32,023
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I guess my point is that given the high likelihood that the Fed will be increasing rates over the next few months this is a bad time to invest in a bond index fund with a 6-7 year duration... a 1% increase in interest rates will create a hole that will take 6-7 years to recover from... so en if held 5 years it will not have recovered.
IMO it is bad advice.
__________________
If something cannot endure laughter.... it cannot endure.
Patience is the art of concealing your impatience.
Slow and steady wins the race.
Retired Jan 2012 at age 56
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