It is not my purpose or intent to introduce an end of the world conspiracy theory into a forum that is largely centered about the building and maintaining of capital to insure a safe and happy retirement.
Hopefully our leaders recognize the dangers inherent in an unregulated system, and will continue to work in the interests of the country and the world, put into place controls that will diminish the current risks, and to forestall future threats to the world economy.
Those who champion less regulation, indeed, make good points about the strangleholds being placed on businesses, that inhibit the free enterprise system that has served the US and the World for so long.
That being said, few can explain the outrageous numbers that show up in discussions about "money"... Dollar amounts totaling 600 to 800 Trillion Dollars. Passed off as "notional amounts" ... as if it were "Much Ado About Nothing". Who even knows whether that number represents derivative contracts or derivative trading volume?
Calming words such as "Zero Sum". and "Insurance".
We hear "counterparty risk" as if it were a bet in "texas hold'em". The common perception of derivative traders, is that of nouveau riche young guys helicoptering from the Hamptons to their office in the "City".
And then there's "leverage"... the "money" that is put up... up front, to effect a transaction. Remembering LTCM... with equity of 4.7 Billion, borrowed 125 Billion, and ended up with balance sheet assets with a notional; value of 1.4 Trillion dollars.
So yes... thinking and talking about derivatives is a botheration, but to dismiss the subject because it is not easily understood puts us in the same boat with more than 300 million Americans who calmly and passively
"trust".
Everyone I know who invests, (mostly older persons) claims to to be aware of high risk instruments... and follows conservative investing rules.
On that subject, I wonder how they, and their brokers/advisors actually know the involvement of these entities in the derivatives markets.
Beyond the private investments, how does one estimate the risk of public businesses, and government risks... municipal and federal.
So the purpose of a derivatives discussion? Well, maybe just to rattle cages, but I would really like to hear from others, about their concerns, or lack of concern.
There are so many good enlightening threads here that go on for pages and pages about decisions that are part of our daily lives. Is the thought of a worldwide monetary crisis just too far out to consider?
an older, but still valid primer:
Derivatives Primer