It's been a while since this thread died down, but I wanted to come back and thank everyone again for the discussion. I'm staying extremely busy lately between work and school, so I don't have nearly as much time as I'd like to read and participate in this board. This has been my first chance to come back to the board in a while.
I've done a bit more thinking on this topic since we had this discussion. I continue to agree with most of you that annuities, in general, are a bad way to go.
On the other hand, this is completely theoretical since I'm not working as a financial planner yet, but I could see some clients wanting a guaranteed income stream even after I educated them that they would get a better return, and be able to keep the principal, by taking systematic withdrawals from their investment portfolio. (There is still the risk that the insurance company will fail, and I'll definitely let clients know this, but for better or worse, insurance companies are allowed to use the word "guaranteed.") In other words, from a purely financial/academic perspective, annuities are a bad deal and no one should ever use them. However, when you put the human element/desire for security into the situation, some clients may decide an annuity is worth the tradeoffs.
Basically, the way I am leaning toward dealing with this issue with clients in a situation where an annuity could make any level of sense (this would certainly not be all situations; each situation is unique), is to say something like:
1. Using your investment portfolio will give you a higher expected return, due in part to much lower fees and expenses, and will allow you to keep the principal, etc. etc. (all the reasons to use your investment portfolio that people on this forum espouse and I completely agree with). Therefore, I lean toward using your investment portfolio whenever possible.
2. That said, an annuity does provide an income stream you can't outlive, subject to the caveat that you are depending on the insurer not to fail, which is why you would only want to use a very highly rated company. If we decide an annuity makes sense for your situation, I'll work with you to find the lowest-cost alternative possible, e.g. something from Vanguard.
Once again (in the same spirit as my original post), I'm putting this out there to expose my current thinking to you, in the hope that we can enrich each other's thinking through discussion. And, recall that if if/when I do work as a planner, it will be on a fee-only basis where I have no financial incentive to use annuities.
Best, Leonard
PS As Brewer noted, keeping up with the literature can yield good insights. I did a quick search for useful articles on the subject of using your investment portfolio vs. using an annuity. Here are a few (citation plus a short summary). I can’t post the actual articles due to copyright restrictions.
Dus, Ivica; Maurer, Raimond; Mitchell, Olivia S.. Betting on death and capital markets in retirement: a shortfall risk analysis of life annuities versus phased withdrawal plans. Financial Services Review, Fall2005, Vol. 14 Issue 3, p169-196.
(My summary: Phased withdrawals from your own portfolio are better than an annuity if you know what you’re doing and you are willing to invest the time. This is consistent with the thinking on this forum.)
Milevsky. M. (1998). Optimal asset allocation towards the end of the life cycle: To annuitize or not to annuitize? Journal of Risk and Insurance, 65, 401-426.
(From abstract of paper: We propose a model in which retirees defer annuitization, via a "do-il-yourself" scheme, until it is no longer possible lo beat the mortality-adjusted rate of retum from a life annuity. We make use of a unique Canadian databa.se to calibrate the insurance loads and interest rate parameters. We conclude that in the current environment, a .sixty five year old female (male) has a ninety percent (eighly-five percent) chance of beating the rate of retum from a life annuity, unlii age eighty.)
Milevsky, Moshe Arye; Panyagometh, Kamphol. Variable annuities versus mutual funds: a Monte-Carlo analysis of the options. Financial Services Review, 2001, Vol. 10 Issue 1-4.
(My summary: very low cost variable annuities—under 10 basis points which obviously excludes the vast majority—are found to be better than low cost mutual funds when the time horizon is at least 10 years.)