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View Poll Results: Your prediction for DOW 12/31/10
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Below 8000
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3 |
2.88% |
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8000 - 9500
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6 |
5.77% |
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9500 - 10500
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7 |
6.73% |
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10500 - 11500
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33 |
31.73% |
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11500 - 12500
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41 |
39.42% |
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Over 12500
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14 |
13.46% |
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Dow Prediction for 12/31/10
04-15-2010, 09:42 AM
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#1
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Jun 2008
Posts: 534
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Dow Prediction for 12/31/10
It seems to me such a poll only happens when things are not looking good so I thought it would be fun to see where people think we are headed for the end of this year.
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Never surrender what you really want for what you want right now.
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04-15-2010, 09:45 AM
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#2
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: North Oregon Coast
Posts: 16,483
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9682. Not so much because I'm really bearish on the prospects for continued recovery but because I think the market got way ahead of itself in its sharp recovery, overshot "fair value" on the way back up and is due for a significant correction.
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"Hey, for every ten dollars, that's another hour that I have to be in the work place. That's an hour of my life. And my life is a very finite thing. I have only 'x' number of hours left before I'm dead. So how do I want to use these hours of my life? Do I want to use them just spending it on more crap and more stuff, or do I want to start getting a handle on it and using my life more intelligently?" -- Joe Dominguez (1938 - 1997)
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04-15-2010, 09:50 AM
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#3
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 7,746
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I'll go second. Dow 11,850. That will be up 12% from the start of the year. Seems reasonable given where we were in 07 and 08. And our economic situation will be 9 months clearer by then (not necessarily better though).
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Retired in 2013 at age 33. Keeping busy reading, blogging, relaxing, gaming, and enjoying the outdoors with my wife and 3 kids (8, 13, and 15).
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04-15-2010, 11:22 AM
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#4
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 465
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I think it'll rise through summer and then retreat to current levels by year's end as interst rates start to climb, so I'll say 11,100.
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04-15-2010, 11:31 AM
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#5
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gone traveling
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 3,864
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11,982
I'm not revealing my source... 
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04-15-2010, 11:48 AM
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#6
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 889
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I have actually never paid that much attention to the price levels. I focus on the dividends, and the potential capital gains are just a bonus. The crash has made me prefer this way of looking at it even more so.
My guess is: 11500 - 12500
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04-15-2010, 11:53 AM
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#7
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: East Nowhere, 43N Latitude, NY
Posts: 9,037
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Since this is for fun, I'll register a pure WAG with my usual "lucky" number. 9658
__________________
"All our dreams can come true, if we have the courage to pursue them." - Walt Disney
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04-15-2010, 12:28 PM
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#8
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Administrator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Chicagoland
Posts: 40,714
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Is this like “the price is right”? Is there a prize?
All right, I say the Dow below 9000. Say, 8750
and,
The unemployment rate stays above 9.5%
The Cubs are gonna win the pennant
The Dems will keep the house
My wife and kids will appreciate me
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04-15-2010, 12:40 PM
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#9
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 2,115
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 Quote:
Originally Posted by MichaelB
Is this like “the price is right”? Is there a prize?
All right, I say the Dow below 9000. Say, 8750
and,
The unemployment rate stays above 9.5%
The Cubs are gonna win the pennant
The Dems will keep the house
My wife and kids will appreciate me
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Hah. Let's hope you got that last one right. At my house that might be the biggest miracle of all.
I'll say Dow 12050 just because it seems like it should actually go down from current levels but it never does what I think anyway.
__________________
“Of all the paths you take in life, make sure a few of them are dirt.” John Muir
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04-15-2010, 12:41 PM
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#10
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 2,375
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I'll go with 12340
Are there going to be any prizes?
A previous year end stock market pollster used to promise some pretty nice gifts...
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04-15-2010, 03:35 PM
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#11
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 479
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Danny
I'll go with 12340
Are there going to be any prizes?
A previous year end stock market pollster used to promise some pretty nice gifts...
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Yea. A bigger portfolio.
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04-15-2010, 03:48 PM
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#12
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 331
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Gazing into my crystal ball and I see 11800. It will surge forward and flirt with 12000 and then contract to 11800. That's my answer and I am sticking to it.
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04-15-2010, 03:52 PM
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#13
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Chicago
Posts: 13,186
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MichaelB
The Cubs are gonna win the pennant
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That one, at least, is lookin' good! Pretty much in the bag. We've had a few minor issues the last few decades, but all those seem to be cleared up and we're ready!
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04-15-2010, 03:57 PM
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#14
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: Colorado, USA
Posts: 1,127
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12,824.
Coach
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"Comprehensive health insurance is an idea whose time has come in America." President Richard M. Nixon, February 6, 1974
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04-15-2010, 04:50 PM
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#15
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: New Orleans
Posts: 47,500
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Coach
12,824.
Coach
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I like that! I'll see that and up you one, to 12,825. 
When the skies are bright canary yellow
I forget every cloud I've ever seen
So they called me a cockeyed optimist
Immature and incurably green
I have heard people rant and rave and bellow
That we're done and we might as well be dead
But I'm only a cockeyed optimist
And I can't get it out of my head
I hear the human race is falling on its face
And hasn't very far to go
But every whippoorwill is selling me a bill
And telling me it just ain't so
I could say life is just a bowl of Jello
And appear more intelligent and smart
But I'm stuck like a dope with a thing called hope
And I can't get it out of my heart
Not this heart
by R. Rodgers and O. Hammerstein
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Already we are boldly launched upon the deep; but soon we shall be lost in its unshored, harbourless immensities. - - H. Melville, 1851.
Happily retired since 2009, at age 61. Best years of my life by far!
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04-15-2010, 05:24 PM
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#16
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: LaLa Land
Posts: 4,698
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I'll sit this dance out, I must admit that after the last 2 years I don't have a clue.
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04-15-2010, 05:27 PM
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#17
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Texas: No Country for Old Men
Posts: 50,021
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 73ss454
I'll sit this dance out, I must admit that after the last 2 years I don't have a clue.
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It is a wise man who understands his limitations. 
__________________
Numbers is hard
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04-15-2010, 05:42 PM
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#18
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: LaLa Land
Posts: 4,698
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WISE, yeah that's it!
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04-15-2010, 06:31 PM
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#19
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 2,375
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The Cubs are gonna win the pennant
Quote:
Originally Posted by youbet
That one, at least, is lookin' good! Pretty much in the bag. We've had a few minor issues the last few decades, but all those seem to be cleared up and we're ready!
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I love the Cubs. I'm looking forward to them winning the pennant and then getting crushed in 4 games by the Twins in the World Series.
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04-15-2010, 06:42 PM
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#20
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 291
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15211 
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