I would not post my moves, or should I be deluded enough to think I knew what would happen I would not share this as advice. Way too easy to appear wrong, whether you are wrong or right eventually, or whether there even is a wrong or right. Once you have gone public you are in a sense fair game, and although members here are as sweet as Mom's apple pie, I'd just as soon walk in the shadows. I talk over some moves (before acting) with my brother, who has a similar mentality, though he is more risk averse.
I do adhere to a method which is basically varying asset allocation depending on PE10 or Tobin's Q valuations. I don't pay any attention to any other valuations, athough there may be others as good as these. But this method only has promise if in fact markets are mean reverting, and that is a long term phenomenon if it exists at all lately. Every day and every years conditions are different. So this could be an invalid strategy.
Investing is for money, not for social approval, and I am almost sure that seeking social approval, even in very small degree, is apt to be negative for the main goal of making money.
As far as whether after the fact postings are to be distrusted, I kind of doubt it. I reflexively distrust anything put forth on this board or elsewhere that is linked to a selling scheme by the poster, no matter how small the stakes are claimed to be, or no matter how much the poster tries to make it appear that s/he is actually performing a public service. If I had something to sell, I would do like every other person marketing, tell partial truths if forced too, otherwise "keep it happy".
But the only payoff to sugarcoating our performance reports would be mixed at best. Many will distrust the reports anyway if they seem too positive. I remember the recent crash. Pretty much everyone's investment schemes were blowing up, mine were more exposed than most because of a too heavy equity allocation. As far as I could tell, people were honestly posting about how badly they were being mauled.
Just before the climax of the crash I noticed that Genworth common was being heavily bought by important insiders at that firm. I bought enough to matter, but not enough to get killed. (With penny stocks, this is not hard.) But I had a meeting scheduled with my Fido rep to discuss Roth conversions, and he asked me about the Genworth in my TIRA. So in the course of explaining my thoughts to him it looked like just what it was, a rank speculation, based only of what insiders were doing. But as he pointed out, insiders had been getting blown up all through the crash, why would I trust this?
He was correct, but his comments (not really criticism) led me to forget that I knew it as a spec going in, so re-calling it a spec shouln't haved invalidated the suitability/or unsuitablilty of the move. It was a good move or a bad move on its own terms. I sold for what turned out to be a very small gain compared to where it got to because this encounter moved me off my center. I should let my all or none bets ride, as that was the plan. Sometimes they will win, sometimes they will lose but it is not helpful to change based on what someone else says, unless perhaps that someone made a meaningful fortune solely by investing his own money.
IMO, only for practitioners of non market sensitive asset allocation should investing be a social activity. For them, I suppose it could be helpful, the old "Keep the faith" idea. For others, brag after the fact if you want to, confess errors after the fact if you want to- but publishing a log of your moves, either here or elsewhere will expose you to criticism and/or jokes that may hurt emotionally and also hurt your performance. It is different if you have an honest need or desire for help at arriving at a decision before the fact, or perhaps to sell or hold. Certain people who got absolutely killed in the crash may have been helped by some ordinary be "be safer and diversify" advice such as the kind that is rightly given out on this board.
Ha
But I will do better.
