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View Poll Results: Passed a new $MM mark
will or have in 2007 39 45.35%
Did in 2006 33 38.37%
Dif in 2005 18 20.93%
Multiple Choice Poll. Voters: 86. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 07-16-2007, 05:03 PM   #61
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en - ga - neer 1966 big bucks 8k starting salary - no index funds , IRA, 401k, full commission broker - not a clue how to invest.

took a while. and people wonder why I'm so Curmudgeony.

heh heh heh - and opinionated too!
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Old 07-18-2007, 12:10 AM   #62
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Slow and steady wins the race...

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sam View Post
I, for one, am convinced that 1MM is a large sum of money. To put it in context, consider a young college graduate today. This young engineer just got a job today, paying 50K a year. He wants to save 1MM in today's dollars. Here's his plan:

- Save 15% of his gross salary
- Increase his saving 5% a year. 7,500 this year; 7,875 next year...
- Inflation is 3%
- ROI is 11%

For those who think 1MM is not a lot of money, I challenge you to calculate the number of years it takes this engineer to reach his goal.

Employing the most conservative assumptions possible (savings accumulate only at the end of the calendar year and therefore draw interest only in following years, inflation begins at end of calendar year 1), it will take him in the ballpark of 30-31 years.

Nominal million comes in at 23-24 years.

More realistic temporal modeling cuts down those time frames.

Playing around with the inflation, even just a tad, is rather scary, however.

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Old 07-18-2007, 12:53 AM   #63
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sam View Post
I, for one, am convinced that 1MM is a large sum of money. To put it in context, consider a young college graduate today. This young engineer just got a job today, paying 50K a year. He wants to save 1MM in today's dollars. Here's his plan:

- Save 15% of his gross salary
- Increase his saving 5% a year. 7,500 this year; 7,875 next year...
- Inflation is 3%
- ROI is 11%

For those who think 1MM is not a lot of money, I challenge you to calculate the number of years it takes this engineer to reach his goal.
Sam,
When you do the calcs, remember that our engineer is going to work hard, take risks, ask for more responsibility, learn his craft and therefore get raises over the years at more than just inflation rate. FIREes often (though of course not always) have worked harder than average to get ahead of the curve, thus boosting their earnings and savings.
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er'ing in a down market
Old 07-18-2007, 06:26 AM   #64
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er'ing in a down market

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Originally Posted by clifp View Post
I've been retired since May 99, so clearly in the withdrawal phase. I had a large safety margin (~ $1 million more than I needed) but it wasn't fun retiring at the top of the market.
clifp, That's what really shakes my tree about hanging in up soon. This market. I'm so tight about money, I'm afraid I would become phyically ill if the market tanked three months after ER. (I still believe my attitude about money grew out of the worst spanking I ever got the day I lost my piano lesson money.) By any reasonable measure I should be ready to ER, so I will soon. But sleeping at night will not be possible without a conservative, cash heavy allocation, even though intellectually I know it is false economy.
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Old 07-18-2007, 06:44 AM   #65
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Originally Posted by UVaOK View Post
Employing the most conservative assumptions possible (savings accumulate only at the end of the calendar year and therefore draw interest only in following years, inflation begins at end of calendar year 1), it will take him in the ballpark of 30-31 years.
Yes, it does take a loooong time, doesn't it.

What is "realistic temporal modeling"?


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Quote:
When you do the calcs, remember that our engineer is going to work hard, take risks, ask for more responsibility, learn his craft and therefore get raises over the years at more than just inflation rate. FIREes often (though of course not always) have worked harder than average to get ahead of the curve, thus boosting their earnings and savings.
That's why our engineer was able to increase his saving 5% annually for 3 decades.

But I agree with you, some people are highly motivated and are able to shorten the required time significantly by saving more. Some young members here, for example, are saving 30%, 40%, even 50% of gross income.
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Old 07-18-2007, 02:11 PM   #66
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Quote:
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Yes, it does take a loooong time, doesn't it.

What is "realistic temporal modeling"?
By "more realistic temporal" modeling, I meant that my "conservative" assumptions about timing (savings accumulate only on the final day of the year and therefore draw interest only in following years), are not true to life.

Presumably, the engineer is saving a a set percentage of each of his paychecks, and therefore receiving returns on that money immediately throughout the given year.
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Old 07-18-2007, 02:32 PM   #67
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Quote:
Originally Posted by UVaOK View Post
By "more realistic temporal" modeling, I meant that my "conservative" assumptions about timing (savings accumulate only on the final day of the year and therefore draw interest only in following years), are not true to life.

Presumably, the engineer is saving a a set percentage of each of his paychecks, and therefore receiving returns on that money immediately throughout the given year.
OK. Doing that would save at most half a year, but it's still around 30 years.
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Old 07-19-2007, 07:33 PM   #68
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Broke the $1m and $2m barriers in 2005. The year started out just over $900K and would have ended around $1.2m, but then I had an inheritance. Currently pushing $2.5m.
Made it to $2.5m. Next goal: $3m in 2010.
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Old 07-26-2007, 01:57 PM   #69
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Reached a new number today. Unfortunately it's less than it was a few days ago.
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Old 07-26-2007, 07:22 PM   #70
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Hit 1 MM mark in 1999, XDW's lawyer convinced me I was only a half millionaire. I'm above that mark again now and ER.
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Old 11-25-2007, 08:31 PM   #71
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Just reached my first Million few weeks ago. About 10 years earlier than planed.
The last 2-3 years were just too good to be true. All thanks to diverting my portfolio to very undervalued stocks.
I always thought I will celebrate this event, but it came so fast that I was not prepared for it (my net worth was only 600K at the beginning of the year)
Did anyone celebrate his first million? How?
Are you the guy from pfblog.com?
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Old 11-26-2007, 04:34 AM   #72
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Hum I haven't quite fallen backward below another million mark, but if the market continues for a the rest of the year like it has the last few months....
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Old 11-26-2007, 04:59 AM   #73
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Broke 1MM in 2001, 2MM in 2005, would have thought 3MM was coming this year but it no longer seems likely. (all this excludes equity in primary residence of course)
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Old 11-26-2007, 05:02 AM   #74
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Actually, I probably broke 3MM at some point during this year, had I MTM'd my portfolio on a daily basis. As it is I only check it at month end and it got as high as $2.95. I suspect there were days intra-month where it might have peaked above 3MM.
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Old 11-26-2007, 06:54 AM   #75
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Are you the guy from pfblog.com?
Not me. My portfolio is about 90% in Hong Kong stocks.

Thanks for the link though
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Old 11-27-2007, 03:05 AM   #76
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1MM in 1998
2MM in 2005
3MM in 2006

3.4 and falling now
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Old 11-27-2007, 08:32 AM   #77
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Just hit 2MM again but from the other direction...
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