View Poll Results: Passed a new $MM mark
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will or have in 2007
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39 |
45.35% |
Did in 2006
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33 |
38.37% |
Dif in 2005
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18 |
20.93% |
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07-16-2007, 05:03 PM
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#61
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Kansas City
Posts: 7,968
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en - ga - neer 1966 big bucks 8k starting salary - no index funds , IRA, 401k, full commission broker - not a clue how to invest.
took a while. and people wonder why I'm so Curmudgeony .
heh heh heh - and opinionated too!
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Slow and steady wins the race...
07-18-2007, 12:10 AM
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#62
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Dryer sheet aficionado
Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 29
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Slow and steady wins the race...
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sam
I, for one, am convinced that 1MM is a large sum of money. To put it in context, consider a young college graduate today. This young engineer just got a job today, paying 50K a year. He wants to save 1MM in today's dollars. Here's his plan:
- Save 15% of his gross salary
- Increase his saving 5% a year. 7,500 this year; 7,875 next year...
- Inflation is 3%
- ROI is 11%
For those who think 1MM is not a lot of money, I challenge you to calculate the number of years it takes this engineer to reach his goal.
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Employing the most conservative assumptions possible (savings accumulate only at the end of the calendar year and therefore draw interest only in following years, inflation begins at end of calendar year 1), it will take him in the ballpark of 30-31 years.
Nominal million comes in at 23-24 years.
More realistic temporal modeling cuts down those time frames.
Playing around with the inflation, even just a tad, is rather scary, however.
UVa
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07-18-2007, 12:53 AM
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#63
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 1,318
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sam
I, for one, am convinced that 1MM is a large sum of money. To put it in context, consider a young college graduate today. This young engineer just got a job today, paying 50K a year. He wants to save 1MM in today's dollars. Here's his plan:
- Save 15% of his gross salary
- Increase his saving 5% a year. 7,500 this year; 7,875 next year...
- Inflation is 3%
- ROI is 11%
For those who think 1MM is not a lot of money, I challenge you to calculate the number of years it takes this engineer to reach his goal.
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Sam,
When you do the calcs, remember that our engineer is going to work hard, take risks, ask for more responsibility, learn his craft and therefore get raises over the years at more than just inflation rate. FIREes often (though of course not always) have worked harder than average to get ahead of the curve, thus boosting their earnings and savings.
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07-18-2007, 06:26 AM
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#64
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: athens
Posts: 802
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er'ing in a down market
Quote:
Originally Posted by clifp
I've been retired since May 99, so clearly in the withdrawal phase. I had a large safety margin (~ $1 million more than I needed) but it wasn't fun retiring at the top of the market.
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clifp, That's what really shakes my tree about hanging in up soon. This market. I'm so tight about money, I'm afraid I would become phyically ill if the market tanked three months after ER. (I still believe my attitude about money grew out of the worst spanking I ever got the day I lost my piano lesson money.) By any reasonable measure I should be ready to ER, so I will soon. But sleeping at night will not be possible without a conservative, cash heavy allocation, even though intellectually I know it is false economy.
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07-18-2007, 06:44 AM
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#65
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Houston
Posts: 2,155
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Quote:
Originally Posted by UVaOK
Employing the most conservative assumptions possible (savings accumulate only at the end of the calendar year and therefore draw interest only in following years, inflation begins at end of calendar year 1), it will take him in the ballpark of 30-31 years.
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Yes, it does take a loooong time, doesn't it.
What is "realistic temporal modeling"?
ESRBob
Quote:
When you do the calcs, remember that our engineer is going to work hard, take risks, ask for more responsibility, learn his craft and therefore get raises over the years at more than just inflation rate. FIREes often (though of course not always) have worked harder than average to get ahead of the curve, thus boosting their earnings and savings.
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That's why our engineer was able to increase his saving 5% annually for 3 decades.
But I agree with you, some people are highly motivated and are able to shorten the required time significantly by saving more. Some young members here, for example, are saving 30%, 40%, even 50% of gross income.
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07-18-2007, 02:11 PM
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#66
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Dryer sheet aficionado
Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 29
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sam
Yes, it does take a loooong time, doesn't it.
What is "realistic temporal modeling"?
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By "more realistic temporal" modeling, I meant that my "conservative" assumptions about timing (savings accumulate only on the final day of the year and therefore draw interest only in following years), are not true to life.
Presumably, the engineer is saving a a set percentage of each of his paychecks, and therefore receiving returns on that money immediately throughout the given year.
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07-18-2007, 02:32 PM
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#67
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Houston
Posts: 2,155
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Quote:
Originally Posted by UVaOK
By "more realistic temporal" modeling, I meant that my "conservative" assumptions about timing (savings accumulate only on the final day of the year and therefore draw interest only in following years), are not true to life.
Presumably, the engineer is saving a a set percentage of each of his paychecks, and therefore receiving returns on that money immediately throughout the given year.
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OK. Doing that would save at most half a year, but it's still around 30 years.
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07-19-2007, 07:33 PM
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#68
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 11,401
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Meadbh
Broke the $1m and $2m barriers in 2005. The year started out just over $900K and would have ended around $1.2m, but then I had an inheritance. Currently pushing $2.5m.
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Made it to $2.5m. Next goal: $3m in 2010.
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07-26-2007, 01:57 PM
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#69
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: North of Montana
Posts: 2,769
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Reached a new number today. Unfortunately it's less than it was a few days ago.
__________________
There are two kinds of people in the world: those who can extrapolate conclusions from insufficient data and ..
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07-26-2007, 07:22 PM
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#70
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 14,328
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Hit 1 MM mark in 1999, XDW's lawyer convinced me I was only a half millionaire. I'm above that mark again now and ER.
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11-25-2007, 08:31 PM
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#71
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Dryer sheet aficionado
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 42
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Quote:
Originally Posted by yona
Just reached my first Million few weeks ago. About 10 years earlier than planed.
The last 2-3 years were just too good to be true. All thanks to diverting my portfolio to very undervalued stocks.
I always thought I will celebrate this event, but it came so fast that I was not prepared for it (my net worth was only 600K at the beginning of the year)
Did anyone celebrate his first million? How?
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Are you the guy from pfblog.com?
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11-26-2007, 04:34 AM
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#72
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 7,733
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Hum I haven't quite fallen backward below another million mark, but if the market continues for a the rest of the year like it has the last few months....
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11-26-2007, 04:59 AM
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#73
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: New York
Posts: 898
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Broke 1MM in 2001, 2MM in 2005, would have thought 3MM was coming this year but it no longer seems likely. (all this excludes equity in primary residence of course)
__________________
Money's just something you need in case you don't die tomorrow.
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11-26-2007, 05:02 AM
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#74
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: New York
Posts: 898
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Actually, I probably broke 3MM at some point during this year, had I MTM'd my portfolio on a daily basis. As it is I only check it at month end and it got as high as $2.95. I suspect there were days intra-month where it might have peaked above 3MM.
__________________
Money's just something you need in case you don't die tomorrow.
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11-26-2007, 06:54 AM
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#75
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Dryer sheet aficionado
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 45
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pj86
Are you the guy from pfblog.com?
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Not me. My portfolio is about 90% in Hong Kong stocks.
Thanks for the link though
__________________
Many people die at twenty five and aren't buried until they are seventy five.
Benjamin Franklin
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11-27-2007, 03:05 AM
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#76
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Moderator Emeritus
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Northern Illinois
Posts: 16,603
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1MM in 1998
2MM in 2005
3MM in 2006
3.4 and falling now
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11-27-2007, 08:32 AM
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#77
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Pacific latitude 20/49
Posts: 7,677
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Just hit 2MM again but from the other direction...
__________________
For the fun of it...Keith
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