Wish to create an income portfolio of 3-4 low expense ETFs, preferably dividend ETFs that will on average return 4% or more. At this moment, looking at Invesco Preferred ETF (PGX) and Invesco S&P 500 High Dividend Low Volatility ETF (SPHD).
As this type of portfolio will have significant risk during an inflationary cycle, I am soliciting suggestions for additional ETFs to complete this income portfolio as well as any commentary regarding the first two ETFs that I have selected (PGX and SPHD). Thanks!
I'm not a fan of sector funds, these High Dividend funds, by definition, invest in a sector of the market to get those dividends. The data shows you are best served by a more diversified portfolio, like VTI (Total Market) or SPY.
If you check that SPHD, you'll find it is "low volatility" in name only - in the only dip we have data for (SPHD was started in 2012, so no 2008 data), it drops
more than VTI.
And SPHD does not "return" 4% on average. It provides dividends of ~ 4%. It's "return" (total value to the investor) is lower than VTI.
VTI dividends are ~ 1.3% - if you need 4%, you can just sell ~2.7% each year (or spread it through the year) to make up the difference. Those dividends are mostly an illusion - there is essentially no difference between you selling some of the holding for income, and the High-Div ETF distributing a dividend. If the ETF did not distribute that div, it would be held and be on the books, raising it's value, which means you could then sell it for income.
The advantage to you selling some of VTI or SPY, is you will pay less in taxes (only a portion of the sale will have taxable gains), and you are in control. And, you will be better diversified.
Some data:
https://bit.ly/2Rt4kwn << short-link to portfoliovisualizer.com
If you invested $100,000 in VTI and SPHD at SPHD inception (NOV 2012), VTI would have grown to $352,979, SPHD lagged and would be worth only $246,574. A $106,405 delta is nothing to sneeze at. And, you'd likely pay less taxes with VTI/SPY.
And if you add in a 4% annual, inflation adjusted withdrawal to that analysis, to show the effect of providing a steady income from each source, the balances are VTI: $281,108, SPHD: $192,108.
Every analysis I've done shows these dividend ETFs to be a loser in every way. They don't lower volatility, they don't provide more value. And those divs can vary over time, so you might still need to do dome selling or reinvesting to maintain 4%. An occasional sale of VTI or SPY really is almost no effort.
-ERD50