- Joined
- Nov 27, 2014
- Messages
- 9,201
Looking for a gut check on my logic. Realize that I see this as a worst case scenario and a simple framework to satisfy myself that everything will be fine financially if I retire early.
I’m looking to retire in two years. I have 401K’s of $880K plus an IRA with about $225K. I think I’m able to live on less than $100K per year so I did the following simple analysis. It assumes no growth or loss in my portfolio.
In the first 5 years I take out $100K per year from my 401K. In years 6, 7, 8, my SS (and wife’s) kicks in so I only need to take out a little over $50K to hit my $100K. At this time, my 401K/IRA balance is $450K plus I have about $125K in cash.
At this point, I have a pension that will kick in for $37K per year and mine and my wife’s SS is $70K. Also at this point, my wife and I are 70 and 65 respectively.
So basically, I could go into years 70/65 with over a half million and SS and a pension will provide over $100K which I think is plenty to live on. I also have about $20K using a 4% withdrawal rate on the IRA/Cash. We have no debt and are well able to live below our means. I used $100K to capture the taxes and high end of the assumption, but I think we could live on $50K and the rest is discretionary.
Am I over simplifying this?
I’m looking to retire in two years. I have 401K’s of $880K plus an IRA with about $225K. I think I’m able to live on less than $100K per year so I did the following simple analysis. It assumes no growth or loss in my portfolio.
In the first 5 years I take out $100K per year from my 401K. In years 6, 7, 8, my SS (and wife’s) kicks in so I only need to take out a little over $50K to hit my $100K. At this time, my 401K/IRA balance is $450K plus I have about $125K in cash.
At this point, I have a pension that will kick in for $37K per year and mine and my wife’s SS is $70K. Also at this point, my wife and I are 70 and 65 respectively.
So basically, I could go into years 70/65 with over a half million and SS and a pension will provide over $100K which I think is plenty to live on. I also have about $20K using a 4% withdrawal rate on the IRA/Cash. We have no debt and are well able to live below our means. I used $100K to capture the taxes and high end of the assumption, but I think we could live on $50K and the rest is discretionary.
Am I over simplifying this?