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Market Volatility
Old 01-24-2022, 11:06 AM   #1
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Market Volatility

This is a great day to watch some old Peter Lynch or Jack Bogle videos. I just retired and this isn't fun, but I'm not touching my investments.
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Old 01-24-2022, 11:52 PM   #2
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This is a great day to watch some old Peter Lynch or Jack Bogle videos. I just retired and this isn't fun, but I'm not touching my investments.
Good decision! Doing nothing with investments when the market drops, has worked nicely for many of us. Besides, since you just retired, you have other, more important things to do - - relax, shed any leftover work stress, and enjoy your retirement.
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Old 01-25-2022, 05:12 AM   #3
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My favorite old time money guy was Marty Zweig on Wall Street Week.
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Old 01-25-2022, 06:21 AM   #4
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Here’s what the Dow Jones looks like in the long run from 1970 to now - including 1987, 2000, 2008-09. I’m sitting tight like always, those worked out great…
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Old 01-25-2022, 06:31 AM   #5
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"Don't just stand there, do nothing," I believe is a quote from JB.
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Old 01-25-2022, 09:24 AM   #6
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If you are nervous this early in the correction, you better adjust your allocation after the market recovers- and it will recover.
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Old 01-25-2022, 09:28 AM   #7
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History shows whatever correction may be happening, just stay invested and ride the recovery. From the old saying "Time in the market beats timing the market".
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Old 01-25-2022, 09:31 AM   #8
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Many moons ago I thought I could time the market. I could see a bubble coming at y2k.
Went to cash at about the right time. But mistimed getting back in.

My boss and I had similar 401k balances at the beginning of the y2k downturn. I got out. He didn't. I was $100k behind him when I got back in. I never did catch him after that. Learned my lesson to never try to time the market.

I haven't taken money out of the market since and I won't this time either.
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Old 01-25-2022, 09:43 AM   #9
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Many moons ago I thought I could time the market. I could see a bubble coming at y2k.
Went to cash at about the right time. But mistimed getting back in.
Y2k was the one and only time I timed the market successfully with my 401(k) funds, both getting out and getting back in. I realized in hindsight it wasn't skill, just luck. Promised myself I'd never tempt fate again.
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Old 01-25-2022, 09:52 AM   #10
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Ron star - Thank you for sharing your real life experience !
We all need these reminders from time to time.
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Old 01-25-2022, 11:11 AM   #11
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ronstar View Post
Many moons ago I thought I could time the market. I could see a bubble coming at y2k.
Went to cash at about the right time. But mistimed getting back in.

My boss and I had similar 401k balances at the beginning of the y2k downturn. I got out. He didn't. I was $100k behind him when I got back in. I never did catch him after that. Learned my lesson to never try to time the market.

I haven't taken money out of the market since and I won't this time either.
I knew the 2K big correction was coming too, even told DW before it happened, the only one I “predicted.” But the CG tax hit would have been awful so I didn’t sell anything. Turned out great…
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Old 01-25-2022, 11:13 AM   #12
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I'm looking at doing some Roth conversions when my investments drop
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Old 01-25-2022, 11:21 AM   #13
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This has been a long time coming, and I’m not convinced it’s really here yet either!

I’ve seen terrible volatility - 2008, 2009, 2002. Even briefly in 2020. This is a calm series of drops.
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Old 01-25-2022, 12:26 PM   #14
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If you are nervous this early in the correction, you better adjust your allocation after the market recovers- and it will recover.
WADR I disagree. If someone nervously but successfully rides this one out, that ought to confirm their AA. Only if they bail and run screaming for the doors is there a reason to reconsider the AA.

DW and I have been riding these out since October '87. It gets easier every time. It's now to the point where we just laugh at gyrations like we're seeing this week.
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