portfolio change
- Thread starter runnerr
- Start date
Mine was 9% YTD on 07/03/07
http://www.early-retirement.org/forums/f28/lets-brag-about-mid-year-performance-28584.html
Today's YTD is 2%
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07-04-2007, 03:48 AM
As some of you might recall, yona had the most impressive gain on the above "Let's brag about..." thread. I wonder if he would come back here and give us and update?
http://www.early-retirement.org/forums/f28/lets-brag-about-mid-year-performance-28584.html
Today's YTD is 2%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
07-04-2007, 03:48 AM
As some of you might recall, yona had the most impressive gain on the above "Let's brag about..." thread. I wonder if he would come back here and give us and update?
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kaudrey
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
I only add up my numbers monthly. In July, I was down about 0.7%.
But of course the numbers are worse in the last 2 weeks.
But of course the numbers are worse in the last 2 weeks.
lazygood4nothinbum
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- Joined
- Feb 27, 2006
- Messages
- 3,895
my only good news so far this year is that i've been so busy losing so much money in real estate that i didn't have a chance to lose a whole lot on the stock market.
Moemg
Gone but not forgotten
About 6% and I'm not happy !
happy2bretired
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
About 7%...I'm not happy either
but holding on best I can. It's amazing how one can feel really rich one day and then feel very poor the next. I know it's only a feeling, not a reality (yet anyway) but still it does make you wonder how things will pan out and how secure you will be in the future.
but holding on best I can. It's amazing how one can feel really rich one day and then feel very poor the next. I know it's only a feeling, not a reality (yet anyway) but still it does make you wonder how things will pan out and how secure you will be in the future.
Dawg52
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Down 5% from my high. Looks like more to go on the downside.
Spanky
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
It was up 2% two days ago. Today is probably worse.
Bikerdude
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
- Joined
- Jul 4, 2006
- Messages
- 1,901
down about 4% from high. +2% Ytd.
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crispus
Recycles dryer sheets
- Joined
- Jun 24, 2004
- Messages
- 168
As of yesterday down about 6% from high. As fast as the market has fallen might be good news. Maybe this panic will end soon and the market can stabilize and find a base to grow again.
NotSoonEnough
Recycles dryer sheets
- Joined
- Jul 18, 2007
- Messages
- 192
Ugh! Well, since I am still working and putting everything I can afford into the investment account to get to FIRE ASAP, I am at the same place I was last month. But I sold some business assets this month and the proceeds have suddenly disappeared...that alone is a 4% loss. Ignoring the added business loss and things are down about 1.5% for a total of 5.5% this month.
Oh well, live and learn and live some more...
Oh well, live and learn and live some more...
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Dawg52
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Good move. I'm just not smart enough to time the market. Thats why I have 9-10 years worth of cd's/cash. Gives me a cushion for several years and hopefully the market will average out ok during that time period. If I take SS at 62, that will take some pressure off the portfolio as well.
Wish I had the smarts to move in and out of the market like Ha Ha and the rest. Ha seems to have the knack to focus on the good sectors and bail when the time is right. I guess I spend too much time focusing on the old golf ball.
![:-\](https://www.early-retirement.org/sk/forums/images/smilies/undecided.gif "Undecided :-\")
i didn't sell at the top, around 1490 on the SP500. last night i was rereading the chapter about market tops in William O'Neill's book. He only goes by price and volume, but in another technical analysis book i partly read it said to look at the MACD indicator.
if you look at a rally/correction cycle the MACD goes up the first month or so. then it starts into a downtrend for 4-6 months before another correction takes place. MACD looked like it flashed a correction after the first drop from the high to the 50 day line, i sold and then it shot up again to 1557 or so and then the real drop took place. need to read up some more for the future. luckily spotting market bottoms is easier. not 100% foolproof but good enough based on past rallies to use it.
Before the month is out i'm going to get my hands on a copy of Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets by John Murphy. Apparently it's also a text book in a lot of financial courses.
if the SP500 keeps dropping i'll be up 8% or so for the year unless my money market fund goes belly up as well. go to a 401k calculator and see the results if you outperform the SP500 by 1% a year. i'm happy this year so far
if you look at a rally/correction cycle the MACD goes up the first month or so. then it starts into a downtrend for 4-6 months before another correction takes place. MACD looked like it flashed a correction after the first drop from the high to the 50 day line, i sold and then it shot up again to 1557 or so and then the real drop took place. need to read up some more for the future. luckily spotting market bottoms is easier. not 100% foolproof but good enough based on past rallies to use it.
Before the month is out i'm going to get my hands on a copy of Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets by John Murphy. Apparently it's also a text book in a lot of financial courses.
if the SP500 keeps dropping i'll be up 8% or so for the year unless my money market fund goes belly up as well. go to a 401k calculator and see the results if you outperform the SP500 by 1% a year. i'm happy this year so far
Seems like I'm down maybe 10% from the peak. I'm guessing I'm pretty close to a YTD of 1% - 2% (if I'm lucky). About $500K of value evaporated. There goes my cabin.
Probably a great time to buy. I'm just to chicken to bet anything bigger than $5 - $10K in options.
Probably a great time to buy. I'm just to chicken to bet anything bigger than $5 - $10K in options.
Mike, if your down 10% at 500K you must have 4.5M left. Go get the cabin, your going to make it. (heh)
I don't even want to calculate. We're right in the middle of changing asset allocation due to a brokerage move, and we just hadn't gotten to it yet. We do not need the money for 10 years or so (will retire earlier on taxable dollars) so calculating this would just be misery.
On a better not I started with a new company 2 months ago and was happy to see that the 401k match calculates on entire year, not by quarter so they are really loading funds in for me quickly. My last company did it by quarter so you had to spread out your contributions or miss some match.
On a better not I started with a new company 2 months ago and was happy to see that the 401k match calculates on entire year, not by quarter so they are really loading funds in for me quickly. My last company did it by quarter so you had to spread out your contributions or miss some match.
jIMOh
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
note sure... still contributing and still 99% equity and 1% bonds.
packrat44
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Down 7.2% from year high to 17 Aug. Up 2.9% YTD.
No idea. I don't record that closely. 1% up for the year so not exactly raking it in this year.
Including the benefits of Friday's rally, I'm up 5.1% for the year. On July 13, I was up 13.4%. The last month did a pretty good job on me but being up 5.1% in August is still a pretty decent year so far.
This current volatility isn't unusual. What's been happening over the last 4 years is. This is our first decent correction and we should be seeing one about every 18 - 24 months. What's happened so far may not be the end of the correction. Our drop has so far peaked out just over 10%. 20% isn't unusual for these things.
This is why you asset allocate and don't go too heavily into fringe holdings. In the long run, sure and steady wins the race. Every asset class or country can have a good few years but history says that they will eventually even out. There's no free lunch.
I've got 7 years of living expenses in cash and CDs. I'm way over paid in a stress free j*b that lets me save about 20% of my gross. I think I can handle this blip.
BTW -- I was a dedicated stock technical analyst for years. That crap does not work. You might as well flip a coin when it comes to predicting market moves. Technical analysis does make you sound so stock sophisticated when you talk about what did happen.
This current volatility isn't unusual. What's been happening over the last 4 years is. This is our first decent correction and we should be seeing one about every 18 - 24 months. What's happened so far may not be the end of the correction. Our drop has so far peaked out just over 10%. 20% isn't unusual for these things.
This is why you asset allocate and don't go too heavily into fringe holdings. In the long run, sure and steady wins the race. Every asset class or country can have a good few years but history says that they will eventually even out. There's no free lunch.
I've got 7 years of living expenses in cash and CDs. I'm way over paid in a stress free j*b that lets me save about 20% of my gross. I think I can handle this blip.
BTW -- I was a dedicated stock technical analyst for years. That crap does not work. You might as well flip a coin when it comes to predicting market moves. Technical analysis does make you sound so stock sophisticated when you talk about what did happen.
