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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
01-01-2007, 06:41 AM
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#41
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 548
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
 Quote:
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Originally Posted by Nords
I was wondering if I was being a little too subtle...
... am I the only one who still remembers the punchline to that joke?
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No, I got it.
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
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01-01-2007, 08:37 AM
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#42
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 1,396
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
Ok, here is an updated summary (after removing Nords' fake prediction):
Number of predictions: 23
Highest prediction: +15% (mmg2681)
Lowest prediction: -29% (Running Man)
Average: +4.70%
It seems that as a group, we are a bit more pessimistic than Dr. Siegel:
http://finance.yahoo.com/columnist/a...reinvest/18829
"Markets here and overseas are still reasonably valued and corporate earnings should continue to move upward. Hence I believe 2007 will be another good year for stocks, although returns will not be as high as 2006. U.S. stocks should return about 8%, with foreign stocks doing perhaps a little better."
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
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01-02-2007, 07:18 AM
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#43
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 1,682
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
What I like to see is the predictions made previously by the
so called experts.
Because even a broken clock is correct twice a day.
Tom
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
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01-02-2007, 07:54 AM
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#44
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 4,005
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
+4.7%
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
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01-02-2007, 10:54 AM
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#45
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Pacific latitude 20/49
Posts: 7,677
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
Quote:
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Originally Posted by teejayevans
What I like to see is the predictions made previously by the
so called experts. Because even a broken clock is correct twice a day.
Tom
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Hey predictions are easy. It is forecasting the future that is hard 
__________________
For the fun of it...Keith
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
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01-02-2007, 11:01 AM
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#46
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 471
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
+7.5%
2soon
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
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01-03-2007, 11:30 AM
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#47
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 607
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
+6.3%
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
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01-03-2007, 11:40 AM
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#48
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 696
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
I predict another up year.
"Prediction is very hard, especially about the future." -Yogi Berra
__________________
Oh, you hate your job? Why didn't you say so? There's a support group for that. It's called EVERYBODY, and they meet at the bar.--Drew Carey
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
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01-03-2007, 12:06 PM
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#49
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Boise
Posts: 7,624
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
+10.7%
2Cor521
__________________
"At times the world can seem an unfriendly and sinister place, but believe us when we say there is much more good in it than bad. All you have to do is look hard enough, and what might seem to be a series of unfortunate events, may in fact be the first steps of a journey." Violet Baudelaire.
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
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01-03-2007, 04:44 PM
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#50
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: South Texas~29N/98W Just West of Woman Hollering Creek
Posts: 6,640
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
+7.5%
__________________
Part-Owner of Texas
Outside of a dog, a book is man's best friend. Inside of a dog, it's too dark to read. Groucho Marx
In dire need of: faster horses, younger woman, older whiskey, more money.
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
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01-03-2007, 06:07 PM
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#51
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 7,732
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
16.5%
But the big winner will be the Iraq stock exchange up 37%... LOL
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
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01-09-2007, 03:01 AM
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#52
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 186
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
12%+ dow
17% + naz
why>>>> i have no idea. positive thinking!
__________________
We should all feel blessed!
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07-01-2007, 01:11 PM
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#53
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 1,396
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Here is a halftime report: VTSAX is up 7.51% as of June 30.
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07-01-2007, 02:49 PM
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#54
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 567
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10.8%
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07-01-2007, 04:06 PM
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#55
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Central, Ohio, USA
Posts: 2,635
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+6.25% On first $500K.
Oh scratch that did not see that was for the Stock Market.
__________________
Vietnam Veteran, CW4 USA, Retired 1979
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07-01-2007, 06:27 PM
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#56
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Confused about dryer sheets
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 4
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±2 σ
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12-21-2007, 04:51 PM
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#57
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 1,396
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With one week to go, VTSAX is up 4.97% YTD. The average prediction was 5.59%, so this group was pretty close.
Three people predicted exactly 5%, and as of right now, they would tie for the best prediction:
DOG52
Audrey
CorporateBurnout
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12-31-2007, 05:09 PM
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#58
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Rio Grande Valley
Posts: 36,777
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For all of 2007, the Dow gained 6.4% and the S&P 500 rose 3.5%, both hampered by a weak fourth-quarter performance. The Nasdaq was the best performer, climbing 9.8%.
It looks like VTSAX is up 5.49% YTD for 12/31/07
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12-31-2007, 05:16 PM
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#59
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: South Texas~29N/98W Just West of Woman Hollering Creek
Posts: 6,640
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Updated Bogleheads 2007 contest here...
Boglehead Contest 2007
__________________
Part-Owner of Texas
Outside of a dog, a book is man's best friend. Inside of a dog, it's too dark to read. Groucho Marx
In dire need of: faster horses, younger woman, older whiskey, more money.
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12-31-2007, 06:40 PM
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#60
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 1,396
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And the winners are....
Sandy
ExCFOnowRVer
They both predicted 5.50%, and the actual return of VTSAX was 5.57%.
This group was amazing. The average prediction was 5.59%.
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