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Old 07-02-2023, 12:12 AM   #101
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Old 07-02-2023, 06:26 AM   #102
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Markola View Post
Iím happily wrong about post #94 but right about #96, not that it was very debatable.
Post #96 was excellent!
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Old 07-02-2023, 06:30 AM   #103
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Originally Posted by jollystomper View Post
For the 2nd quarter, the S&P 500 advanced to the Beautiful Day division at 4450.38.


finnski1 (4444) currently has the closest prediction.



It's a beautiful day, we hope it doesn't slip away...
Hey. I forgot all about this poll. What did I win?
I mean after all you win in Superbowl picks for the half time score.
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Old 07-02-2023, 07:17 AM   #104
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Post #96 was excellent!


[emoji5] Weíve all had lots of practice, unfortunately.
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Old 07-02-2023, 09:34 AM   #105
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My guess was 4560 so I need a pause/downturn to make it to December! Prefer a minor correction. but a deep dive will eliminate my interest in any contest.
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Old 07-02-2023, 11:29 AM   #106
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Up 17% and we're half way through.



I hereby predict, based on 2 * 17 that Gumby will win.
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Old 07-02-2023, 11:44 AM   #107
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I have no idea what the S&P 500 will be, oh well! My guess is that it will go down, and up, and down, and up... like always. The stock market roller coaster.

Luckily I tend to live happily on mostly just my SS, mini-pension and RMDs, so the S&P 500 really doesn't make a huge difference to me personally. It's great entertainment, I must admit. And really, these days life is all about getting the maximum fun out of the years I have left.
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Old 07-02-2023, 04:09 PM   #108
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Up 17% and we're half way through.



I hereby predict, based on 2 * 17 that Gumby will win.
As good a metric as any Iíve seen so far!
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Old 10-01-2023, 11:27 AM   #109
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Despite stumbling a bit rounding third base, the S&P 500 remained within the Beautiful Day division at 4288.05, so we have not yet let it get away.

Currently Foghorn Leghorn(4275) has the closest prediction to the index.

Homestretch time! Will the market move in mysterious ways to make us happy, or will we be stuck in a moment we can't get out of? Time will tell...
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Old 11-20-2023, 03:01 PM   #110
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With 5 weeks to go Beautiful Day group looks strong for the win!




Quote:
Originally Posted by jollystomper View Post
To pass the time during commercials and halftime of the Seahawks-49ers game, I summarized all of the guesses in this thread. Rather than put out one huge table, I have segmented the guesses into Divisions.

Each division is named after a U2 single whose title I feel best describes the sentiment of the guesses in that division. If there is a mistake in your screen name or guess, let me know, this was typed while watching football. If you object to a division name, hey, this is just mindless fun - feel free to repost with your own segmentation/division names based on whatever you want.


Sunday Bloody Sunday Division (9 guesses)
Nameguesspercent change
ShokWaveRider2000-47.9%
bmurphy2100-45.3%
pb4uski3000-21.9%
FLSUnFIRE3072-20.0%
freedom20223200-16.7%
DFW_M53305-13.9%
115229143338-13.1%
Hank3369-12.3%
Freedom563420-10.9%


Numb Division (11 guesses)
Nameguesspercent change
mmurphy3500-8.8%
Beststash3506-8.7%
Mr. Tightwad3516-8.4%
Pointby23525-8.2%
24601NoMore3600-6.2%
gooddog3600-6.2%
GenXguy3620-5.7%
Born2Fish3650.22-4.9%
almost there3721-3.1%
Rowej3780-1.5%
Rocky mtn high3800-1.0%


Desire Division (14 guesses)
Nameguesspercent change
38Chevy45439753.5%
Lakedog39934.0%
yhoomajor4001.284.2%
N02L84ER40054.3%
rrs26ja40154.6%
GravitySucks40325.0%
aaronc87940335.0%
PatrickA540345.1%
Taco40425.3%
NW_Bound41006.8%
dmpi41107.0%
Reese41227.4%
Al1841337.6%
Markola41437.9%


Beautiful Day Division (22 guesses)
Nameguesspercent change
jollystomper422310.0%
SecondCor5214223.4510.0%
audreyh1425010.7%
Dreamer426911.2%
MichealKnight427011.2%
Foghorn Leghorn427511.3%
Toast431512.4%
Sjhawkins432112.5%
latexman4327.5512.7%
Go-NoGo437614.0%
tulak440014.6%
SloHan441515.0%
ducky911441915.1%
Dash man443015.4%
finnski1444415.7%
Car-Guy450017.2%
mebden450017.2%
Out-to-Lunch451217.5%
teejayevans454518.4%
Closet_Gamer455018.5%
Rickt455018.5%
braumeister456018.8%


Even Better Than The Real Thing Division (6 guesses)
Nameguesspercent change
kgtest475023.7%
Jerry1479624.9%
Ronbusa3479925.0%
Gumby512333.4%
retire2020532538.7%
sengsational600156.3%
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Old 11-21-2023, 08:32 PM   #111
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ducky911 View Post
With 5 weeks to go Beautiful Day group looks strong for the win!

Yes indeed - almost a 5% rise is needed to make it to Even Better Than the Real Thing, and more than a 7% drop is needed to place it into Desire territory .
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Old 11-21-2023, 09:46 PM   #112
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Yes indeed - almost a 5% rise is needed to make it to Even Better Than the Real Thing, and more than a 7% drop is needed to place it into Desire territory .
Looking for that Santa rally.
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Old 11-21-2023, 11:59 PM   #113
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With 5 weeks to go Beautiful Day group looks strong for the win!
I'd like to submit a request to management to consider my second guess (+20%). I hedged my bets just like the folks on CNBC.
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Old 11-22-2023, 07:34 AM   #114
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Looking for that Santa rally.
I say 12% between now and 12/31/23 is not too much to ask.
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Old 11-22-2023, 08:08 AM   #115
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Personally, Iím 🙏 for sengsationalís prediction!
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Old 11-22-2023, 08:59 AM   #116
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If we can get back to the previous S&P high, continue with approximately 5% CDs, and keep inflation at 3% max, I will declare victory and go home.
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Old 11-26-2023, 10:47 AM   #117
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Off by less than 15, I need to go on CNBC. :-)
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Old 11-26-2023, 11:10 AM   #118
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It will go up, down , or remain the same.
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Home Stretch Time!
Old 11-30-2023, 03:58 PM   #119
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Home Stretch Time!

With a month to go, the S&P 500, at 4,567.80, finds itself just above the Beautiful Day division, and below the Even Better Than the Real Thing division.

braumeister's 4,560 prediction is currently the closest, just 7.8 points (0.17%) below the November close.

From a growth standpoint, if the S&P closes higher at the end of December, braumeister will remain the closest if the gain is less than 1.9%. With a gain above 1.9%, kgtest, Jerry1, and Ronbusa3 are the likely prediction contenders.

Of course, if the index goes goes down, there are more prediction contenders, as six others (Car-Guy, mebden, Out-to-Lunch, teejayevans, Closet_Gamer, Rickt) are within a 2% drop from the current level... but (assuming we all have not gone 100% Treasuries, Bonds, Money Markets, and CDs at this point in the year) we would not want that, would we?
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Old 11-30-2023, 09:19 PM   #120
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Originally Posted by jollystomper View Post

Of course, if the index goes goes down, there are more prediction contenders, as six others (Car-Guy, mebden, Out-to-Lunch, teejayevans, Closet_Gamer, Rickt) are within a 2% drop from the current level... but (assuming we all have not gone 100% Treasuries, Bonds, Money Markets, and CDs at this point in the year) we would not want that, would we?
No, we don't. I will happily forgo my chance at fame, and instead defer to those who guessed above me!
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