 |
|
12-30-2014, 07:39 AM
|
#41
|
|
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Rio Grande Valley
Posts: 38,140
|
I assume the oil and gold price forecasts are in Canadian $?
__________________
Retired since summer 1999.
|
|
|
 |
Join the #1 Early Retirement and Financial Independence Forum Today - It's Totally Free!
Are you planning to be financially independent as early as possible so you can live life on your own terms? Discuss successful investing strategies, asset allocation models, tax strategies and other related topics in our online forum community. Our members range from young folks just starting their journey to financial independence, military retirees and even multimillionaires. No matter where you fit in you'll find that Early-Retirement.org is a great community to join. Best of all it's totally FREE!
You are currently viewing our boards as a guest so you have limited access to our community. Please take the time to register and you will gain a lot of great new features including; the ability to participate in discussions, network with our members, see fewer ads, upload photographs, create a retirement blog, send private messages and so much, much more!
|
|
12-30-2014, 07:06 PM
|
#42
|
|
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 1,639
|
Dow 19,306 s&p 2,192
|
|
|
|
|
12-30-2014, 07:39 PM
|
#43
|
|
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 35,712
|
 Quote:
Originally Posted by audreyh1
Amazingly we cannot find the poll for 2014.
|
We have short collective memory. 
I do not know how to play this game of calling the market down to 4 or 5 digits.
It's hard enough just to predict the direction of the market; up, down, or sideways. I define sideways as being within +-5%, and up and down are defined as above or below that band.
Having said that, I think the market will be sideways.
__________________
"Old age is the most unexpected of all things that happen to a man" -- Leon Trotsky (1879-1940)
"Those Who Can Make You Believe Absurdities Can Make You Commit Atrocities" - Voltaire (1694-1778)
|
|
|
|
|
12-31-2014, 06:50 AM
|
#44
|
|
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 2,471
|
S&p 2202
__________________
For me experiences are not good or bad, just different
|
|
|
|
|
12-31-2014, 07:08 AM
|
#45
|
|
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Aug 2013
Location: Texas
Posts: 10,930
|
15000
|
|
|
|
|
12-31-2014, 07:36 AM
|
#46
|
|
Dryer sheet aficionado
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: Katy, TX
Posts: 27
|
20000 and 2100
|
|
|
|
|
12-31-2014, 07:53 AM
|
#47
|
|
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Pacific latitude 20/49
Posts: 7,677
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by audreyh1
I assume the oil and gold price forecasts are in Canadian $?
|
No all predictions are in USD. The TSX is an index even though it inherently reflects C$.
__________________
For the fun of it...Keith
|
|
|
|
|
12-31-2014, 08:24 AM
|
#48
|
|
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Nov 2012
Location: Madeira Beach Fl
Posts: 1,403
|
Dow 19750
s&p 2173
__________________
_______________________________________________
"A man is a success if he gets up in the morning and goes to bed at night and in between does what he wants to do" --Bob Dylan.
|
|
|
|
|
12-31-2014, 08:45 AM
|
#49
|
|
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Rio Grande Valley
Posts: 38,140
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by kcowan
No all predictions are in USD. The TSX is an index even though it inherently reflects C$.
|
Wow - well they are quite optimistic on the oil prices, IMO.
__________________
Retired since summer 1999.
|
|
|
|
|
12-31-2014, 12:23 PM
|
#50
|
|
Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Feb 2012
Posts: 83
|
I'm anxious to see Coach's prediction for 2015 since he nailed his Dow prediction for 2013.
In the meantime....
Dow. 21,000
S&P. 2,300
Sent from my iPad using Early Retirement Forum
|
|
|
|
|
12-31-2014, 12:40 PM
|
#51
|
|
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Rio Grande Valley
Posts: 38,140
|
DOW 19,800
S&P 500 2300
Wild ass guess, throwing darts, etc.
__________________
Retired since summer 1999.
|
|
|
|
|
01-01-2015, 06:47 AM
|
#52
|
|
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Nov 2013
Posts: 1,048
|
Dow: 20456
s&p 500: 2276
|
|
|
|
|
01-01-2015, 09:13 AM
|
#53
|
|
Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Nov 2014
Posts: 198
|
I'll play
DOW 18,700
NASDAQ 4,850
S&P 500 2,150
10-Year 3.00%
Gold $1,200
Oil $65
$CAD $0.95
__________________
ER'd 6/5/2015 at age 58. DW retired 6/18/2021 with small pension and SS. Planned WR before my SS (2024-2026) is 4-5%, then we will start my SS and a lower WR at age 70 (2027)
|
|
|
|
|
01-01-2015, 10:05 AM
|
#54
|
|
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,610
|
Dow will finish at 18714
S&P at 2202
__________________
|
|
|
|
|
01-01-2015, 11:08 AM
|
#55
|
|
Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Sep 2012
Posts: 58
|
S&p = 2151.5
|
|
|
|
|
01-01-2015, 11:19 AM
|
#56
|
|
Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 880
|
Hmmm.....I think this coming year will be the one that tests my ER resolve (ER'd in Aug.). I'll jump in and guess:
19,600 DOW
2,110 S&P
__________________
"Tell me, what is it you plan to do with your one wild and precious life?" - Mary Oliver
|
|
|
|
|
01-01-2015, 12:39 PM
|
#57
|
|
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Feb 2013
Location: Toronto
Posts: 3,321
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by harley
Everything looks pretty rosy. I'm going with 16500 and 1800.
|
+1
I'll go with 16501 and 1801. Lol. Oh wait, Price is Right rules not in effect!
|
|
|
|
|
01-01-2015, 01:07 PM
|
#58
|
|
Dryer sheet aficionado
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 34
|
My guesses:
Dow: 19,700
S&P: 2,300
|
|
|
|
|
01-01-2015, 01:40 PM
|
#59
|
|
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Aug 2013
Location: North
Posts: 4,043
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by kgtest
Definitely bought some XOM today...when seven analysts say BUY, I buy...lol. I did enjoy our cheap gas prices, now its time to reinvest those dividends.
Still trying to figure out where to put the other cash stash.
DJI 19,500 S&P 2250.
Unless we have a strong first quarter and GDP sustains with low jobs numbers, then I will be back to revise my estimate higher provided there are no global catastrophes, bad weather, and just about anything else you could think of.
|
I think I want to revise my estimate already, based on some new knowledge. Politics aside (which is impossible as politics do affect markets). in years where there is a Dem Pres and Rep Senate, avg returns have been 21.3% (years 1961 to 2010).
With that in mind, I am going to already revise my estimate up on the S&P500: 2497.4 when the bell rings Dec 31, 2015.
Let's hope I win !
What Happens to the Stock Market in an Election Year?
__________________
Time > $$$ ~ 100% equities ~ FIRE @2031
|
|
|
|
|
01-01-2015, 02:24 PM
|
#60
|
|
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: North Scottsdale
Posts: 1,545
|
Dow....20150
S & P...2015
After all it is 2015!
__________________
FIRE'D in July 2009 at 51...Never look back!
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 1 (0 members and 1 guests)
|
|
|
| Thread Tools |
|
|
| Display Modes |
 Linear Mode
|
Posting Rules
|
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
HTML code is Off
|
|
|
|
» Recent Threads
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
» Quick Links
|
|
|
