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12-28-2014, 04:32 PM
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#21
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: San Jose
Posts: 80
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I don't think about the Dow because it only contains 30 stocks.
I imagine the S&P-500 will be up 7% with a few good thumps along the way.
__________________
"Always do right. This will gratify some people, and astonish the rest." --Mark Twain
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12-28-2014, 06:46 PM
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#22
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 1,250
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Dow 21,000, S&P 2,250
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12-29-2014, 09:16 AM
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#23
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Oct 2011
Location: Philadelphia
Posts: 1,372
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Relatively flat. Economy will motor along and the US will be queen of the pigs globally, but the Fed has to begin the tightening process this year and that should act as an anchor on returns.
I think the bigger questions are:
What will happen with bonds?
Will oil drop even further?
Will Congress get its act together on tax reform?
Will inflation suddenly pop up driving an absolute but not real increase in stocks?
Those are all critical inputs into stocks.
I will respond to these weighty questions and unruly economic forces by rebalancing my portfolio every six months and investing a fixed amount every month.
A trained monkey could do it. It wouldn't even have to be a particularly gifted monkey...
__________________
Luck is when Preparation meets Opportunity.
FIRE'd 1/1/24
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12-29-2014, 09:36 AM
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#24
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 169
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DOW = 19404
S&P = 2256
But I hope the climb is greater!
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12-29-2014, 09:36 AM
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#25
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: NC
Posts: 21,204
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Isn't all the optimism on this thread a little disconcerting Kinda like WHEE!!!
__________________
No one agrees with other people's opinions; they merely agree with their own opinions -- expressed by somebody else. Sydney Tremayne
Retired Jun 2011 at age 57
Target AA: 50% equity funds / 45% bonds / 5% cash
Target WR: Approx 1.5% Approx 20% SI (secure income, SS only)
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12-29-2014, 09:49 AM
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#26
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gone traveling
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: DFW
Posts: 7,586
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I have no idea where the market will be next week, let alone at the end of 2015. However, I will predict that oil will be $80-$100 vs current price
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12-29-2014, 11:29 AM
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#27
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Nov 2013
Location: Bay Area
Posts: 2,745
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19283 (= average of all the responders so far) is what I predict.
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12-29-2014, 11:30 AM
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#28
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Aug 2013
Location: North
Posts: 4,031
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Definitely bought some XOM today...when seven analysts say BUY, I buy...lol. I did enjoy our cheap gas prices, now its time to reinvest those dividends.
Still trying to figure out where to put the other cash stash.
DJI 19,500 S&P 2250.
Unless we have a strong first quarter and GDP sustains with low jobs numbers, then I will be back to revise my estimate higher provided there are no global catastrophes, bad weather, and just about anything else you could think of.
__________________
Time > $$$ ~ 100% equities ~ FIRE @2031
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12-29-2014, 11:44 AM
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#29
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 157
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Dow 20,001
S&P 2301
Nasdaq 5401
So it is written...
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12-29-2014, 02:03 PM
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#30
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Alexandria, Va
Posts: 1,053
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I will play:
DOW: 19,500
S&P: 2,210
__________________
Two roads diverged in a wood, and I - I took the one less travelled by...
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12-29-2014, 05:52 PM
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#31
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jun 2013
Location: Bonita (San Diego)
Posts: 1,795
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Well, I wouldn't put much stock in the prognostications of the internet. This very forum told me that the S&P wouldn't hit 2000 by the year 2020 back when it was right around 1800 last year. I opined that it was more likely to hit 3000 by 2020 than it was to be below 2000 by then. Anyway...
I'll say S&P: 2194, Dow: 18913
__________________
"So we beat to our own drummer in the sun;
We ask for nobody's permission to run.
I just wanna live in a world like that;
Now I'm gonna live in a world like that!" - World Like That, O.A.R.
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12-29-2014, 05:57 PM
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#32
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jun 2013
Location: Bonita (San Diego)
Posts: 1,795
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jfn111
I'm thinking Dow 16,000.
For anyone who follows Martin Armstrong the economy is supposed to start going to heck in the 4th qtr of 2015.
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And I'm sure Porter Stansberry is still predicting the end of America in 2015, as he has every year since birth, I think.
Ah, but I see he's changed his stimulus for the End of America and updated it to be the "new currency law" that went into effect on July 1, 2014. He's so creative!
__________________
"So we beat to our own drummer in the sun;
We ask for nobody's permission to run.
I just wanna live in a world like that;
Now I'm gonna live in a world like that!" - World Like That, O.A.R.
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12-29-2014, 06:12 PM
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#33
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Sep 2014
Posts: 645
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DOW 19250
Sent from my iPad using Early Retirement Forum
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12-29-2014, 07:04 PM
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#34
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Nov 2012
Location: Madeira Beach Fl
Posts: 1,403
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Uh, who won last year?
__________________
_______________________________________________
"A man is a success if he gets up in the morning and goes to bed at night and in between does what he wants to do" --Bob Dylan.
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12-29-2014, 07:36 PM
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#35
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Rio Grande Valley
Posts: 38,008
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Quote:
Originally Posted by heeyy_joe
Uh, who won last year?
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Amazingly we cannot find the poll for 2014.
__________________
Retired since summer 1999.
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12-29-2014, 08:08 PM
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#36
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Mar 2010
Location: Poway, CA
Posts: 441
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2299 for S&P 500, and 19842 for the DOW
Sent from my Nexus 4 using Early Retirement Forum mobile app
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12-29-2014, 08:51 PM
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#37
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Syracuse
Posts: 3,501
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I'll play.
19300 DOW
2190 S&P
Sent from my Nexus 7 using Early Retirement Forum mobile app
__________________
“No, not rich. I am a poor man with money, which is not the same thing"
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12-30-2014, 12:21 AM
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#38
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 7,733
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It is time for a pull back..
Dow 16,350
S&P 1910
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12-30-2014, 06:35 AM
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#39
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Dec 2013
Location: San Diego
Posts: 880
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S&P absolutely positively will be 2267.2 (plus or minus 600 or so).
__________________
Merrily, merrily, merrily, merrily,
Life is but a dream.
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12-30-2014, 06:56 AM
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#40
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Pacific latitude 20/49
Posts: 7,677
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We do a more challenging forecast because we are Canadians:
__________________
For the fun of it...Keith
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