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Nobel Winner’s Math Is Showing S&P 500 Unhinged From Reality - Bloomberg Business
Tidbits from an article on Bloomberg...
This doesn't make sense to me. Really, we value a company based on its assets only? What about ongoing business and future growth potential?
So now the market is not ten percent overvalued, but eighty percent...
Bolding mine...
Tidbits from an article on Bloomberg...
The concept is embodied in a measure known as the Q ratio developed by James Tobin, a Nobel Prize-winning economist at Yale University who died in 2002. According to Tobin’s Q, equities in the U.S. are valued about 10 percent above the cost of replacing their underlying assets -- higher than any time other than the Internet bubble and the 1929 peak.
This doesn't make sense to me. Really, we value a company based on its assets only? What about ongoing business and future growth potential?
“QE is a very dangerous policy, in my view, because it has pushed asset prices up and high asset prices, we know from history, are very dangerous,” Smithers, founder of Smithers & Co. in London, said in a phone interview. “It is very strongly indicated by reliable measures that we’re looking at a stock market which is something like 80 percent over-priced.”
So now the market is not ten percent overvalued, but eighty percent...
“The issue we have with Tobin Q is that it does a very poor job at timing the market,” Rubin said from Westport, Connecticut. “The followers of Tobin Q never told us to buy in 2009, yet now we are warned that we should sell. Our response is sell what? We were never told to buy.”
Bolding mine...