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11-13-2022, 08:31 AM
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#1341
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Mar 2019
Posts: 763
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 Quote:
Originally Posted by Montecfo
I think you mean "the rate of price increases *has* moderated."
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Damn! Caught by the Word Police! 
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11-13-2022, 10:12 AM
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#1342
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Aug 2016
Location: Northern Virginia
Posts: 7,591
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No worries. I think we can let you off with a stern warning. This time ...
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11-13-2022, 10:36 AM
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#1343
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Administrator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Chicagoland
Posts: 40,726
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Montecfo
No worries. I think we can let you off with a stern warning. This time ...
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A moderate attitude indeed ..
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11-13-2022, 01:13 PM
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#1344
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 35,712
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The above incidence can be included in the thread "Don't you hate when this happens..."
As I get older, I tend to make more mistakes like the above, and I hate it.
__________________
"Old age is the most unexpected of all things that happen to a man" -- Leon Trotsky (1879-1940)
"Those Who Can Make You Believe Absurdities Can Make You Commit Atrocities" - Voltaire (1694-1778)
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11-13-2022, 01:32 PM
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#1345
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Chicago
Posts: 13,186
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Well, let's not arm-wrestle over semantics, but inflation is a rate and price is an absolute number. Inflation has moderated a bit. Prices, not so much.
__________________
"I wasn't born blue blood. I was born blue-collar." John Wort Hannam
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11-13-2022, 01:43 PM
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#1346
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 35,712
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I often heard reporters saying "prior to the accident the vehicle was driven at a high rate of speed..."
Why don't they just say "a high speed"? Isn't "a high rate of speed" the same as "a high acceleration", because acceleration means a change in speed.
Is the latter what the reporters meant, or is it the former? I bet they meant the former.
__________________
"Old age is the most unexpected of all things that happen to a man" -- Leon Trotsky (1879-1940)
"Those Who Can Make You Believe Absurdities Can Make You Commit Atrocities" - Voltaire (1694-1778)
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11-13-2022, 02:05 PM
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#1347
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Sep 2012
Posts: 11,702
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NW-Bound
I often heard reporters saying "prior to the accident the vehicle was driven at a high rate of speed..."
Why don't they just say "a high speed"? Isn't "a high rate of speed" the same as "a high acceleration", because acceleration means a change in speed.
Is the latter what the reporters meant, or is it the former? I bet they meant the former.
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LOL! I hear echoes from my Physics teachers!
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Retired Class of 2018
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11-13-2022, 02:06 PM
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#1348
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Jul 2018
Location: Valley of the Sun
Posts: 646
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I get irritated when reporters, purporting to be providing accurate information on energy issues, use "kilowatts" or "megawatts" interchangeably with "kilowatt-hours" or "megawatt-hours." Once I hit a misuse of this type in their article, I read no further, as they may not understand what they are writing about.
__________________
"... the astrologer who lived in a tumbled old tower up the valley, and put in his nights studying the stars. Every one knew he could foretell wars and famines, though that was not so hard, for there was always a war and generally a famine somewhere."
-- Mark Twain, The Mysterious Stranger
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11-13-2022, 03:38 PM
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#1349
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jun 2016
Location: Colorado
Posts: 8,971
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This choo choo train of a thread has gone off the tracks. 
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11-13-2022, 03:43 PM
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#1350
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 35,712
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We are just in an entr'acte, waiting for the market to open tomorrow so we can go back to the more serious topic of looking for bond yields. 
__________________
"Old age is the most unexpected of all things that happen to a man" -- Leon Trotsky (1879-1940)
"Those Who Can Make You Believe Absurdities Can Make You Commit Atrocities" - Voltaire (1694-1778)
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11-13-2022, 03:49 PM
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#1351
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 770
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Lol. You nailed it. [emoji16]
__________________
you interpret daily life according to your ideas of what is possible or not possible - Seth Speaks
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11-13-2022, 05:33 PM
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#1352
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Aug 2018
Posts: 597
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Turbo29
I get irritated when reporters, purporting to be providing accurate information on energy issues, use "kilowatts" or "megawatts" interchangeably with "kilowatt-hours" or "megawatt-hours." Once I hit a misuse of this type in their article, I read no further, as they may not understand what they are writing about.
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Yep, the stupidity involved when they talk about firearms makes my head explode.
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11-13-2022, 06:53 PM
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#1353
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jan 2013
Location: SoCal, Lausanne
Posts: 4,408
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On a more serious note, here is Fed rate monitor tool to help make decisions during this "golden period". The tool helps forecast the magnitude of rate hikes going forward based on Fed funds futures. The market is still looking at a high probability of a terminal Funds rate in the range of 4.75%-5% by March 23. But the probability of going beyond that has fallen since the last inflation reading.
https://www.investing.com/central-ba...d-rate-monitor
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11-13-2022, 07:46 PM
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#1354
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Weatherford, Texas
Posts: 1,213
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Freedom56
On a more serious note, here is Fed rate monitor tool to help make decisions during this "golden period". The tool helps forecast the magnitude of rate hikes going forward based on Fed funds futures. The market is still looking at a high probability of a terminal Funds rate in the range of 4.75%-5% by March 23. But the probability of going beyond that has fallen since the last inflation reading.
https://www.investing.com/central-ba...d-rate-monitor |
I'm beginning to lower my hopes a little. 5% Treasuries and C. D.'s are beginning to look better..I have a saying that "pigs get slaughtered" Will hold some dry powder for another month but after that I'll be full scale buying..
__________________
Life is good. Then you die.
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11-13-2022, 08:19 PM
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#1355
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 35,712
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Freedom56
On a more serious note, here is Fed rate monitor tool to help make decisions during this "golden period". The tool helps forecast the magnitude of rate hikes going forward based on Fed funds futures. The market is still looking at a high probability of a terminal Funds rate in the range of 4.75%-5% by March 23. But the probability of going beyond that has fallen since the last inflation reading.
https://www.investing.com/central-ba...d-rate-monitor |
Yet, a year from now they estimate a 66% chance of a Fed rate between 5% and 5.5%. And the chance of a Fed rate staying higher than 4.75% in Nov 2023 is 100%.
In other words they expect the Fed rate to stay high for quite a while.
__________________
"Old age is the most unexpected of all things that happen to a man" -- Leon Trotsky (1879-1940)
"Those Who Can Make You Believe Absurdities Can Make You Commit Atrocities" - Voltaire (1694-1778)
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11-13-2022, 09:58 PM
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#1356
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Aug 2016
Location: Northern Virginia
Posts: 7,591
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Quote:
Originally Posted by youbet
Well, let's not arm-wrestle over semantics, but inflation is a rate and price is an absolute number. Inflation has moderated a bit. Prices, not so much.
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"Well let's not arm-wrestle over semantics but...[attempt at semantic arm-wrestling omitted]."
Now youbet, I have a good sense of humor. The Irony Police, well, not so much.
So, keep your nose clean, huh?
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11-13-2022, 10:02 PM
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#1357
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Aug 2016
Location: Northern Virginia
Posts: 7,591
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NW-Bound
Yet, a year from now they estimate a 66% chance of a Fed rate between 5% and 5.5%. And the chance of a Fed rate staying higher than 4.75% in Nov 2023 is 100%.
In other words they expect the Fed rate to stay high for quite a while.
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Sure. But that is not to say mid and longterm rates will not be lower.
I have stated for a year to 18 months that duration is to be avoided. And now about 2-3 weeks about extending maturities.
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11-13-2022, 11:51 PM
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#1358
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jan 2013
Location: SoCal, Lausanne
Posts: 4,408
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NW-Bound
In other words they expect the Fed rate to stay high for quite a while.
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That is what the Fed officials have communicated. They could hold it at that level for the next 10 years and it will be the "golden decade" for fixed income investing. I would be more than happy to roll 6-6.75% coupon high grade notes for the next 10 years in my bond ladder.
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11-14-2022, 10:01 AM
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#1359
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Dryer sheet wannabe
Join Date: Aug 2022
Posts: 15
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On an educational note...how do you "manage" your existing bond holdings (corp, muni, CDs, etc)?
Do you review quarterly or annual financial statements? What would be a red flag (besides the word "dire")? Actively monitor FINRA for Moody's or S&P rating changes? Watch for price increases to perhaps sell short of maturity date?
Can any of this "management" be automated (such as alerts from Fidelity, Schwab, FINRA, EMMA, etc)?
Thanks much for sharing your expertise!
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11-14-2022, 10:18 AM
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#1360
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Weatherford, Texas
Posts: 1,213
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Several here have stated they will only buy bonds at or below par..Assuming one doesn't need the income and is willing to hold to maturity what are the drawbacks of buying above par? I know this has been mentioned before but I've slept since then..Thanks
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Life is good. Then you die.
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